10xROE

Macro Momentum Trader - Building ML Trading Algos

[Killa @KillaXBT]

14/17 $BTC bottom indicators are flashing.

This isn't a broad agreement across indicators, it's a rare level of analytical confluence which only appears when we are absolutely aligned with forming a bottom.

I was bearish at the highs. Now I'm bullish at the lows.

[Kalshi Finance @Kalshi_Finance]

JUST IN: $GOOGL profit is projected to nearly double to $247,000,000,000 over the next three years

[LEAPTRADER @LEAPTRADER_]

You have 12 months left to buy the Magnificent 7 before AI monetization drives the cash flow explosion

[Global Markets Investor @GlobalMktObserv]

🚨US MARGIN DEBT IS FLASHING A WARNING:

US margin debt as a share of M2 money supply spiked to 6.2% in May.

This is just shy of the all-time record of 6.3%, set at the height of the 2000 Dot-Com bubble peak.

Total margin debt now stands at $1.4 trillion, an all-time high in dollar terms.

Historically, spikes in margin debt relative to money supply have preceded major market tops.

Margin debt peaked in March 2000, just months before the Dot-Com collapse, and again in July 2007, 3 months before the S&P 500 topped out ahead of the Financial Crisis.

Most recently, it peaked in October 2021, 2 months before the S&P 500's December 2021 high, preceding a -25% drawdown through September 2022.

Will history repeat itself?

[Thierry from arvy 🇨🇭 @ThierryBorgeat]

The Nasdaq fell 78% from 2000 to 2002. But that's not how anyone experienced it.

They experienced this:

– A 35% rally. Then new lows.
– A 12% rally. Then new lows.
– A 25% rally. Then new lows.
– A 41% rally. Then new lows.
– A 45% rally. Then the bottom, 30 months after the top.

Five times the market screamed "it's over." Five times it lied.

Former colleagues of mine lived through it on a trading floor. They told me what the routine became: by Thursday, you started praying for Friday afternoon. Not for the weekend. For the close. Two days where you couldn't lose money.

Then you walked out of the office with your head down.

That is what a real bear market does. It doesn't scare you out at the bottom. It exhausts you out, one false dawn at a time.

Bear markets don't end when the sellers are done. They end when the buyers are.

[Lin @Speculator_io]

Citi’s Top Tech Stocks for the Rest of 2026:

$SNDK SanDisk
$AMD AMD
$AMAT Applied Materials
$LITE Lumentum
$DDOG Datadog
$CIEN Ciena
$TXN Texas Instruments
$NAVN Navan
$SNOW Snowflake
$GOOGL Alphabet
$RBRK Rubrik
$AMZN Amazon
$TTWO Take-Two Interactive
$BOX Box
$NXST Nexstar Media Group
$MDB MongoDB
$DASH DoorDash
$MSFT Microsoft
$APP AppLovin
$APPN Appian

[Evan @StockMKTNewz]

SK Hynix is going public on the Nasdaq 🇺🇸 this Friday

[The Great Martis @great_martis]

Semiconductor index.

Albert Einstein: "If you want to know the future, look at the past".

For one's private perusal.

Enjoy.

[10xROE @10xROE]

@Teknium I one shotted ontology with fable

[TrendSpider @TrendSpider]

BREAKING: Michael Burry just disclosed a new short position.

It is... Micron $MU

[Financelot @FinanceLancelot]

AI compute prices are completely collapsing. This is going to impact AI data center gross margins at the worst possible time.

Keep in mind, even at peak pricing all of these AI providers were extremely unprofitable.

The decline in private credit funding has forced them to switch from heavily subsidized subscription pricing to token based billing.

A desperate move, because corporations are now realizing LLMs are anywhere from 10-20x more expensive than they had been told.

Like subprime loans in 2008, the teaser rate just expired.

The rush for SpaceX, Anthropic and OpenAI to IPO is clearly because they see a double headwind of declining demand + declining gross margins.

Price discovery and return to normal is the hallmark of every bubble.

Did the AI bubble just pop?

[Financelot @FinanceLancelot]

I see what they're doing...

China's move to remove paper gold will trigger the reflex rally, exactly like May 1980.

[Citrini @citrini]

We only write 1-2 primers a year because we want them to be durable. It’s simple to publish something market relevant for 6 months, but our goal is a piece you can return to years later and still derive value.

Our Robotics primer meets that standard.

https://t.co/qPSAXaLgYN

[Qualtrim @qualtrim]

Peter Lynch famously said there's a "100% correlation" between earnings and stock price over time.

If that's true...

These 10 stocks may be screaming opportunity.

1. $NFLX - Netflix

[Melio @MelioHL]

Hyperliquid charges $0.07 to trade a $100 event contract.

The incumbents charge $1.56 to $3.50 for the exact same position.

That's not a discount. That's a 20-50x gap.

HIP-4 just made on-chain event markets cheaper than anywhere else. By a lot.

[Financelot @FinanceLancelot]

I found this fascinating. Ray Dalio is promoted on every podcast and TV as a "financial genius"...

Turns out he's a terrible investor.
https://t.co/FVc4vPaGOs

[10xROE @10xROE]

@DynamoXDD @TrendSpider Gates sold everything q1 he don’t own any Microsoft anymore