#Bitcoin – What's Next?
The Big Sunday Report: All We Need to Know
🚩TA / LCA / Psychological Breakdown:
Congratulations to everyone who followed the plan, both shorts from 120k and 80,500 are printing big and the entire framework from September 2025 has played out with perfection. So what do I expect next?
The Confirmed BlackRock Bottom (CBB):
The final Bitcoin bottom remains what I call the CONFIRMED BLACKROCK BOTTOM (CBB). The region where BlackRock launched its ETF in early 2024, roughly the 40-48k zone, remains my primary target. Bitcoin has not completed its bear market cycle. Stage 4 is finished. Stage 5 has officially begun. The biggest mistake investors are making right now and did in the recent weeks is believing that 60k was the bottom. It wasn't. It's the trapdoor into Stage 5. Every bear market creates a point where people convince themselves the worst is over, only to discover that the most painful phase has not even started yet.
The White Line Support at 60k:
One important short-term observation: the white line support is currently holding at the 60k region. This is a key technical level that has supported price for the entire move since the BlackRock ETF launch. For now, this support is holding, and as long as it does, there is a high probability we see a move back up to the 65-66k region before continuing lower. This is not me betting on this move, this is just an idea to keep in mind. Bitcoin never moves down in a straight line, and at some point the market needs a counter-move to clear liquidity in the other direction. This could very well happen right here at 60k toward 65-66k. The white line will break and thats what i am betting on, but for now it is holding, and that is what we need to respect short-term. None of this affects my trading. I keep holding my shorts from 120k and 80,500, and I do not adjust the position based on short-term fluctuation.
Stage 5 Has Officially Begun:
We are now officially entering Stage 5 of my 6-stage bear market framework, the phase in which the true capitulation should happen. But do not expect the capitulation to happen by next week, or even in the coming few weeks. These moves take time, and my time frame to see the final bottom remains September-October 2026. Expect violent moves below 60k, followed by sharp rallies back above it. Expect brutal short squeezes, painful long liquidations and heavy manipulation in both directions. This phase is designed to inflict maximum pain on both bulls and bears before the final bottom is established. The same people who refused to sell at 100k, 80k and 70k often end up selling at much lower prices because the emotional pressure eventually becomes unbearable.
The Stage 5 Catalyst:
Every major bear market has had a final catalyst. This is the stage where MSTR-type positions come under serious stress, where leveraged players get liquidated, and where large players or even an exchange can collapse. In the previous cycle it was FTX that caused Bitcoin to bottom out. This cycle will likely have its own event that accelerates the final capitulation and catches most participants completely off guard. These moves appear suddenly and destroy positions overnight. This is Stage 5
Summary:
The shorts from 115-125k remain fully open, the shorts from 79-82k remain fully open, Stage 5 is officially underway, and the most emotional phase of this bear market is only just beginning. You are now able to join DrProfitPremium for 7 DAYS FOR FREE! The invite links will be shared in the next 24-48h in the Channel linked below. Join the channel and dont miss out on the invite links: https://t.co/zkdgaR6H3c
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$BTC head and shoulder breakdown target is still not complete.
$49,000 looks like a good bottom zone as the August 2024 bottom happened around it along with ETFs inception.
BTC is going to 200k anyway, why not buying now?
Some might argue that buying today is the same if we look at the long term and expect 200k or more. This is absolutely dangerous thinking, retarded and stupid at the same time. Let’s do a simple calculation with a small amount of money. Let’s say someone only has 20k USD and is stupid enough to believe that whether he buys now or in a few months does not matter because BTC is going to 200k+ anyway.
At the current price of 70k, you only get 0.28 BTC. So once BTC reaches 200k, your funds will be worth 56,000 USD. RETARDED.
Now let’s do the calculation using a high-IQ model. Someone buys BTC at 40k with the same 20k amount and receives 0.5 BTC. That 0.5 BTC will be worth 100k once BTC reaches 200k. That is 78.6% higher than the idiot who believes in the stupid DCA strategy. Use your brain. Education is important
Also, only a total retard would put one order at exactly 40k. My orders will most likely be between 40-50, to catch most of the big fish. Orders above 60 and even close to 70 is fully retarded
People calling the #BTC bottom way too quick
Don’t be surprised by a sharp bullish trap
The sheep need another strong downside
I see ~200 more days of bear market ahead
Dont repeat the same mistake as in 2022!
