In 20,000 simulated electoral outcome scenarios for Brazil’s presidential election runoff, a total of ZERO predicted the outcome.
https://t.co/MfJC1V1MWO
Lula saiu de político rejeitado por mais da metade do eleitorado pra maior fenômeno eleitoral da história da humanidade em 21 dias - tudo isso sem que as pesquisas captassem essa espetacular melhora de imagem. Incrível!
As certezas acerca do Brasil ditas pelo analista @fernandoschuler :
Está todo errado no país!
Moraes deveria estar sendo investigado!
Moraes não pode julgar nada referente a @FlavioBolsonaro !
A justiça brasileira está a serviço de Lula e não é confiável.
What could an independent audit actually uncover about the Zanin Window?
Consider a hypothetical candidate named Lolo with privileged technical access. Lolo might attempt to substitute section results, alter aggregation records or interfere with which results were accepted. Those attempts would have to overcome safeguards and survive comparison with authentic local tallies. The Zanin Window itself would not grant that access. Nor would it erase the printed Boletins de Urna already held outside central custody.
That gives investigators a concrete test. You could compare independently preserved originals with signed electronic files, every accepted or replaced version, and the published totals. Examine administrative access and changes before, during and after the interruption.
A separate hypothesis—compromised machine software before local tallies were generated—requires different testing and would not depend on the Zanin Window.
An independent audit with international experts and observers should establish whether any records changed without justification, whether safeguards held, and whether any discrepancy could affect the outcome.
The audit must be capable of exposing manipulation—and of clearing the system if the records support it.
Interessante. Se minhas contas estão corretas, existem aproximadamente 300 mil eleitores MORULA no Paraná. Votaram um Moro no primeiro turno e em Lula no segundo. Queria conversar com eles para fins de estudo do perfil político. 🤔
🇧🇷 Ladies and gentlemen, if the speculation on the just released TSE reports are indeed true, then we have to say that, um, we may have correctly predicted the second turn down to the raw votes after all, just like we did the first turn. We are not jumping to conclusions, as we are launching our own investigation. We usually don’t do this for democratic countries, but our prediction was so off this cycle that suspicious arose within our team. That suspicion dramatically increased when the same methodology of ours just correctly predicted the Israeli Election.
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