In the second half of next year, I’ll be the one who brings #BTC down between 60K and 45K.
I won’t buy it — I’ll hunt it. 🎯
The market will remember the strike… and where it came from. 🦅💰 #Bitcoin
In the second half of next year, I’ll be the one who brings #BTC down between 60K and 45K.
I won’t buy it — I’ll hunt it. 🎯
The market will remember the strike… and where it came from. 🦅💰 #Bitcoin
We told you before about opening a LONG on Bitcoin from $70,650 with X10 leverage 🚀
Now the price has officially moved above $82,000 📈
🔥 More than +160% profit with X10 leverage.
Patience, discipline, and risk management are everything in this market. 📊
The Great Bitcoin Short from 125K (the top) continues to deliver extraordinary returns. 📉🔥
You will witness the same scenario unfold once the Great Short on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq is fully built and activated.
#Bitcoin #BTC #SP500 #Nasdaq #Trading #Investing #Markets #Crypto #BearMarket #ShortSelling #RiskManagement #TechnicalAnalysis #Finance #MarketCrash #Trader
✅ Long entry executed as planned
✅ TP1 achieved
✅ TP2 achieved
✅ Remaining position closed in profit before the market decline
Total gains exceeded 155%. 🚀
Now the question is:
• Was the long entry in the right zone?
• Was the exit timing correct?
• Was the short zone we identified a good one?
Share your thoughts below. 👇
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Trading #CryptoTrading #BitcoinTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #MarketAnalysis #CryptoInvestor #TraderLife #ProfitTaking
Closing the remaining 35% of my #Bitcoin long position here at $77,210.
More than 90% profit secured on the remaining position.
Now shifting focus to what comes next…
The next phase could be brutal.
Around 50% of the previously planned short orders have been triggered and added to the long-term short position from the top. ✅
The position is being built exactly according to plan.
what comes next could surprise a lot of people.
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading #Long #Short #MarketAnalysis #CryptoTrader
We are continuing to build our short position on the Nasdaq, adding the 5th and 6th tranches above the 30,300 level.
With these additions, 60% of the allocated capital has now been deployed, while the remaining 40% is reserved for future entries if needed.
#Nasdaq#NASDAQ100 #NQ #ShortPosition #Trading #Investing #StockMarket #MarketAnalysis #RiskManagement #Bearish #USMarkets #Finance #TradingPlan 📉
Today, we continue building our short position on the S&P 500, adding the 7th tranche above the 7,600 level.
So far, 70% of the allocated capital has been deployed, with the remaining 30% reserved for future additions as the market develops.
#SP500 #ES_F #ShortPosition #Trading #Investing #StockMarket #MarketAnalysis #RiskManagement #Bearish #USMarkets #Finance #TradingPlan 📉
I know I’ve warned you many times about a major collapse, but every time I see a new confirmation, I get even more excited to share that.
Months ago, we sold all of our spot crypto holdings near the highs, and as of today, we no longer hold any spot positions in the crypto market.
All of our crypto long positions were closed with strong profits, except AEVO, which was stopped out — a normal part of risk management and trading.
Our current positions are:
• Gold and silver only as our main holdings, we still believe wheat prices have room to move higher, A Bitcoin short position that started around the 125K region, with additional entries added in zones mentioned in previous posts. So far, the position has performed very well, S&P 500 short position using a DCA strategy. We continue adding gradually above the 7500 region. We started with smaller positions and continued scaling in according to the plan, Nasdaq short position using DCA, and we continue adding above 29K.
Our view has not changed so far. If anything, what we’re seeing now continues to align with the scenario we discussed a long time ago.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Cryptocurrency #Trading #CryptoTrading #BitcoinShort #SP500 #Nasdaq #Gold #Silver #Wheat #DCA #RiskManagement #MarketCrash #MarketAnalysis #Investing #Finance #BearMarket #TradingView
Months ago, while most people were looking for an instant bottom or expecting a fast reversal, we pointed out something different: the market was entering a Profitability Compression phase.
Looking at MVRV today, that view still holds up.
The market continued doing exactly what we discussed:
• Holder profits kept shrinking
• Unrealized gains faded further
• And a large part of the excess greed has already been flushed out
Back then, we made one thing very clear:
Bottoms are processes, not events.
We never called for an instant reversal or claimed the bottom was already in. The expectation was a gradual transition — a market building its base over time.
Today, the structure still looks very similar.
Yes, price is moving closer to long-term value areas, but MVRV is still above the levels historically associated with full capitulation.
The view remains the same:
Not an instant bottom.
Not a completed cycle reversal.
Just a market slowly going through its cleansing and rebuilding phase.
And that’s the difference between reacting to price… and understanding structure. 🔥
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoAnalysis #MVRV #OnChain #OnChainAnalysis #BearMarket #MarketStructure #Trading #Investing #CryptoTrading #SmartMoney #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoInvestor #FinancialMarkets #MarketCycle #BullRun #Capitulation
Market Structure Insight — MVRV | Hash Rate | Puell Multiple
Based on the current readings across the three indicators, we can build a broader view of the phase the market is moving through — especially when linking holder profitability, miner revenues, and network strength together:
1️⃣ MVRV
The MVRV ratio continues to approach levels that historically reflect significantly reduced unrealized profits among Bitcoin holders. A large portion of the gains that existed near the highs has already been absorbed during the recent drawdown.
