Thrilled to announce that my book 📕 ‘Handicapping Two-Year-Old Thoroughbreds - Consistently Pick Winners in 2YO Maiden Special Weight Races’ is now available on Amazon. Thank you in advance for your support and please share any feedback that you have.
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Albus!
After the result of today's Wood Memorial at Aqueduct, the Riley Mott-trained Albus remains a very interesting, albeit now better known three-year-old colt. I wrote a post on him several weeks ago (linked below), and continue to believe that there is much more to come.
https://t.co/Oe4tSVIgyl
He is, as discussed in that earlier post, a horse with a "salt and pepper" pedigree, meaning that he has a dissonant combination of speed and stamina in his pedigree. Luckily for his connections, he is clearly taking after his bottom-line, which is replete with stamina.
Though not a horse with a quick acceleration, there is a lot to like about Albus, and the way that he is being managed. I see no reason why he won't take another step forward on the first Saturday in May.
A special thank you to @dividendology & @HeroDividend
You gentlemen have given me a ton of feedback on how I can improve the website to help investors improve their dividend performance.
Turns out you can survive:
✔️ missed cuts
✔️ lost identity
✔️ addiction
✔️ starting over
I wrote a book about it. Want to know about life on tour?⬇️⬇️
Cocktails and Range Balls 🍸⛳
https://t.co/ZOQhzvcFuS
Very excited and grateful for the opportunity to join the @TurfwayPark team this winter! Big congratulations to @kaitlinebenson on her beautiful baby boy, Asher. We will hold down the fort until you get back!
Our second runner today @ChurchillDowns is first-time starter COMMENTATE (Candy Ride [Arg]-Katherine) in the 7th race (3:55 ET, 6F $120K MSW, @jose93_ortiz). He is #3 in a full field of juveniles and is 8/1 ML.
Sires who have produced a less than firm 🟩 winnah. It can help when your ⛏️ has only firm races in the pp's. It has been extremely beneficial in 2yo encounters. Hello @2YOedge This would be a bonus if the BC was at Churchill and not Delmar. Chance of 🌧 = zero.💩 GL & GR 🫡💚🍀
We have our last name to unveil for our group of 2YOs (it’s not easy naming Thoroughbreds)! Meet ICONOCLAST (Into Mischief-Devil By Design, by Medaglia d’Oro).
#2yoTuesday 🤩
American fan favorite Carl Spackler might have his work cut out for him today in the upcoming @WorldPool event the $1.4 Million Queen Elizabeth Stakes @ChampionsDay@Ascot! Jockey William Buick takes on a field of 15 other entrants with stablemate & ML favorite Field of Gold for team Gosden. Play your picks now with AmWager! #ChampionsDay #QueenElizabethStakes #Ascot #AmWager🏇🏆💵🌍🏌️
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Greener Pastures Down the Road?
Tomorrow's 6th race at Keeneland is a 7f. MSW event for two-year-olds. There are a number of interesting looking first-starters, but Circle Tap, #11, trained by Dallas Stewart, caught my eye. Not for betting purposes, mind you, at least in this race, as he is listed at 3/1, having rallied to finish 2nd in each of his previous first two starts.
To be clear, it wouldn't surprise me to see him win, but it was his pedigree that catalyzed me to delve a bit deeper. He is by Twirling Candy, a successful sire which is getting more than his fair share of turf performers. So, I decided to look up the performances of Circle Tap's first four dams, and found this:
His dam, Rattataptap, though also effective on dirt while racing, won an allowance race on turf, and placed 2nd in a minor stakes at KY Downs on that surface. His second-dam, Sindy With an S, won a Listed stakes on the grass at Hollywood Park. His third-dam, Backroom Blues, won an allowance race on turf, and finished 4th in a minor stakes race on the same surface. His fourth-dam, Secret Holdings, never won a race, but placed twice in MSW races on turf, and was by Private Account, which was primarily a dirt influence.
Beyond that, his dam, Rattataptap, appears to have produced four other foals to have raced. Coco Abarrio has placed 2nd in her only start on turf to date, and has finished first, while twice second, on synthetic surfaces. Soca's only win in three career starts was on an all-weather surface. Rattataptap's two other runners have performed on dirt, though neither is by what might be considered to be a turf sire.
It is fully understandable why Circle Tap's connections would be focussed on dirt, at the moment, and perhaps the colt will develop into a good horse on that surface. But should his development stall, I would certainly be inclined to try him on the turf. And from a betting standpoint, he's an example of a horse that I would follow with some interest, based on the above reading of his pedigree.
Let’s check in with WHITE SMOKE (Essential Quality-Mira Alta) for #2YOTuesday. This pretty gray has been steady on the worktab at Ellis and Kee with 3 consecutive 4F drills. Of note, her yrlg 3/4-brother by Flightline sold for $1.7M in Sept. and she already has 3 graded sibs.
2yof Atropa, second-time starter, first route, back from a layoff, threw her hat into the ring for something bigger with an absolute romp @keenelandracing R7. Granted, she got a perfect trip and distant runner-up Measure had an impossible one. Still a good win.
Just a quick update. Due to a recent life event (all good!), I unfortunately will not have the time to provide my articles on our beloved 2YOs 🐎. Thank you for all of your support and participation. I wish all of you Edgies all the best and hope that you pick only winners!