Aralez 🐕

Full-Time Trader / First $500k in 22 yrs
Daily ALPHA in my TG VL

[Aralez 🐕 @0xAralez]

🚨 ALERT:

$BTC is preparing for a massive dump to ~$32k

Every cycle, history repeats itself:

- 2017: $19k PEAK → 2018: -84.1%
- 2021: $69k PEAK → 2022: -77.4%
- 2025: $126k PEAK → 2026: -72.2%

Things are about to get worse – Bookmark it...

[Aralez 🐕 @0xAralez]

$BTC

3 full cycles. Same setup. Same ending

Are you ready for what's next?

[Aralez 🐕 @0xAralez]

$BTC

Real BTC sell-off has only just begun...

Here's my plan: $60K → $39K–$49K (Bottom) → $170K

Wait for fear to take over, then load up on BTC...

Bookmark this post & turn notifs on...

[Aralez 🐕 @0xAralez]

🚨 THIS ISN'T AN INDEX INCLUSION. IT'S AN EXIT

$4.3 BILLION in forced buying is about to hit a single stock

And it lands right at top

$SPCX went public 15 trading days ago

The largest IPO in history. $75 billion raised. A ~$2 trillion valuation on day one

Now it's being fast-tracked into the Nasdaq-100 - the fastest inclusion index has ever allowed

Let that sink in

Every fund tracking $QQQ is now forced to buy $SPCX. Not because they want it. Because the rules say they must

J.P. Morgan estimates ~$4.3 billion in passive inflows

Price-insensitive. Automatic. Guaranteed

Here's question nobody's asking

Why rush a 15-day-old stock into the biggest index on earth?

Because somebody needs buyers

This isn't an index inclusion. It's an exit ramp

Insiders built hype. Nasdaq opened gate. Passive funds get forced in. Retail front-runs bid

By time $4.3B lands, smart money is already handing you bag

We've seen this movie. Tesla, December 2020. Added to S&P 500. Front-run for weeks. Forced buying hit and easy money was gone

Now look at chart

Whole Nasdaq is printing a textbook Wyckoff distribution

PSY → BC → AR → SOW. Supply is already showing

July 7 - final buying climax near 30,759

Then markdown

30,759 → 26,255 → 23,829 → 22,780 → 16,324

A 47% collapse from peak. Lower high after lower high

This isn't caution. This is setup

You're early or you're exit. There's no third option

IMPORTANT: I called every major $SPX selloff, 2025 $BTC ATH and move from $126k → $60k

If you missed those calls - no worries, next ones are already setting up...

Turn on notifications - next market calls are already cooking

$NASDAQ

[Aralez 🐕 @0xAralez]

🚨 JUST MARK MY WORDS:

$BTC will fill FVG at $69K. Then real dump phase begins...

Based on chart, my plan looks like this:

1. Slow grind toward $69K
2. 3-7 days of distribution
3. Start of breakdown + acceptance below $58K
4. Drop toward mid-term target: $40K

Many think bottom is already in

I think final flush hasn’t even started yet...

Important: Over past year, I've called several $BTC moves, including 2025 ATH, drop from $126k → $60k and move from $83k → $59k

Those who saw posts early avoided some very costly trading mistakes

Turn on notifs so you don't miss next call...

[Aralez 🐕 @0xAralez]

🚨 SMART MONEY IS OFFLOADING S&P 500 EXPOSURE...

Way price is moving right now is starting to resemble a textbook Wyckoff distribution sitting right at cycle highs

What stands out?

• Got swept into fresh ATHs following an aggressive UTAD
• Buying pressure drying up as price grinds higher - classic bearish divergence
• Structure looks like plenty of pre-crash setups we've seen in past

If this keeps unfolding, market could tip into a long-term bearish phase featuring:

→ key supports cracking one after another
→ sell pressure picking up speed below the range
→ short-lived bounce / re-accumulation near ~$6,300
→ continuation toward lower targets

Larger target still parks near $4,800 before any real recovery gets going

This probably won't be a crash overnight - distribution can drag out for months before capitulation lands

Don't get caught chasing this late-stage euphoria, that's exact moment smart money passes bags to retail

IMPORTANT: Across last 2 years, I called every major $SPX selloff, nailed $BTC cycle ATH in 2025 and flagged drop from $126k → $60k

If you missed those calls - no stress, next ones are already lining up...