#Bitcoin – Special Weekly Report:
The Big Sunday Report: All We Need to Know
🚩 TA / LCA / Psychological Breakdown: Bitcoin is currently in Stage 4 out of 6 in the current bear market: These six stages are my own framework, developed through direct observation of every major Bitcoin bull and bear market so far. The structure repeats because the underlying drivers repeat: liquidity mechanics, leverage positioning, and predictable human behavior under stress and current panic.
Stage 1: Euphoric market and insane buying appetite:
This is what happened between 115k and 125k. The first stage mainly ends with extended sideways movement at euphoric levels, often biased in one direction, or with sudden spikes to the upside after a long consolidation despite extreme bullish sentiment. On the surface, everything looks strong, but in reality the market is overloaded and overleveraged, with late entrants who believe risk has disappeared. Insane price predictions happen here, and people reach the highest level of greed.
Stage 2: Breakdown of a highly important psychological level:
This stage begins once we drop below an important psychological mark, which in this cycle was 100k. The psychological level is extremely important because its loss stresses short-term investors and flushes out leverage traders, giving them the first warning signs that their euphoric dream from Stage 1 is over. The speed of the second move is noticeable and intentional. It happens very quickly and does not allow investors to rethink, recalculate, or properly manage their positions. The market acts before they can react. It front-runs them, and many lose control here. The best example was the fast crash on the 10th of October, which caused the largest liquidation event in crypto history. It happened within a few hours.
Stage 3: The fastest and most brutal move + bear market confirmation:
After Stage 2, the market needs to move even faster. Market makers cannot allow retail to realize what is happening; the speed needs to be maintained, so an even more brutal downside move follows. Stage 3 is the fastest of all phases and fully confirms the bear market with an extreme and rapid downside move, typically exceeding a 50% drawdown from the all-time high, which has been the case. In this scenario, investors are in deep depression and strong panic. They had no time to recalculate, hedge correctly, or reduce leverage. They are sitting on losses they never prepared for. I consider Stage 3 the most brutal phase of a bear market. It happens very fast and removes reaction time. The move from 97k in January to 60k in February, a crash of 50% within only 30 days, reflects that brutality. Many have not realized that nearly 50% of BTC’s market cap was wiped out within 30 days. The most violent mechanical repricing is likely behind us, and we have now entered Stage 4, which brings retail into psychological torture.
Stage 4: Dehydration, depression, and perfect liquidity creation:
This is where we are now. Stage 4 is not very violent or volatile, but it is extremely exhausting. The price moves sideways for a long period, often several months, within its own defined region. This is why I defined the current sideways structure and drew the “box,” showing clear upside and downside boundaries. You could also describe this as a weak-hands selling zone. A sideways move allows market makers to generate liquidity on both the upside and downside by trapping breakout traders and breakdown sellers. Sideways does not mean nothing is happening in the market, that is what retail sees when markets move sideways for a long time, but the message is much bigger. It means the market is preparing to exhaust participants fully while creating a large cluster of liquidity below the current zone, an area defined as the future capitulation region. This phase creates dehydration, frustration, regret, and anxiety. Retail traders start saying, “Bitcoin will drop another 30–40%; it’s better to sell here.” Many think the same way. Most short-term holder capitulation happens in Stage 4. Retail traders exit here because they missed selling in Stage 1, failed to sell in Stage 2, and had no time to react in Stage 3. Now they sell at a loss, as on-chain data confirms. Based on the data I see, the breakdown below the box that will bring us into Stage 5 is more likely to happen in a few months, not in the coming weeks. For the short term, I have placed buy orders between 57–60k within the current sideways structure and expect a bounce in the short to mid term. This does not change my broader outlook of lower targets.
Stage 5: Total fear, drama, and capitulation:
This is the true capitulation phase. It is not always the fastest move, but it is the most emotional one. Fear turns into panic, and panic turns into forced selling, even among experienced long-term holders. This stage is often connected with the collapse of a large player, an exchange failure, or a black swan event. It is remarkable to see panic selling after an asset is already down 50–70% from its all-time high, yet this phenomenon repeats every cycle. Originally, I projected the bottom between 50–60k when BTC was trading at 120k. In January, I adjusted this to 40–50k. With current macro data and visible stress in global markets, including the REPO and liquidity markets, I now consider 35–45k as the ultimate bottom scenario. That implies another significant downside from current levels, where the final capitulation is likely to play out.
