GL Indexes now supplies Global Liquidity data in all formats, building on the original CrossBorder Capital work. Watch for further announcements over coming weeks. We calculate and curate liquidity data across over 90 economies daily, weekly and monthly. Evidence our new range:
Hmm looks like this really is a bearish flattening of the curve! Should confirm a 'Speculative' investment regime = high vol, low returns in risk assets? @gnoble79@JackFarley96@fejau_inc
Hmm looks like this really is a bearish flattening of the curve! Should confirm a 'Speculative' investment regime = high vol, low returns in risk assets? @gnoble79@JackFarley96@fejau_inc
Bearish flattening US yield curve since January is not a great omen. It is typical of 'Speculation' phases in markets. Shows increasing demands for safe asset duration and a sign that #liquidity cracks appearing
This conversation between @kofinas and @MilesTaylorUSA is one of the most interesting and important things I've heard in a long time. (I highly recommend subscribing to Hidden Forces. The "second hour" of the podcasts are often absolute gems.)
https://t.co/NoUqIRQbRZ
Suggests @izakaminska that Yuan far more vulnerable than many suggest. China has two exchange rates: internal and external. They appear to have over-leveraged USD. And, long-term they need internal devaluation to tackle debt problem
It makes perfect sense. The issue is a hard currency shortage not a yuan liquidity shortage. Based on my theory there is too much yuan liquidity underpinned by dollar substitute collateral and not enough collateral. Too much yuan liquidity is gonna put pressure on the yuan otherwise.
Great episode from @adamtaggart Mike Green nails it again @profplum99 Adam Taggart | Passive Capital Flows Are All That Matter For Stocks. Are They Starting To Falter? | Mike Green on Podbean, check it out! https://t.co/7XYJvzKdsb
9/ Of course, this might also take the form of an explicit raid on such entities, not least because the Chinese could do with the capital transfer to itself. Via Bloomberg 👇
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Scott Bessent's new game Wacka-MOVE. Designed by Treasury for#bond 'volatility controllers', fun to plays on your equity friends.... @gnoble79@fejau_inc@JackFarley96
Major bond markets ex Japan are seeing bearish curve flattenings -- a typical late-cycle sign. Evidence the #bund. Despite rising terminal policy rates, falling 10-year term premia suggest growing demand for 'safe' assets