Flip on notifications - next market calls are already cooking

[Aralez 🐕 @0xAralez]

🚨 I CALLED THIS $BTC DROP BEFORE IT HAPPENED...

Earlier, I warned about the drop below $60K

Then I called bounce back to $67K-$68K

As of today, here's my roadmap:

$60K → $58K → $45K

$45K → $40K → $57K

$57K → $37K → $93K

Bear cycle is still in play, but bottom is closer than most think...

IMPORTANT: I'm one of few who called $126K $BTC ATH, as well as recent drops from $97K → $60K and $83K → $59K

Once you see that, you won't want to miss my next call

Turn on notifications. Most people will follow me too late

[Aralez 🐕 @0xAralez]

$BTC

Real market dump is only getting started...

Roadmap is simple: $59k → $40k (Bottom) → $180k

Next macro expansion is still ahead - turn notifs on, I’ll update

[Aralez 🐕 @0xAralez]

🚨 MY MARKET PREDICTION FOR 2026:

Q2 2026

• $BTC drops to $54k
• $SPX pushes to fresh highs 7,700 → then falls to 7,300
• Retail starts panic selling
• $SPCX drops below $140

Q3 2026

• $BTC forms its cycle bottom and enters accumulation
• $SPX rolls over toward ~6,800
• Crypto sentiment reaches peak fear
• First Fed rate cut shifts narrative

Q4 2026

• $BTC reclaims uptrend and targets $80k+
• Capital rotates aggressively into crypto
• $SPX rebounds toward 7,300
• U.S. equities face a much deeper correction
• QE returns as macro conditions worsen

[Aralez 🐕 @0xAralez]

🚨 $BTC JUST BROKE A MAJOR SUPPORT ZONE...

Based on my chart, here's mid-term plan:

1. Pullback to $65K
2. Start of sell-off + acceptance below $58K
3. Short consolidation range
4. Massive drop below $46K

Bear Market continues - another wave of downside is ahead...

Important: Over past year, I publicly called $BTC cycle ATH, crash from $126k → $60k and move $83k → $59k before they happened

If you caught those updates, you stayed ahead of crowd

Missed them? No worries

Turn notifs on - next major market call is already loading

[Aralez 🐕 @0xAralez]

🚨 THIS WILL BE MY BIGGEST $BTC LONG POSITION

Bear phase isn't over yet, market is getting closer to its cycle bottom...

Here's how I'm planning to position:

Entry: $49k

Take Profit: $160k
Stop Loss: $24k

Best buying opportunities are still ahead

Don't waste your chance to accumulate $BTC at prices most people will wish they had bought

I was one of few who called 2025 $BTC ATH, move from $126k → $60k & $83k → $59k before they happened...

Missed those setups? No stress - more big calls are loading

Turn notifs on - you won't want to be late for next one...

[Aralez 🐕 @0xAralez]

🚨 $BTC DUMP BELOW $50K COULD BE BRUTAL...

Nearly 20 days after drop to $59k, market is printing fresh local lows again

Most traders will see this as final shakeout before a rally

Meanwhile?

Whales continue distributing into every bounce while retail keeps buying narrative

Based on current structure, here's my roadmap for next month:

1. Pump + sweep of $67k liquidity/fractal
2. Bull trap forms + dump begins
3. Breakdown below $50k → relief bounce
4. Start of CYCLE BOTTOM formation

One thing is important to understand:

Today's drop isn't final leg down, it's beginning of a much larger sell-off wave

Don't make same mistake as crowd

Buying $BTC at $60k now may not look so attractive when it's trading much lower

IMPORTANT: I called every major $SPX selloff, 2025 $BTC ATH and move from $126k ��� $60k

If you missed those calls - no worries, next ones are already setting up...

