The Horn of Africa is quaking yet again as the global order shifts.
I have an essay out for @ForeignAffairs on why the messy #Sudan conflict could be an omen of wars to come, as peacemaking grows ever harder.
https://t.co/aR0j1TDpKU
NEW BRIEFING | New Chapter, Same Stalemate: Somalia’s War with Al-Shabaab
Neither side is gaining a decisive advantage. Mogadishu needs to bolster its military, alleviate suffering in areas under insurgent control and look for openings for dialogue.
https://t.co/VcKvScamHw
🎧 NEW EPISODE | The Horn
This week, @alanboswell talks with @fededonelli about the shifting geopolitics in the Red Sea and how great and middle powers are competing for influence in this strategic corridor.
In partnership with @FESonline
https://t.co/UndvQkzvEM
🎧 NEW EPISODE | The Horn
This week, @alanboswell speaks with Samson Abebe Bezabeh @HKUniversity about Djibouti’s history, politics and efforts to navigate turmoil and shifting alliances in the Horn of Africa and the Red Sea.
https://t.co/6y6WJG1Nzz
“A new war in Ethiopia’s Tigray region could create a sprawling regional conflict causing misery for millions.”
Ethiopia was dominating my talks with policymakers from the U.S. to Europe. Here’s what driving the escalation: https://t.co/pk0qqvMPJH
Powerful report from @moehash1 for BBC on returning to Khartoum, a city sacked and destroyed, as some Sudanese begin trying to rebuild.
https://t.co/hIRYcvSlJ1
Terrifying warning signs that parts of #Somalia are slipping towards famine — as the US halts aid and Somali politicians bicker.
https://t.co/KZJPn0i8CO
Chris Newton + @OmarSMahmood@CrisisGroup
I really enjoyed this conversation with @NesrineMalik about the ruins of global order, in this region and beyond -- and what comes next.
https://t.co/U9lycGoOXz
The power struggle over #Tigray is once again at a very dangerous juncture.
Given regional escalations, #Sudan war, #Ethiopia-#Eritrea animosity -- what happens in Tigray is unlikely to stay in Tigray.
https://t.co/5O59rHaMp9
@MagnusGTaylor@CrisisGroup
NEW Q&A | Power Struggle in Ethiopia’s Tigray: Averting a Return to War
The dramatic struggle for control of Ethiopia’s Tigray region has taken a sharp and dangerous turn, threatening to reignite a devastating conflict. We explain what is at stake.
https://t.co/gT1HNTme7z
🎧 NEW EPISODE | The Horn
This week, @alanboswell talks with @NesrineMalik about the war in Sudan and what the conflicts in Sudan, Gaza and Iran reveal about the collapse of the global order.
In partnership with @FESonline
https://t.co/r01b7t63gp
Classic cross-border conflict unfolding: two countries facing war from within & authorities from both accusing the other side of supporting its armed opponents. What started in Sudan as a power struggle is escalating regionally ~ @AlanBoswell@CrisisGroup https://t.co/8oyVz7Jyn0
Classic cross-border conflict unfolding: two countries facing war from within & authorities from both accusing the other side of supporting its armed opponents. What started in Sudan as a power struggle is escalating regionally ~ @AlanBoswell@CrisisGroup https://t.co/8oyVz7Jyn0
“This is a worrying escalation we are seeing between Sudan and Ethiopia.”
Horn of Africa Director @AlanBoswell was on @AJEnglish to talk about the drone strikes on Khartoum International Airport.
the great @nigargoksel & I have a new @CrisisGroup piece on Türkiye’s competition with Iran & Israel, approach to the current war, and risks & opportunities as Ankara and other players prepare for an unpredictable, messy phase ahead
https://t.co/nHRYvKr7zT
On the same day, we are witnessing major escalations between Khartoum-Addis and Mekelle-Addis, both of which could unravel the region even more.
Dangerous times, as the fault lines in the Horn continue to deepen. #Sudan#Ethiopia#Tigray
Two weeks later, here is the belated communique from the #Sudan conference in Berlin.
https://t.co/xoYCQ7lLGI
The US brokered a deal between KSA and UAE for including both ‘state institutions’ and ‘civilian-led transition’ language in first para.
Here, reflections from @EroComfort and I from the #Sudan conference in Berlin.
A marked contrast: While Sudanese meeting in Berlin took a courageous step forward, the international meeting showed that outside peace efforts are backsliding.
https://t.co/stho0EwHLk
Control of Sudan is now divided between its army, which holds Khartoum and the east, and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces in the west.
The risks of long-term partition and spillover are continuing to grow: https://t.co/RJEdlkEjSc