Reaching these zones typically signals that the market has flushed out a meaningful share of accumulated greed, with portfolios gradually rotating back toward cost-basis levels.
However, it’s important to clarify:
Entering these ranges does not necessarily mark the final bottom. More often, it reflects:
• Advanced stages of correction
• Extended re-accumulation ranges
• A bottoming process built over time — not a single sharp reversal
2️⃣ Hash Rate
From a network perspective, the Hash Rate remains relatively elevated despite the price decline. This reflects strong underlying infrastructure and indicates that large mining operations have not capitulated yet.
But when Hash Rate is viewed alongside miner profitability, clear pressure begins to emerge:
• Lower BTC price
• Stable or rising operating costs
• Compressed mining margins
This environment creates what’s known as Miner Stress.
If price pressure persists, this phase can evolve into Miner Capitulation — where weaker miners are forced to shut down and liquidate reserves to cover operational expenses, adding additional supply to the market in the short term.
3️⃣ Puell Multiple
The Puell Multiple, which measures daily miner revenue relative to its yearly average, is currently hovering near historical contraction zones.
This indicates:
• Depressed mining revenues
• Profitability under pressure
• Miners earning below their annual norm
Historically, when the indicator enters these levels, miners begin selling newly mined BTC — and sometimes treasury holdings — to sustain operations, increasing short-term sell pressure.
At the same time, these zones have frequently aligned with:
• Late bear market stages
• Long-term value areas
Connecting the Three Indicators
When combining the full picture:
• MVRV → Holder profits largely eroded
• Puell Multiple → Miner revenues compressed
• Hash Rate → Still strong, but under rising stress
This structure reflects a market undergoing financial cleansing — where easy profits are removed, producers are pressured, and supply redistributes into stronger hands.
Not an instant bottom…
But a gradual base-building environment.
━━━━━━━━━━
Conclusion:
• The market is in a clear profitability compression phase.
• Holder gains have declined toward historically bottom-range levels.
• Miner revenues are contracting significantly.
• Miner Capitulation risk is emerging but hasn’t peaked yet.
• Hash Rate remains strong — signaling no mass surrender so far.
We are most likely in the second half of the bear market,
approaching long-term value zones…
But it’s still premature to confirm the end of the Bear Market.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #CryptoMarket #OnChainAnalysis #MVRV #HashRate #PuellMultiple #CryptoCycle #BearMarket #MarketAnalysis #LongTermInvesting
@aussiExau Appreciate it, mate. Risk management always comes first. We’re not going all-in at one level — positions are built gradually through predefined zones using a DCA approach.
Closing the remaining 35% of my #Bitcoin long position here at $77,210.
More than 90% profit secured on the remaining position.
Now shifting focus to what comes next…
The next phase could be brutal.
Around 50% of the previously planned short orders have been triggered and added to the long-term short position from the top. ✅
The position is being built exactly according to plan.
what comes next could surprise a lot of people.
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading #Long #Short #MarketAnalysis #CryptoTrader
We told you before about opening a LONG on Bitcoin from $70,650 with X10 leverage 🚀
Now the price has officially moved above $82,000 📈
🔥 More than +160% profit with X10 leverage.
Patience, discipline, and risk management are everything in this market. 📊
@HelloSwagkong Appreciate it. The goal was never to chase every move — just follow the plan and stay disciplined. Emotions make people react, strategy makes people profit.
Will Bitcoin crash directly from here after reaching 76K?
The answer is: not necessarily.
There is still a possibility that Bitcoin could move higher once again and revisit the remaining short zones.
If that happens, we will continue filling additional short positions in those areas as planned.
Patience and execution matter more than emotions. The market rarely moves in a straight line, and major moves often come after liquidity is taken from both sides.
We remain focused on the bigger picture and prepared for all scenarios.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Short #Trading #Markets
⚠️ Warning: A Major Market Drop May Be Ahead
I still believe the coming period could be be one of the most aggressive phases markets face in this cycle.
📉 Bitcoin: A decline of more than 25% from 80K+ levels is expected, with price potentially entering a strong downside phase.
📉 S&P 500: I see a potential correction in the range of 30% to 50% minimum, with markets entering a broad fear phase.
📈 At the same time, expect:
• A sharp rise in VIX
• MVRV dropping below 1
For a long time, we have been preparing for everything mentioned above in order to maximize opportunities and capture the biggest moves possible.
Over this period, we have achieved strong results with a trade success rate exceeding 95%, and everything we have done has been fully documented and can be reviewed at any time.
The market may be approaching a stage that forces out the majority before the next major move begins.
Not financial advice. Risk management matters more than predictions.
#Bitcoin #BTC #SP500 #VIX #MVRV #Crypto #Markets #BearMarket