Turn on notifs - next market calls are already cooking

[Aralez 🐕 @0xAralez]

🚨 $SPCX IPO IN JUST PRINTED S&P 500 PEAK...

June 12. SpaceX. $75 BILLION raised

The largest IPO ever recorded

A $1.77 trillion company - bigger than Tesla - handed to the public at the most euphoric moment of cycle

Everyone's calling it the deal of decade

History says it's warning

Here's part nobody wants to hear

The "biggest IPO ever" doesn't start the party. It ends it

Not a coincidence. A pattern

April 2000. AT&T Wireless. $10.6 billion - the largest IPO in U.S. history at time

It squeaked public as market was already cracking.

Other tech deals got pulled. AT&T pushed through

What followed: dot-com bust. $SPX lost 49%. Nasdaq lost 78%

June 2007. Blackstone. Wall Street's smartest money taking itself public at peak of credit boom

What followed: financial crisis. $SPX lost 57%

December 2019. Saudi Aramco. The biggest IPO in the world $1.7 trillion

Ten weeks later: COVID. S&P lost 34%

See the rhythm yet?

Record-breaking IPO isn't green light. It's exit sign

When the biggest, most hyped private company on earth finally lets retail in...

it's not a gift. It's a handoff

Now look around

The S&P just printed an all-time high near 7,600

And first cracks are already showing - AI trade is wobbling, chips and memory names selling off on fear all that capex never pays off

Same setup. Same euphoria. Same "this time it's different"

It's never different

So connect the dots

2000 → -49%
2007 → -57%
2019 → -34%
2026 → you're standing in it

Top doesn't ring a bell

This time it launched one

I called 2025 $BTC ATH and drop to $60k. Next call matters more

Turn notifs on - I'll post warning before it hits headlines

[Aralez 🐕 @0xAralez]

🚨 $SPX CRACK IS GETTING HARDER TO IGNORE...

Over $1T in market value evaporated in a single session

That's not normal volatility

That's market starting to reprice risk

For nearly two months, $SPX did nothing but grind higher

New highs

Extreme greed

Endless dip-buying

Everyone convinced rally was bulletproof

Now that momentum is fading

And the timing isn't random

• Valuations remain near cycle extremes
• Market breadth keeps deteriorating
• Fewer stocks are carrying the index
• Smart money is reducing risk into strength

Meanwhile, retail is still chasing the move

That's usually how late-cycle tops are built

Here's how I see next phase unfolding:

→ Pullback toward ~6,200
→ Relief rally that convinces everyone correction is over
→ Sharp sell-off toward ~5,600
→ Panic phase as bullish narratives break down
→ Final flush toward ~5,000

That's where long-term opportunities begin appearing

Not when everyone is euphoric

When everyone is terrified

This market has spent months stretching further from reality

A reset isn't bearish

A reset is what makes next bull phase possible

Right now, aggressive buyers aren't buying value

They're providing liquidity to players already reducing exposure

IMPORTANT: For past 2 years, I've been ahead of every major $SPX correction, called 2025 $BTC ATH and mapped move from $126k → $60k before it happened

Missed those calls?

No stress

Next big setups are already taking shape

Turn notifs on - upcoming market calls are already loading

[Aralez 🐕 @0xAralez]

$BTC

Cycle bottoms don't form in a single day...

You'll have plenty of time to buy BTC at the lowest prices

Real bottom is still ahead - don't miss opportunity

Turn notifs on, I'll update soon...

[Aralez 🐕 @0xAralez]

🚨 $BTC IS ONE STEP AWAY FROM A MASSIVE CRASH...

After sharp drop to $59k, market has entered a prolonged distribution phase...

Based on similar sell-offs, this range could persist for another ~15-30 days between $61k & $69k

Based on chart below, here's my roadmap for next 2-3 months:

1. Ascending channel grind → local top at $68k-$69k
2. Brief consolidation + 5%+ drop
3. Acceptance below $59k
4. Drop toward $48k + early bottoming phase
5. Cycle bottom ~$42k

One thing is clear - don't expect a true market reversal anytime soon

For now, downside remains the path of least resistance

I'm one who publicly called 2025 $BTC ATH, move from $126k → $60k and drop from $83k → $59k...