Stage 6: Stabilization and structural reversal:
This final stage is a mix of total fear, volatility, and continued sideways movement. Selling pressure gradually disappears, and the market begins building the foundation for the next bullish cycle. Structurally, market makers prepare for recovery. This is the moment when large players begin accumulating heavily during capitulation, while retail investors scream for lower and lower prices, calling for extreme targets such as 10k or below. Retail becomes greedy again for lower prices and ultimately misses the bottom, a perfect repeat of every cycle in which retail investors buy high and sell low.
Right now, we are in Stage 4. The worst in terms of high-speed mechanical downside is likely behind us, but the real psychological damage phase has just begun. Regret increases. People rethink their decisions. They calculate exit plans that come too late. This is the reason why we have seen the largest short-term holder capitulation in the last few days. The key lesson remains simple: never let the market trade you; you trade the market. When price moves fast, reaction time disappears. When price moves slowly, discipline disappears. Understanding these stages allows you to operate structurally rather than emotionally. My heavy accumulation will begin between Stage 5 and Stage 6, not before. This pattern has repeated across every Bitcoin cycle so far. Human behavior is an architecture repeating under different market conditions, but the architecture itself always remains the same.
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#Bitcoin - Preparing buy orders
Already in 2024, I said that the box plays a central role during bull market phases. At the same time the box is created, it is designed and drawn forward-looking by the market makers, with a clear view toward 2026. The purpose of the box is the creation of renewable liquidity, which is needed for every cycle, whether bull or bear. The new box spans 33%, from 87k down to 57k. For some, this may sound large, but in 2024 Bitcoin moved for an entire year within a 27% range. It’s not important to understand the range but to understand its borders and move at the outskirts of the trades, not within.
The direction of the lines is irrelevant. These support zones are purely imaginary, designed to trigger breakouts above and below renewable liquidity, allowing both major clusters to be hit over the cycle.
In other words:
Placing buy orders between: 57–60k: BIG BUY, planning to hold for 2–3 months if market allows to visit, not interested to buy higher than that! I consider 57-60k as great entry to make money for the short term and gain some serious % before we continue going down. Because of this, I keep my Bitcoin short from 115-125k fully open! The markets remain very bearish and we are in front of the great financial crisis I have spoken about in September 2025! Keeping the trade short term only as its playing with fire, but risk reward looks worth it from my perspective. My orders are set!
@ChartingGuy Bear market almost over, you and everyone in here are fools to continue to say “almost over”. $XRP will be sub $1 before any reversal begins. It’s just the beginning of a flush out. Forget 22 levels. Go back to 2020.
$XRP For all you pumpers & hopium monkeys that were pushing the TA narrative, fib & chart bs narratives, ETF action so price goes up narrative, how do you feel now…Like I’ve always said those that blocked me & those that have not, all this does not matter! Mkts do what they do
@PrecisionTrade3 Tara - I certainly would not be expecting any retrace any time soon. I respect your charting, it’s actually better then your sisters charting and analysis which proves to be inaccurate. BTC may go as high as 110-111 then leveling at 90 which it will then range for quite a while
@egragcrypto Frame this - You are Wrong if you believe $XRP will be a powerhouse asset like those assets you have mentioned. You have @MoonLamboio saying all sorts of nonsense about ETFs pushing prices if you hold for a decade (which is obvious) and now this flawed target.
@MoonLamboio one has to wonder why anyone would hold a position for decades in ETF buying crypto. Yes, over a period of time, ETFs can make an impact. The comments you and others have made about ETFs pushing prices up from last year, when I clearly said it wouldn’t, and here we are today
@el_crypto_prof@MoonLamboio Hahahaha what a stupid post. You realise you have been saying this for a year if not longer. The market will do what it wants irrespective of whatever trend you and others believe in.
@ChartingGuy Tbh Shame on everyone who expected Altseason based on history. No idea at all & hopium history repeats. I’ve been saying now for over 1.5 years now that all this analysis is good for 40%. The remaining 60% is useless as it’s now manipulated. Why doesn’t everyone understand this!