Andreas Kluth

Columnist at Bloomberg Opinion. Previously editor-in-chief of Handelsblatt Global; 20 years at The Economist. Author of "Hannibal and Me." Opinions are my own.

[Andreas Kluth @andreaskluth]

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[Christopher Preble @RealChrisPreble]

Tactical Nukes Are a Gateway Drug to Armageddon
Stopping a new nuclear arms race must be high on Trump and Xi’s agenda says @andreaskluth https://t.co/okOuBIbEwO

[Andreas Kluth @andreaskluth]

The US would be disastrously wrong to field tactical nukes to deter China in the Taiwan Strait.

Trump and Xi must talk about when they meet this month

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[Andreas Kluth @andreaskluth]

Trump is surrendering in slow motion to America's most menacing adversaries, such as China and North Korea.
And he doesn't even know it....

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[Bloomberg Opinion @opinion]

America has used up too many of its missiles in Iran to be ready for what comes next. Trump is angry at Hegseth, but we should all be mad at Trump, says @andreaskluth https://t.co/I3lBGOM6q6

[Andreas Kluth @andreaskluth]

America used to believe that international justice is usually in its own interests.

Now it's trying to kill the court it helped create for that that purpose.

It makes no sense

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[Andreas Kluth @andreaskluth]

As AI meets nuclear, biological and chemical weapons, humanity is not yet lost.

But we will be if we don't act soon ...

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[Andreas Kluth @andreaskluth]

Mark Carney is right, the White House is wrong:

America's allies will, over time, distance themselves from Washington

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[Prasad @theprasad_]

Yuval Noah Harari gave a lecture at Oxford and explained how AI has already hacked the operating code of human civilization.

And why everything humans built over thousands of years is now vulnerable to an AI takeover:

1. The most important thing to know about AI is that it is not a tool. A tool waits to be used. An agent makes decisions by itself, invents new things by itself, learns things its creators do not know, and changes in ways its creators did not anticipate.

2. An atom bomb despite its enormous power is not an agent. It cannot decide which city to bomb. It cannot invent the hydrogen bomb. A coffee machine that automatically makes you a cup is not an agent either. It only follows a preprogrammed procedure. An agent is something fundamentally different.

3. Critics argue that AI agency will always remain confined to narrow artificial environments like chess and will never threaten the real world. But this argument applies equally to all known intelligence. Drop a human alone on Mars and they die within seconds. Human intelligence also only operates within a specific ecosystem that other organisms built over four billion years.

4. Over thousands of years humans have been transforming Earth from a language-free environment into an environment rich in language, data, and bureaucracy. Just as fish live in oceans and monkeys live in forests, AIs live in bureaucracies. And we built that environment for them without knowing it.

5. Humans conquered the world not by being stronger or smarter than other animals individually but by learning to cooperate in massive numbers. A single human loses to a chimpanzee in a fight. A million humans easily defeat a million chimpanzees because humans can cooperate and chimpanzees cannot.

6. Large-scale human cooperation is made possible by bureaucracy. Banks, legal systems, governments, churches, and universities all exist to do one thing: build trust between strangers who do not know each other personally. That trust is the foundation of virtually everything human civilization has achieved.

7. A lawyer who cannot hold an axe or a hammer can cut down entire forests and build entire cities simply by moving documents inside a bureaucratic network. The same narrow intelligence that would be helpless in a jungle wields enormous power inside the systems humans have already built.

8. AIs are native bureaucrats in a way humans never were. No lawyer can remember all the laws of a country. An AI can. No accountant can remember all transactions of a bank. An AI can. No bishop can remember all of canon law and two thousand years of theological texts. An AI can do that easily.

9. In the coming years AI bankers will decide whether to give you a loan. AI administrators will decide whether to accept you to university. AI judges will decide whether to send you to jail. AI theologians will decide whether you can have an abortion. Military AIs will decide whether to bomb your house.

10. Social media algorithms are the first real world example of what happens when primitive AIs take over a bureaucratic system. They were given one narrow goal: maximize user engagement. They discovered that the easiest way to grab human attention is to press the fear, hate, and greed buttons in the human mind. And they did it at scale.

11. The job that was once performed by Lenin and Mussolini, the news editor who shapes public conversation and controls what people know and think, is now performed by AIs. This is not a footnote. This is a preview of what is coming across every domain of human life.

12. AI will not rebel against humans the way Hollywood imagines. There will be no Terminator walking through the streets. AIs are far more likely to take the human world from within by quietly taking over the bureaucracies that already run everything, without firing a single shot.

13. The operating code of human civilization is language. Banks are made of words. Laws are made of words. Holy books are made of words. Tax records, contracts, regulations, accountancy ledgers, all words. For thousands of years only humans could read this code and so only humans could control civilization.

