@Rory_Johnston you can probably derive a FOB level from that and then convert to a WTI CMA basis eq, to figure out what it's worth off the dock relative to Hardisty.
Can then work out math assuming fully sunk vs variable on TMX.
@Rory_Johnston they don't mean vs "Asian Brent"
It's ICE Br - 5, with buyer purchasing barrels delivered Asia rather than FOB Van.
So that price needs to compensate for freight, backwardation, financing and load costs. If that's positive great, you can start eating into your pipe TOP.
@Big_Orrin Don't agree on a short-mid term basis
Not saying it roofs but positive at the margin for diffs.
You've got 400x of sunk cost tport that p2+3 need to bid up to keep at home. Excess egress out of the basin so price not forced to reset to workable Asia arb levels.
@bananastand_cap@WTIBull@joshyoung bingo .. independent decision.
should only put $ into the ground if their fwd view on prices is constructive. the hedge book should be viewed as an overlay, not a prod target
@OilCfd@SchrodingersAlt just another cost to pass on to the consumer
haven't read rules, but if it's basically just co2 on fuel * distance, is there any games you can play via STS for shorter voyage for importer of record ?
@stevemccaff @chrisinmontreal PADD 2 gonna have to keep barrels, gonna get expensive for them. They don't have any other options.
RBN had 200kbd of re-exports out of P3 in summer, would expect that flow to stop if still happening
@PFF_Sam watched CFL playoffs yday (first game I've watched this year)
was so nice not to see ridiculous flags thrown every two plays. not to mention seeing all these fines post-game
NFL has lost the plot. if it wasn't for gambling and fantasy, viewership would be down much more imo
@andrew_leach ENB wants a streamlined reg process to de-risk the project.
everything else (underwrite spread risk / downstream facilities) is up to ENB to sell to the market / market decide they want.
just like in every single other infra project