4th & 3 Analytics

CFB, CBB, NFL Predictions, Statistics, and Analytics. Bracketologist in CBB and CFB. Contributor to @bracketproject. 2nd in 2026 Bracket Matrix.

[4th & 3 Analytics @4and3Analytics]

I'm proud to announce that I finished in a tie for 2nd place 🥈 out of 290 entries in the 2026 Bracket Matrix!

Thank you to everyone that supported this account over the course of the season!

[4th & 3 Analytics @4and3Analytics]

4th & 3 Analytics FINAL Bracketology March 15th, 2026:

[4th & 3 Analytics @4and3Analytics]

@MarchMadnessMBB Why do we need to change something that was already perfect?

[4th & 3 Analytics @4and3Analytics]

@MarchMadnessMBB @USUBasketball @MountainWest Hmm maybe the selection committee should start actually respecting the Mountain West. I was the 2nd most accurate bracketologist this year and had them listed as an 8 seed rather than a 9.

[4th & 3 Analytics @4and3Analytics]

@MarchMadnessMBB @SaintLouisMBB Hmm maybe the NCAA selection committee should consider putting more good mid major teams in the tournament and give them better seeds.

[CBS Sports College Basketball 🏀 @CBSSportsCBB]

"Looks pretty obvious to me that high-majors need to play mid-majors early in the season. Because they said we didn't play nobody. We played somebody now."

-High Point HC Flynn Clayman

[4th & 3 Analytics @4and3Analytics]

@KennonKolton There goes my perfect bracket 😂

[4th & 3 Analytics @4and3Analytics]

The 1st ever perfect bracket:

[4th & 3 Analytics @4and3Analytics]

@MarchMadnessMBB @MiamiOH_BBall Looks like Miami (OH) is now undefeated against P5 competition 😂

[4th & 3 Analytics @4and3Analytics]

@MarchMadnessMBB @MiamiOH_BBall @MiamiRedHawks @MACSports Looks like Miami (OH) is now 1-0 in Quad 1 games 🤣!

[4th & 3 Analytics @4and3Analytics]

@BarbettaCBB @bracketproject Congrats!

[4th & 3 Analytics @4and3Analytics]

@BracketNky @bracketproject @MoEgger Nice job! Looks like we both tied for 2nd this year!

[4th & 3 Analytics @4and3Analytics]

@jacob_scheck @bracketproject Well done! Looks like we both tied for 2nd!

[4th & 3 Analytics @4and3Analytics]

@mb_bracketology @bracketproject Congrats! Looks like we both tied for 2nd!

[4th & 3 Analytics @4and3Analytics]

@TheRealCSD Good work! Looks like we both tied for 2nd!

[Bracket Project @bracketproject]

Before we get to the matrix results, I asked everybody who submitted a bracket yesterday how many teams should play in the NCAA tourney.

48% said leave it at 68. 38% said go back to 64 (likely a result of seeing this season's bubble). Only 10% wanted something larger than 68.

[4th & 3 Analytics @4and3Analytics]

Also proud to announce that with my score of 388, I was one of the 34 people to break the previous Bracket Matrix record this year!

[Bracket Project @bracketproject]

The highest matrix score prior to this year was 382. 34 people beat that score in this go-around.

The best of them all for 2026 was Antonio Barbetta, who correctly picked all 68 teams and correctly seeded 61 teams. Congratulations!

[4th & 3 Analytics @4and3Analytics]

It’s honestly embarrassing. The CFP needs real selection criteria and team sheets. College football bracketology is currently a disaster.

[Stewart Mandel @slmandel]

This Keith Gill interview is yet another reminder how much more consistent and methodical the hoops selection process is than football.

And he can actually articulate their reasoning, unlike those Tuesday night CFP shows.

[4th & 3 Analytics @4and3Analytics]

@slmandel It’s honestly embarrassing. The CFP needs real selection criteria and team sheets. College football bracketology is currently a disaster.

[4th & 3 Analytics @4and3Analytics]

4th & 3 Analytics 2026 NCAA Tournament Bracket Thoughts:

-I am surprised that the committee actually valued results from Saturday/Sunday. Respect.
-Interesting explanation about how Miami (OH) was seeded as the last team in but not the last team selected. Makes sense considering how bad their predictive metrics were.
-I had the last four in correct but missed the order. Most people had Missouri in Dayton instead of NC State but I thought NC State's Q4 loss would move them to Dayton.
-I shouldn't have second guessed myself on the order of OU, Auburn, and SDSU. Originally had it correct but changed order to SDSU, OU, Auburn. I had Indiana as my 5th team out.
-Not terribly surprised that VCU would not have made it if they lost today. Not having a win over a tourney team despite having plenty of opportunities (especially for a mid major) would probably leave them out.
-Overall, I thought the selection committee did a great job seeding and selecting the teams. Much better than 2024, which was a disaster.

[4th & 3 Analytics @4and3Analytics]

4th & 3 Analytics 2026 Bracketology Results:

Paymon Score: 388
Teams Picked Correctly: 68/68
Teams Seeded Correctly: 58/68
Teams Seeded Correctly or +/- 1 Seed: 68/68

1st time I have correctly selected every team that made the tourney & didn't miss a team by more than 1 seed!