Abacus Data

Canada's most sought-after, influential, and impactful polling & market research firm. Human-powered insights, from asking human questions.

[Abacus Data @abacusdataca]

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[Abacus Data @abacusdataca]

Support for keeping U.S. alcohol off provincial liquor store shelves extends across party lines.

Liberal voters: 83%
NDP voters: 84%
Conservative voters: 53%

The full poll: https://t.co/OD3UfW978h

[Abacus Data @abacusdataca]

Support for keeping U.S. alcohol off provincial liquor store shelves extends across party lines.

Liberal voters: 83%
NDP voters: 84%
Conservative voters: 53%

The full poll: https://t.co/OD3UfW978h

[Abacus Data @abacusdataca]

Canadians are in no mood to back down.

63% say Canada should resist U.S. pressure even if it creates economic costs, while 69% want restrictions on American alcohol maintained.

New Abacus Data polling: https://t.co/OD3UfW978h

[Abacus Data @abacusdataca]

NEW POLL: Seven in ten residents across BC, Manitoba, Ontario, and Atlantic Canada want provincial restrictions on U.S. alcohol kept in place.

Only 19% want American products returned to store shelves.

Read more: https://t.co/OD3UfW978h

[Abacus Data @abacusdataca]

NEW POLL: Most residents see restrictions on U.S. alcohol as negotiating leverage, not a symbolic gesture.

54% want them kept until U.S. tariffs are removed. Another 19% want them maintained permanently.

https://t.co/OD3UfW978h

[Abacus Data @abacusdataca]

Even after being told the U.S. cited provincial alcohol restrictions as a reason for new tariffs, only 19% want provinces to back down.

Most would rather hold the line until U.S. tariffs are removed.

Read the full poll: https://t.co/OD3UfW978h

[Abacus Data @abacusdataca]

NEW POLL: The expense scandal has not caused Ontario PC support to collapse, but it has unsettled parts of the party’s coalition.

Among past PC voters, 41% see a broader culture of entitlement and 48% want more consequences or an independent investigation.

https://t.co/MXSeYxi422

[Abacus Data @abacusdataca]

The immediate impact of Ontario’s expense scandal is marginal. The PCs still lead by eight.

But a majority of Ontarians see a broader culture of entitlement, and 41% say the story has made them more negative about the Ford government.

NEW POLL: https://t.co/fsqlNn3FhE

[Abacus Data @abacusdataca]

The expense scandal has not transformed the Ontario political landscape, but vote intentions have moved against the PCs.

Before:
PC 42%, OLP 30%, NDP 19%

Now:
PC 40%, OLP 32%, NDP 21%

NEW POLL: https://t.co/fsqlNn3FhE

[Abacus Data @abacusdataca]

NEW POLL: The Ontario PCs remain ahead, but their lead has narrowed since the expense scandal broke.

PCs 40% (-2)
Liberals 32% (+2)
NDP 21% (+2)

The PC lead is now 8 points, down from 12.

https://t.co/fsqlNn3FhE

[Abacus Data @abacusdataca]

Doug Ford’s popularity has slipped following the MPP expenses scandal, but the immediate impact on PC vote support is modest.

The bigger risk for the government is how many past PC voters believe the expenses were unacceptable and want stronger action.

https://t.co/95JyOTRFhe

[Abacus Data @abacusdataca]

New Abacus Data poll: Liberals lead 44% to 38%, with government approval at 52%. Trump’s tariff threat pushed concern about his administration up 6 points, while wildfires lifted climate change by 3.

Read more: https://t.co/89ib2iIu51

[Abacus Data @abacusdataca]

Pollsters usually show you the toplines but don't go deeper to EXPLAIN what is happening.

We're doing the opposite. Our new interactive tool lets you explore the regression behind our latest survey (n=1,910): six predictors, preset scenarios, plain-language results.

Try it out yourself: https://t.co/360l1JVxpI

[Abacus Data @abacusdataca]

Our latest #cdnpoli poll in a nutshell

[David Coletto @DavidColetto]

Journalists, CEOs, and political staff have trusted our numbers for 16 years.

Now you can get at the data behind them.

Waypoint: every question, every wave since 2024, in one place.

Sign up to learn more: https://t.co/AfhUcsO1Wu

[David Coletto @DavidColetto]

Think you know what predicts Liberal support in 2026?

Test it.

Our new explorer lets you flip each predictor on and off and see what actually moves the odds.

Spoiler: one factor dominates, and it's all about Prime Minister Carney.

Try it out: https://t.co/6mtMYo98Z8

[David Coletto @DavidColetto]

The people who call, email, donate, and attend meetings are not always representative of the public. But they can have an outsized influence on what governments do.

This week on Hub Politics, we discuss Billy Bishop and the power of organized opposition.

https://t.co/aWkhxJgUZH

[Abacus Data @abacusdataca]

The vote numbers barely moved. The public agenda did.

Liberals lead Conservatives 44% to 38%, as concern about Trump rises 6 points following his tariff announcement and climate change rises 3 amid the wildfires.

Read more: https://t.co/89ib2iIu51

[Abacus Data @abacusdataca]

NEW POLL: Liberals 44%, Conservatives 38%, NDP 9%.

Government approval remains at 52%, while Trump moves into second place among the country’s top issues following his latest tariff threat.

Read more: https://t.co/89ib2iIu51

[David Coletto @DavidColetto]

Our latest #cdnpoli tracker in 30 seconds