WORLDCUP @Polymarket new match prediction analyses
For Egypt vs Iran and New Zealand vs Belgium,
I’m not playing both matches the same way.
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🇪🇬 Egypt v Iran 🇮🇷
Egypt v Iran feels more like a control game than a clean Egypt ML spot.
Egypt are in the best position in the group,
and a draw probably works for them.
This means they don't need to chase early
or get involved in unnecessary risk.
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Iran are also unbeaten,
and the 0-0 with Belgium proved they can be disciplined enough from a defensive perspective.
They need more motivation than Egypt do,
but I don't see them throwing reckless bodies forward.
So my angle:
- Draw
- Under 2.5
- Iran +1 / +1.5
(protection)
- Egypt ML only live if Iran overcommit
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🇳🇿 New Zealand v Belgium 🇧🇪
New Zealand v Belgium is a very different game.
Belgium are obviously the better team
and need the win,
but the ML is already expensive.
Also, with Doku and Lukaku not playing 90 minutes,
the significant spread isn't as natural.
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New Zealand also need to get a result
so can stay defensive early,
and that may allow Belgium to overload the final third later on in the game.
So my angle:
- Belgium team total
- Belgium live after early pressure
- avoid big Belgium -2.5 pre-game.
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In my opinion,
Egypt v Iran is the draw / under match,
and Belgium is the pressure / team total game.
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