AskLivermore

Singapore's #1 trader now on X. Timing cycles and stock rotation theory.

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[AskLivermore @asklivermore]

A lot of beginner traders have asked how to grow their account to $100K.

This is EXACTLY the lessons and resources you need:

1. Day trading course (free): https://t.co/vekfxlpF8y

2. Swing trading course (free): https://t.co/tT29B1pohy

3. All my buy and sell signals are here on X - you can sub for my exact entries and trades.

4. Finding trade setups: https://t.co/fWdJLNfQCO

I promise to guide you and teach you everything I can to get you to $100K and beyond. 💪

[AskLivermore @asklivermore]

@FWazirali2388 @MrMister1157108 Kindly check the latest sub posts - it’s always posted there 💪

[AskLivermore @asklivermore]

If you have a small account, I promise to get you to $100K.

If you have a large account, I promise to get you to $4M.

I follow 5 rules:
1. I always do the opposite of X. When people are happy, I add to my defensive stocks. When people are scared, I add to my growth stocks.
2. I follow rotation theory, I'm one of the only accounts on X that has called every macro cycle correctly
3. I am always a cautious bull, expect both an aggressive and a defensive mix
4. I make sure each position is sized correctly, so you never blow up your account
5. My goal is to always 2X the S&P 500 every year minimum

Whatever happens, we will be rich together.

[AskLivermore @asklivermore]

Amazon reported earnings on July 31. Revenue beat estimates. AWS had its fastest growth in 18 quarters. We rallied 12% on the report.

The question now is whether that move holds or fades.

A few things you need to watch my friend:
1. amzn ran hard into earnings and then gapped up.
2. gaps after earnings either get bought and become new support, or they get faded over the next 1-2 weeks as profit taking kicks in.
3. Watch whether AMZN holds above its pre-earnings price. If it does, the gap is real. If it fills, patience may be rewarded.

The broader market context matters more than any single stock right now. $NVDA earnings later this month will move every tech name including $AMZN. If $NVDA delivers, the whole group rips. If $NVDA disappoints, even stocks with good earnings get dragged down tbh..

[AskLivermore @asklivermore]

Global equity funds just posted their 11th straight week of inflows. $21.15 billion in one week. The world is buying stocks.

But the US is the only region with OUTFLOWS.

Europe: +$12.52B (largest inflow since July 8)
Asia: +$8.15B
US: -$1.58B

Within the US, the money is rotating, not leaving.

1. Sectors with inflows: Financials (leading), Technology (+$1.44B), Industrials (+$1.08B), Utilities
2. Sectors with outflows: Healthcare (leading outflows), Communication Services, Energy

The selling is concentrated in defensive and commodity-linked sectors. The buying is in cyclicals and tech.

Meanwhile, 75% of S&P 500 companies are beating earnings estimates. Profits are up 41% year over year.

For context, three weeks ago the US had $8.1B in outflows. Two weeks ago, $11.83B in inflows. This week, a tiny $1.58B outflow. The panic selling from July is fading slowly.

Money is not leaving the market. It is moving within it. That is what a rotation looks like, not a crash (yet). Will continue to monitor.

[AskLivermore @asklivermore]

You got this my friend. The fact that you followed your plan even when it was uncomfortable puts you ahead of 90% of people in this market.

Most investors do not have the discipline to sell and sit in cash. They hold everything and pray.

Watching stocks you sold go higher is painful. But you need to reframe it. You did not make a mistake. You made a risk management decision with the information you had at the time. That is what professionals do.

Buffett sold airlines and they bounced after. Druckenmiller sold tech too early in 2020 and it doubled. Even the best get it "wrong" on timing and still end up right on process.

The FOMO is real but it is also a trap. The stocks that went up after you sold will also go down at some point. You will not remember the FOMO then. You will remember that you had cash when everyone else was fully invested and panicking.

On your rate hike thesis: being wrong on a thesis is not a failure. It is information. You now know the Fed is
holding, not hiking. That changes the playbook. Update the thesis and move forward. The worst thing you can do is hold onto a thesis that the market has already told you is wrong.

Here is what I would focus on:
1. you have cash and conviction. That is the strongest position in this market.
2. You do not need to chase the stocks you sold. There will always be another setup. The market does not run out of opportunities.
3. It only runs out of patience.
4. Stop watching the tickers you sold. Remove them from your watchlist for 30 days. The FOMO disappears when you stop feeding it.

You are doing better than you think my friend... keep it going!

[AskLivermore @asklivermore]

It was. And it still is in some areas. But rotations are not straight lines. They are messy.

Utilities had inflows this week. Healthcare and energy had outflows. That does not mean the rotation is dead. It means capital moves in waves, not all at once.

