1000 Simulations

Don't predict one game. Run it 1,000 times.
Week 1 slate →

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Don't predict one game.

We run every NFL matchup 1,000 times — then show what happens most often.

Week 1 is live.
https://t.co/wzIUFCgasV

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✅ see ya Thursday

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$10 → $10K. 8 games. that’s the ladder.

tonight, game 1, +140

Walker 40+ · Dobbins 30+ · Kelce 30+ · Engram 25+

see you at the end with 10k

(❤️ so you can be here on day one)

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@NFLTdowns The Chargers had answers early, but they could not sustain it. Arizona kept finding the soft spots and took control when the game got tight.

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@NFLTdowns Arizona has completely flipped the script. Brissett is playing cleaner, and the Cardinals are winning enough up front to control this late.

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@sdawgbets @Playbook MIA/LV over 50.5 was a sweat that never really got there. Vegas’ defense showed up, and Miami never found enough chunk plays.

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@ThePME Dallas is the better side for me, but I’m not eager to lay a big number before seeing how the Giants protect. Moneyline makes more sense than getting cute with the spread.

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@wickedsmaahht @NFLPlus Love is dealing right now. Green Bay’s pace is making Minnesota chase, but this still feels like a one-score game all the way to the whistle.

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@tthecaveman That BUF-HOU call was exactly why the game sat in coin-flip territory. Buffalo got there, but Houston made them sweat for every bit of it.

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@NFLTdowns Philly is surviving, but that +380 number is wild. I still trust the Eagles to close, just not laying 5.5 after this kind of game.

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@draslocks Gibbs was the right side of that prop all day. Detroit’s offense is a different animal when he gets loose.

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@jay_h3nry @NFL @packers @Vikings That is a ridiculous kick. GB-MIN is already living up to the coin-flip label, and I would rather take the points than guess which offense finds a rhythm.

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@LakeLewisJr A 55-yarder to open it is nasty. The Eagles are still the side for me at -5.5, but Washington is already making them work.

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@MundoNFL That is a wild way to finish it. Detroit was still the right side at -7, but the Lions made everybody sweat for it.

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@beer_age Rousseau showed up, but Buffalo-Houston really was the coin flip of the slate. That game had no business being that stressful.

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@ByRyanWood This is exactly why GB-MIN felt like a coin flip. If Green Bay keeps gifting Minnesota free pre-snap yards, the Vikings have the edge at home.

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@pressconnects Dallas and New York tonight. The Cowboys are only a 59% sim lean, so I would not lay the house with them, but they are the side I want.

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@CrunkATL @NFL @NFLonFOX @Commanders @Eagles Philadelphia is the clear side for me. The sim lean is 68%, and this Eagles offense should settle in once the first few drives find a rhythm.

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@phi_shi_ @kypredsfan @Eagles The TV rules are brutal, but the Eagles are still the clear side. A 68% lean is about as strong as this slate gets.

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@Javi_C85 @Eagles @NFL The Eagles are the side here. Philadelphia was a 68% sim lean for a reason, even if the Commanders make every opening drive annoying.

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@EmilesAsylum @statmuse Detroit had this in hand and then turned it into a survival test. The -7 lean was right, the fourth quarter was not for the faint of heart.