If you missed earlier ones, no stress - more calls are still coming

Turn on notifs - you won't want to miss next call

[Aralez 🐕 @0xAralez]

🚨 MY BIGGEST $SPCX SHORT IS LOADING...

Stock has already wiped out roughly 16% of its market value today alone

Here's setup I'm preparing:

Entry: $160 - 50% / $175 - 50%

Stop Loss: $195
Take Profit: $80-$100

Don't buy noise - no major upside for ~3 months

Important: Over past few days I nailed big $SPX sell-offs, $BTC ATH in 2025 and market dump from $126k → $60k

Missed those calls? - don't sweat it!

Turn on notifs - next market calls are already cooking...

[Aralez 🐕 @0xAralez]

🚨 HERE'S MY 2026 $BTC ROADMAP:

1. $65k -> $70k -> $59k // JUN-JUL

2. $59k -> ~$40k (Bottom) -> $48k // AUG-OCT

3. $48k -> $67k -> $80k+ // NOV-DEC

Bookmark this post & turn notifs on - come back later

[Aralez 🐕 @0xAralez]

🚨 NASDAQ JUST ADDED ITS OWN BIGGEST SELLER

The biggest IPO in history is about to become index's biggest source of supply

$75 billion raised. A $1.77 trillion debut on June 12.

And the cleanest distribution setup on board

$SPCX Now a $2.27 trillion company at ~120x revenue

Here's mechanic

On or around July 3 - 15 trading days after IPO - $SPCX gets fast-tracked into Nasdaq-100

That's not a celebration. It's a FORCED trade

Every fund tracking QQQ has to buy $SPCX. To buy it, they sell something else

Translation: to make room for one $2 trillion newcomer, machines trim a slice of every other name in index

Apple. Nvidia. Microsoft. Sold down - to fund a rocket company at 120x sales

That's leg one

Leg two: lockup

$SPCX insiders can't sell yet. The first window cracks open in late July - 20% of eligible shares, right after Q2 earnings

Then it staggers. 7% tranches into October. A bigger wave on Q3. Rest on December 8

So connect the dots

Forced buying at top. Insiders unloading into rally. Same index, same months, opposite directions

Level that matters: 30,438. We cleared 30,000 for first time ever three weeks ago

That's not strength. That's blow-off

30,438 → 22,780 → 16,324 → ~13,000

That last number is the base this whole rally launched from. A round trip is a 57% cut from top

This isn't a forecast. It's a calendar

July 3 - forced buying. August - first unlock December 8 - floodgates

Four catalysts. One direction

Important: I was ahead of recent $SPX sell-offs, called 2025 $BTC ATH, and warned about move from $126k → $60k before it happened

Missed those setups? No worries - more major calls are already lining up

Turn notifs on - next market moves are already loading...

[Aralez 🐕 @0xAralez]

🚨 $SPX MAY BE BUILDING FINAL BULL TRAP...

Take a look beneath surface:

• Institutions quietly trimming risk
• Index pushing higher on fading participation
• Retail optimism back near extreme levels

After nearly two months of relentless upside, momentum is starting to fade

Index keeps hovering near highs, but fewer and fewer stocks are carrying move

That's usually not a sign of strength

That's concentration

A handful of mega-caps are doing heavy lifting while broader market struggles to keep up

Weak breadth + slowing volume + stretched sentiment = a distribution environment

We've seen similar conditions before major market resets

Smart money rarely sells in panic

They sell into strength while crowd is still chasing upside

By time breakdown becomes obvious, positioning has already changed

Meanwhile:

• Rates remain restrictive
• Growth expectations are cooling
• Buyback support is about to weaken

Take away one of market's biggest buyers and things can change fast

I'm not calling exact top

But warning signs are becoming harder to ignore

Turn on notifs - I'll update when signal confirms