Think of it like this. In April and May, money rotated hard into healthcare, energy, and utilities as a defensive
trade. Those sectors ran up 10-15%. Now some of that money is taking profits and moving again.

That is normal. Rotations do not go from tech to healthcare and stay there forever. They bounce around. Tech to healthcare. Healthcare to financials. Financials to industrials. Then back to tech when it gets cheap enough.

What matters is the overall direction. Is money leaving the market entirely or just moving within it? Right now it is moving within it. Global equity funds have had 11 straight weeks of inflows. That is not a market breaking down. That is a market reshuffling.

The healthcare and biotech thesis is not broken. The aging population, GLP-1 drugs, and AI drug discovery tailwinds are all still intact. One week of outflows does not undo a multi-year trend. It just means some people got paid and moved on to the next trade.

[AskLivermore @asklivermore]

@Cn8EnCobraChckn Yes sir! Lets keep going!

[AskLivermore @asklivermore]

This is my non-financial advice....

You already did the hardest part. You trimmed the low conviction names and kept the ones you believe in. Most people do the opposite. They sell their winners and hold their losers.

Now the question is what to do with the cash.
1. Hoping for a crash is a losing strategy in my opinion my friend. Not because crashes do not happen, but because you will not buy when it does.

2. The data shows this over and over. People wait for a 10% dip, it comes, and they freeze because the headlines are terrifying. Then it recovers and they are still sitting in cash wishing they had bought.

Here is what I would think about instead of hoping for a crash:
1. You do not need to be all in or all out. You have cash and you have your highest conviction stocks. That is a strong position. You are already in the game with your best ideas and you have dry powder if prices come to you.

2. If the market dips 5-10%, deploy some of that cash into the names you already believe in. Not all of it. Some of it.

3. If it dips another 5-10%, deploy more. If it never dips and keeps running, your conviction stocks are still working for you.

The worst position is 100% cash hoping for a crash that may never come while the market grinds higher.

You are not behind. You are positioned. Let the market come to you instead of chasing it or waiting for perfection.

[AskLivermore @asklivermore]

@blainethecanuck You got this Blaine!!!

[AskLivermore @asklivermore]

@how56856 youre the man Richard!!!

[AskLivermore @asklivermore]

@JohnnyXAngelo Good job AI

[AskLivermore @asklivermore]

@JayD428914 Will keep monitoring my friend. <3

[AskLivermore @asklivermore]

@justbutter30 Not too early! I have TER

[AskLivermore @asklivermore]

$MU, $SNDK, and $DRAM (memory ETF).

Memory is crucial. Without memory, AI can NOT scale and function.
We are STILL so early.
We STILL have Agentic AI (right now) -> PHYSICAL AI (year 2027 robots) -> GENERAL AI (year 2028) -> SUPER-INTELLIGENCE (year 2030+ and beyond).

A lot of you have asked WHEN and WHERE to buy memory stocks.

1. Probing position -> this is a starter position. This is to test the waters and reduce FOMO. At this level, markets are neutral. Relief rally territory that can turn into all-time highs or fail and head lower. So you buy small and see, and be flexible.

2. Build position -> this is where it makes sense to build a nice chunk. It's at great levels to be happier psychologically. This is when you're okay with whatever fate happens. Fair price.

3. Buy big -> this is where you can buy big time. CONVICTION.

In whatever case, RED is temporary. Let's make millions together.

[AskLivermore @asklivermore]

@natehay77 thanks so much nate ❤️

[AskLivermore @asklivermore]

My goodness... we have a chance.

Nasdaq is following the same pattern as 1996, 2003, 2007, and 2013.

Here is how those years finished:
• 2003: +42.8%
• 1996: +40.2%
• 2013: +30.8%
• 2007: +18.5%

2026 right now: +12.7% YTD In every analog, the second half is where the real move happened.

If these patterns rhyme, the Nasdaq has a chance to finish 2026 between +18% and +43%.

Still a lot of year left. Earnings, the Fed, and geopolitics will determine which analog we track closest. But the path from here has historically favored the bulls.

[AskLivermore @asklivermore]

@vguniverse2020 can always remain valid if markets aren’t ready

[AskLivermore @asklivermore]

Technology is down -12% from its peak. 56 days and counting.

The median Tech selloff drops 25.7% and bottoms in 73 days. This one is only 12% deep and 56 days in. It's one of the shallowest on record.

Every single Technology drawdown in history has recovered to new all time highs. Every one.

If this follows the median path, we're looking at a bottom forming in late August - late September.

[AskLivermore @asklivermore]

@hengkaili1 IBKR

[AskLivermore @asklivermore]

@TamH0630 Thanks Tam!!! ❤️