Day 100 of posting until the general public allocates 10% of their portfolio as BTC:
Bitcoin is a compact in monetary independence from the designs of any government.
#bitcoin#forever#btc#ath#notfinancialadvice
Day 343 of posting until the general public allocates 10% of their portfolio as BTC:
We can calculate the peak duration as:
Narrowest - 298 days
Widest - 551 days
First above to first postmax below - 448 days
#bitcoin#btc not financial advice
Day 342 of posting until the general public allocates 10% of their portfolio as BTC:
Given the dates:
Nov 10 2024 - first cross
Apr 8 2025 - premax recross
Jan 31 2026 - postmax cross
May 15 2026 - postmax recross
#bitcoin#btc not financial advice
Day 341 of posting until the general public allocates 10% of their portfolio as BTC:
After peaking, btc fell below $79k first on Jan 31st and again on May 15th of 2026.
#bitcoin#btc not financial advice
Day 340 of posting until the general public allocates 10% of their portfolio as BTC:
Bitcoin fell below this level on March 10th and again on April 8th 2025 prior to achieving max price of the 2025 cycle in October.
#bitcoin#btc not financial advice
Day 339 of posting until the general public allocates 10% of their portfolio as BTC:
BTC price crossed $79k on Nov 10th 2024.
#bitcoin#btc not financial advice
Day 338 of posting until the general public allocates 10% of their portfolio as BTC:
Given this baseline, we can calculate the half max as half of $125k - $33k = $92k is $46k and then correct to $79k for the half height.
#bitcoin#btc not financial advice
Day 337 of posting until the general public allocates 10% of their portfolio as BTC:
Given the premax baseline of $30k and this projection for a bottom around $36k, let's calculate the baseline for this spike at $33k.
#bitcoin#btc not financial advice
Day 336 of posting until the general public allocates 10% of their portfolio as BTC:
Let's take the average of these values ($26.6k, $45k, $36k) which is $35.9k.
#bitcoin#btc not financial advice
Day 335 of posting until the general public allocates 10% of their portfolio as BTC:
Earlier, we projected a 2025 bottom of $41.3k, which would make the baseline $36k when averaged with the premaximum at $30k.
#bitcoin#btc not financial advice
Day 334 of posting until the general public allocates 10% of their portfolio as BTC:
Applying the 4.7x ratio to the maximum of $125k we get a baseline of $26.6k which is below the premaximum baseline.
#bitcoin#btc not financial advice
Day 333 of posting until the general public allocates 10% of their portfolio as BTC:
Taking the average of the recent peak to baseline (S/N) values (4.1, 4.9, 5.2, 4.4) we get 4.7x.
#bitcoin#btc not financial advice
Day 332 of posting until the general public allocates 10% of their portfolio as BTC:
Based on the most recent trough to trough, let's project a 2x baseline increase, which places the baseline at $45k by averaging the before and after.
#bitcoin#btc not financial advice
Day 331 of posting until the general public allocates 10% of their portfolio as BTC:
S/N (max/baseline)
2011: $27.39/$1.53 (18x)
Apr 2013: $228/$55 (4.1x)
Nov 2013: $1132/$233 (4.9x)
2017: $19345/$3743 (5.2x)
2021: $67550/$15500 (4.4x)
#bitcoin#btc not financial advice
Day 330 of posting until the general public allocates 10% of their portfolio as BTC:
Baselines:
2011: $0.73 -> $2.33 (3.2x)
Apr 2013: $13.4 -> $96.95 (7.2x)
Nov 2013: $96 -> $370 (3.9x)
2017: $1k -> $6.4k (6.4x)
2021: $11k -> $20k (1.8x)
#bitcoin#btc not financial advice
Day 329 of posting until the general public allocates 10% of their portfolio as BTC:
However the post-peak minimum has not yet been achieved so we will need to make a projection.
#bitcoin#btc not financial advice
Day 328 of posting until the general public allocates 10% of their portfolio as BTC:
For the premaximum baseline, let's go with $30,148, which occurred on Jul 17 2023.
#bitcoin#btc not financial advice
Day 327 of posting until the general public allocates 10% of their portfolio as BTC:
In the previous manner, let's consider the 2025 spike, which had a maximum price on Oct 6th 2025 of $124,748.85.
#bitcoin#btc not financial advice
Day 326 of posting until the general public allocates 10% of their portfolio as BTC:
Overall, there is a repeating pattern across all 3 durations. Let's see how the 2025 numbers compare to this potential trend.
#bitcoin#btc not financial advice
Day 325 of posting until the general public allocates 10% of their portfolio as BTC:
The 2021 data is omitted because the double peak complicates the metrics.
#bitcoin#btc not financial advice