0xTrinity.eth

Trying to predict the future on

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@tsybka @PolymarketTrade This market has 4% rewards so the APY is actually higher

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@spacexbt You can bet on it being Polymarket here:
https://t.co/STVmUdoG8m

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@tsybka @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade The market doesn't need senate approval to resolve to Warsh, it just needs Trump to officially nominate him to the senate, rather than just a truth social post.

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The four year cycle bros can’t keep getting away with it

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@EuropeElects @atlas_intel @andrei__roman Is this poll real? I can't see it on your website.

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@HCLPokerShow @nikairball @senortilt Is this being streamed live, or was the match played already and this will be a recording?

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@j0hnwang For almost anything outside of US sports, Kalshi has much worse liquidity.
Consider e.g the megaeth valuation markets, something I'm actively trading right now. Polymarket is literally more than a thousand times more liquid.

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@j0hnwang For almost anything outside of US sports, Kalshi has much worse liquidity.
Consider e.g the megaeth valuation markets, something I'm actively trading right now. Polymarket is literally more than a thousand times more liquid.

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@lukecannon727 @Cbb0fe Probably means he didn't get an allo.

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@profitbelowzero @smartestmoney You can make that bet here:
https://t.co/oU4dCAqmLv

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Finally, if you don't want to sweat this risk and instead want to buy some cheap upside, there's another trade you could do:
-Buy Democratic Sweep for 18%, Buy Democrats in NJ for 17%. You net pay 1% and get paid if any of the other 3 events happen (compared to their market probabilities of 3%, 5% and 7%!)

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🧵November 4th will have a lot of elections this year in the USA. How am I positioning for this?
I have a few speculative bets on some riskier matchups which I may post about later, but for now I'll reveal an interesting spread trade that I am looking at.

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Still, if the market odds are to be believed, the odds of 2 of these events happening, let alone 4, is very low. So this should be a +EV bet if our assumptions are reasonable!