Ayatullah AlAdwani

نُحاوِلُ مُلكاً أَو نَموتَ فَنُعذَرا🩺🥊 @benderreall

[Ayatullah AlAdwani @Adwansanad]

Working hard⚕️and hitting harder🥊

[Carl Jung Archive @QuoteJung]

casually reading some Carl Jung and then he hits you with this:

[Ayatullah AlAdwani @Adwansanad]

If you think about it, Turks are an ethnically ambiguous, spiritually Israeli population.

[𝗔𝗿𝗮𝗯 𝘃𝗶𝘀𝗶𝗼𝗻 @3rab_vision]

Dushara, chief god of the Arabs and consort of al-Lat, was compared to Zeus in mythology. A shrine dedicated to him near Rome reflects the reach of Arab influence and trade networks linking Petra with the Mediterranean, Europe, North Africa, Yemen, India, and China.

Petra, 1965

[Ayatullah AlAdwani @Adwansanad]

المعاتيه اللي هيك هم الفئة المفضلة عندي من البشر

[Ayatullah AlAdwani @Adwansanad]

@deadlypsychotic علكامل

[Ayatullah AlAdwani @Adwansanad]

Some men are marrying chicks they knew from tinder. See bro, your situation ain’t so bad after all

[Ayatullah AlAdwani @Adwansanad]

@oscarswiIde أكدتي كلامه

[Jesús Fernández-Villaverde @JesusFerna7026]

Last week I posted a new paper with Patrick Norrick: “Terra Incognita: The Economics of a Shrinking World.”

We chose the title deliberately. No society in history has experienced the fertility levels now seen in South Korea, China, Thailand, Colombia, Chile, and many other countries. Our knowledge of the causes (and of the economic consequences) remains far more limited than most public discussion acknowledges. Much of what we write is, at best, educated conjecture.

The paper also struggles against a space limit. We wrote 20,000 words, far from the 250,000 or so we would need to address some issues in more detail (if I had the time and resources to hide away for a year, I could do that, but not now). That means some ideas are only sketched.

Nonetheless, we emphasize several important points.

First, fertility has fallen very fast everywhere: rich and poor countries, east and west, north and south, conservative and liberal societies, religious and non-religious societies (with the exception of the Jewish population of Israel; fertility has also collapsed among the Muslim population within the pre-1967 borders), you name it. Even in sub-Saharan Africa we see fast and unprecedented drops in fertility (alas, from a high initial level).

Second, and this is really interesting, the fertility collapse has been concentrated in poor and lower-middle-income countries much more than in rich countries. By now, income per capita and fertility are positively correlated within OECD countries. We conjecture this will hold globally in a few decades.

Third, and related to the second point, the fertility collapse has been concentrated among poor and lower-middle-income women within countries. In countries such as the U.S., the rich and highly educated now have more children than the poor and less educated.

Fourth, we document why we do not understand the data from the U.N. World Population Prospects. See, for example, Tables A.1 and A.2.

Fifth, we explain why some proposed mechanisms struggle when confronted with the data.

A more subtle point is at work here. Many commentators do not seem to understand the difference between proximate causes and ultimate causes. Yes, births might have gone down because fewer women are in long-run relationships. That is the proximate cause. But you need to explain why fewer women are in long-run relationships (the ultimate cause), and saying that they spend more years in school, to take one example, does not get us very far. Why do they spend more years in school? Once you start down the whole chain of reasoning, things become much harder than they seem.

The paper can be found here:

https://t.co/VrCHr0lBPa

Comments always welcome!

[Ayatullah AlAdwani @Adwansanad]

Fate is what you do

[Ayatullah AlAdwani @Adwansanad]

Beyond this place of wrath and tears
Looms but the Horror of the shade,
And yet the menace of the years
Finds and shall find me unafraid.
It matters not how strait the gate,
How charged with punishments the scroll,
I am the master of my fate,
I am the captain of my soul.

[Raed @CEORaed]

حياتك اذا رضيت بالمكتوب لك

[Ayatullah AlAdwani @Adwansanad]

مش عارف كيف أشرح بس العراقيين ينطقوا حرف ال"ر" بطريقة مختلفة

[Abraham; @AKJS__]

كنا محتاجين باك شمال فعلا

[Ayatullah AlAdwani @Adwansanad]

flirting for fun is a young man’s favorite pastime

[تمر بلبن @kzlen7]

الفديو دا ايقونة والله كل ما بشوفه بموت من الضحك

[Ayatullah AlAdwani @Adwansanad]

@Lovergirldaily I like shawarma, but pretending it’s not cheap junk is just wrong.

[Ayatullah AlAdwani @Adwansanad]

People pay this much for shawarma???!!!
Its like falafel with extra steps, peasant food, a cheap thrill, literal JUNK food. Y’all retarded fr.
And no, there’s no such thing as “clean” shawarma.

[Dr. Jad @Jadserhan9]

يخي انا بحب الموصلي وكلشي بس كيف يعني رافعين سعر الوجبة الدبل ل٥ ليرات ونص
والله مش عالمصاري عالمبدأ حرام كلها شاورما يعني

[Ayatullah AlAdwani @Adwansanad]

The Saudies cooked with بخشم الريال phrase ngl