Senior writer, N.Y. Times. Author, "Ours Was the Shining Future: The Story of the American Dream." Best book of the year, Atlantic, FT & TNR. Now in paperback.
I consider this chart to be the clearest indictment of our country’s path over the last several decades: In 1980, the U.S. had a typical life expectancy for an affluent country. Today, the U.S. has the lowest life expectancy of any affluent country:
For anyone thinking about immigration policy, I recommend this year-old piece by Michael Kazin: "How the GOP’s Hard Line Will Make America More Pro-Immigrant, Not Less." https://t.co/we5otoVgkN
The left has lost power in the U.S., Germany, Italy and Sweden. Canada and Australia may be next. And the far right is growing across the West. But there is one European country where the left has won re-election and marginalized the far right: Denmark. Why? 🧵
@JakeMGrumbach The funny thing about the traditional contact theory discourse is that now immigrants themselves are swinging pretty right https://t.co/HP99yL1Hjn
@JakeMGrumbach But what about South Texas? Queens? Chicago? Working-class communities that were most affected by the recent immigration surge swung to the right, while affluent areas that were largely untouched did not. https://t.co/Y4neURqzNC
The numbers matter too. The two countries that border Denmark — Germany and Sweden — each have a foreign-born population of 20%, not 12%.
Germany and Sweden have weak center lefts and strong far rights. Denmark has a center-left government and a hobbled far right.
"Today [2024] 12.6% of the population is foreign-born, up from 10.5% [in 2019] when [center-left] Frederiksen took office."
That's ~0.4% of total population increase in the migrant stock *each year.*
A sign, perhaps, that what matters is to get the rhetoric right?
More from Starmer: “This happened by design, not accident. Policies were reformed, deliberately, to liberalise immigration…. To turn Britain into a one-nation experiment in open borders. Global Britain – remember that slogan. That is what they meant. A policy with no support.”
Here’s PM Keir Starmer in November: “Nearly one million people came to Britain in the year ending June 2023… What the British people are owed is an explanation. Because a failure on this scale isn’t just bad luck…. No, this a different order of failure.”
Immigration is now roiling politics in the U.S., Canada, Australia, South Africa and Europe. The left's recent strategy -- lecturing working-class voters and ignoring the burdens on their communities -- hasn't worked. Denmark points to an alternative. https://t.co/wsGeOyhueh
Consider this: Around the world, there is not one clear example of a country that has accepted large numbers of newcomers in recent decades while marginalizing the far right and reducing inequality.
What a run for Ian. We are really sorry to lose him — but proud and excited that @BostonGlobe has hired him for this role. Sign up if you care about Boston or New England!
After more than seven years @nytimes, I’m thrilled to be joining @BostonGlobe to write Starting Point, the paper’s flagship email newsletter. I’m psyched to get back to my New England roots, and I’ll start writing in the coming weeks
She performed better in swing states relative to *her own performance elsewhere* (because she campaigned there). She lost NV, WI, MI and AZ, all of which Dem Senate candidates won.