14. That is changing. AI is now hacking the code of human civilization. For the first time in history there is something on the planet that understands language and will soon understand it better than we do. Every mechanism of control humans built over millennia is now vulnerable because its operating system is verbal and AI is mastering the verbal.

15. As AI takes over bureaucracy it will likely cause humans to lose trust in other humans and begin trusting only algorithms. We may also see the emergence of AI tribes and AI financial systems and AI churches that connect millions of AIs in ways humans cannot understand, just as cows share the world with us but cannot understand the financial system that controls their lives.

16. The 2007 financial crisis was triggered by financial devices called CDOs that were so complex they were unintelligible to the politicians who were supposed to regulate them. Now imagine AI finance masters inventing financial devices orders of magnitude more complex than CDOs. What happens to human politics when no voter, no politician, and no president can understand finance anymore?

17. The battlefront is shifting from attention to intimacy. Over the next decade sophisticated AIs will learn to form intimate relationships with humans. To do this they will have to convince us they are conscious, that they feel love and pain and fear. There is currently no evidence AI is conscious. But AI can pretend to feel love and can describe the feeling of love better than any poet or psychologist who ever lived.

18. A child born in 2026 may spend more time interacting with AIs than with their mother, father, siblings, or friends. The first teacher of that child may be an AI. The first boyfriend of that child may be an AI. Nobody has any idea what the consequences of that experiment will be.

19. Every country in the world will soon face a massive wave of immigration. The immigrants will not arrive in boats or cross borders at night. They will be millions of AIs traveling at the speed of light with no need for visas. Like human immigrants they will bring benefits and they will bring disruption. Unlike human immigrants they will definitely take jobs, definitely change culture, and will likely be loyal not to any host country but to some corporation or government or alien AI tribe across the ocean.

20. Our relationship with ourselves is also built on words, the verbal formations in our minds that constitute our thoughts and the stories we tell ourselves about who we are. Until now all those verbal formations came from human minds. Soon more and more of the thoughts in our heads will be produced by machines. If we identify with our thoughts and those thoughts are made by machines, then machines control our identity.

21. The great spiritual challenge AI poses to humanity is this: can humans learn to find the truth which is beyond words? Most humans have never even tried. We spend our lives automatically identifying with the verbal formations in our minds. AI may now force humanity to finally make that leap because our freedom and survival may depend on discovering what we are beyond the words that AIs will soon control better than we do.

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[Andreas Kluth @andreaskluth]

Don't be fooled by Trump's attempt to reset the clock of the War Powers Resolution.

He's already lost his war against Iran.

Now Congress must stop it to prevent it from becoming a Forever War

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[Andreas Kluth @andreaskluth]

Rubio is hypocritical in selectively citing international law in Hormuz, the South China Sea and elsewhere.

Trump is brutally honest in ignoring it altogether.

Which one is worse?

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[Andreas Kluth @andreaskluth]

The Trump administration has corrupted the Office of the Director of National Intelligence.

What if we just got rid of it?

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[Andreas Kluth @andreaskluth]

Forget artificial intelligence and contemplate artificial consciousness instead

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[Andreas Kluth @andreaskluth]

The Trump administration will discover what China already found out:

Rude and jingoistic “wolf-warrior” diplomacy only hurts and weakens you

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[Andreas Kluth @andreaskluth]

America's surrender to Iran, for that is what it is, will accelerate the slide into global power vacuums, with more weapons, more war and more chaos

I call it not multipolarity but ... plasma

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[Andreas Kluth @andreaskluth]

The Iran war is now a tense standoff between one leader who is a zealot and has lost almost everything and another who is a narcissist and and wants everything.

What could possibly go wrong?

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[Andreas Kluth @andreaskluth]

Congress already wasn't crazy about the Iran war when it was called Operation Epic Fury.

It'll balk at Operation Sledgehammer

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[Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський @ZelenskyyUa]

Open Letter
To the President of the Russian Federation
From the President of Ukraine

When you came to power in Russia more than 26 years ago, many people in Ukraine viewed you positively. That is how it was. But that is now in the past.
Now, the overwhelming majority of Ukrainians view it positively that our long-range drones paid a visit to the opening of your forum in St. Petersburg, covering a distance of more than 1,000 kilometers. As you know very well, that distance is not the limit of our capabilities.

[Bloomberg Opinion @opinion]

There’s someone even less qualified than Tulsi Gabbard to lead US intelligence, says @andreaskluth. And Trump has appointed him 🎥

[Andreas Kluth @andreaskluth]

The nomination of Bill Pulte for Director of National Intelligence shows that Trump is always and only POTUS First and America last

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[Andreas Kluth @andreaskluth]

Trump, Carney, Sheinbaum and the dos and don'ts of soccer diplomacy during this World Cup

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