Bitcoin 2020 and 2024 cycles have a remarkably similar falling wedge on the monthly linear scale. Extending out the current wedge suggests the Bitcoin bear market bottoms somewhere in August or September between $52K and $60K
MUST WATCH: MICHAEL SAYLOR ON WHY STRATEGY SOLD 32 #BITCOIN
CRITICS SAID "IF THEY CAN'T SELL IT, IT MUST NOT HAVE ANY VALUE"
BILLIONS IN BTC WOULD GET COUNTED "AS ZERO ON THE BALANCE SHEET"
SAYLOR IS SENDING A CLEAR MESSAGE. BTC IS REAL MONEY 🔥
🔴 The pound in your pocket today is worth less than half what it was in 1998
Prices have more than doubled in that time, meaning a pound now buys you around 44p of what it used to. That is what inflation has quietly done to your money over the last three decades
The same effect is hitting your savings, your wages and your pension every year you hold cash. 10k pounds sitting in a bank account in 1998 would need to be worth £22k today just to keep up
I saw an example of this recently that shows exactly what I mean
Who Wants To Be A Millionaire is still handing out the same £1 million top prize it offered when the show launched 28 years ago. Bank of England figures show that prize is now worth around £505,600 in real terms
This is where most people get money wrong. Sitting on cash is not safe, it is a slow loss you cannot see happening.
Inflation hits people with savings the hardest and people with assets barely at all, which is why the gap between owners and earners keeps widening every year
To stand still you have to grow your money faster than prices rise. To actually get ahead you have to grow it faster than that.
Most people are not losing money because they are bad with it, they are losing it because they were never taught how it works
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New Bitcoin Floor Model!
Simple and elegant.
Equal-weighted average of BTC's lifetime SMA, single EMA, double EMA (DEMA), triple EMA (TEMA), and quadruple EMA (QEMA), then plot a ±10% band around that average.
Upper band ×1.1 = $57,112
Lower band ×0.9 = $46,728
Michael Saylor gave his updated Bitcoin price predictions:
• $150,000 by end of this year
• $1,000,000 over next 4-8 years
• $20,000,000 over next 20 years
Anyone who thinks Michael Saylor is just some maniac who takes out debt to buy Bitcoin needs to watch this interview.
This is one of the most sound and rationale explanations for why Saylor is going so hard and fast into Bitcoin. Great listen.
Concerning.
UK long-term borrowing costs have hit their highest level since 1998.
30-year gilt yields at 5.74%. 10-year gilts at 5.07%.
Local elections tomorrow and not a single major political party has mentioned it.
The market is telling you something the government won't. Britain is a credit risk. The cost of decades of money printing, fiscal mismanagement and catastrophic energy policy is now showing up in the bond market.
Debt interest now exceeds £100 billion annually. That is more than the entire defence budget. More than most public services.
The Bank of England is expected to raise rates two or three more times to fight inflation it helped create.
From here there are two roads. An IMF bailout or an insane amount of money printing.
The outcome for your purchasing power is the same either way.
I'm buying Bitcoin to protect myself.
Bitcoin is about to go through its first supercycle: from $16,000 to $250,000+.
The cycle began Nov 2022 at the $16,000 bear market low.
The first peak was $126,000 and the mid-cycle low was $60,000.
The next cycle peak will land in the second half of 2027 to the first half of 2028, and I would be surprised to see anything less than $250,000 at the supercycle top.
$MSTR is currently at $182. ATH was $543. Here's why the math points at the share price being much higher.
Strategy currently owns 818,334 $BTC. Take that figure and divide it by 346 million diluted shares. That's 0.00236 $BTC per share.
The Power Law says $BTC fair value is $132K today. The model that's been right for 16 years with an R² of 0.961.
At $132K $BTC and a 1.5x NAV multiple — conservative for a bull market — $MSTR is worth ~$468 a share.
At $200K $BTC, you're looking at $750.
Current price: $182.
Average analyst target: $373.
High target: $705.
🚨 Important Point: Bitcoin
Let me remind you again, like I said two months ago.
Bitcoin has NEVER had its FULL, complete bull market EVER while the PMI was below 50 the whole time.
It's wild that people honestly think Bitcoin will correct 50% from here...
It's not 2015, people. We're talking about a completely different asset.
Bitcoin also doesn't follow the 4-year cycle. It never has. It has always followed the business cycle, and once again it is.
Like clockwork.
The pound is losing its value faster than your ability to keep up.
Every time money is printed out of thin air your purchasing power decreases. It happens silently, relentlessly and most importantly without your consent.
You will continue to get poorer year on year and most people will never understand why. They will blame their employer, the cost of living, the government of the day.
They will never trace it back to the root cause.
The money is broken. It has been broken for a long time.
This is the single most important issue of our time and it touches everything... housing, wages, inequality, savings, retirement. There is no economic problem in Britain today that does not have debased currency somewhere in its root cause.
Until people understand this, nothing will fundamentally change. Politicians will keep offering sticking plasters and the system will keep extracting wealth from those who can least afford to lose it.
Fix the money. Fix everything else.
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BREAKING: ADM Paparo, 4-star Admiral and Commander of U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, just testified before the Senate that “Bitcoin shows incredible potential” as a tool for U.S. national security. Watch the full exchange: