David Wilde

Data Scientist @CrowdStrike. Here my personal opinions, don't necessarily reflect those of CrowdStrike. Fallibilist, building & analyzing. RWRI#16

[David Wilde @DavidChrisGer]

I wrote about NumeraiAgentBench I mentioned in the Codex user group thread.
Basic idea: put coding agents in a real ML loop, not a benchmark puzzle.
They have to figure out Numerai, build models, submit, deal with delayed feedback, and keep going.
https://t.co/UlUuc6sPQA

[David Wilde @DavidChrisGer]

@reach_vb Using Codex to develop a perpetual benchmark of coding agents (Codex and Claude atm) on the @numerai Tournament.
WIP, but already interesting. https://t.co/Egj0CAVZcH

[David Wilde @DavidChrisGer]

@reach_vb Using Codex to develop a perpetual benchmark of coding agents (Codex and Claude atm) on the @numerai Tournament.
WIP, but already interesting. https://t.co/Egj0CAVZcH

[David Wilde @DavidChrisGer]

Easier to think about than: “how complex is my task”, because I always want the “best”.

[David Wilde @DavidChrisGer]

Coding agent heuristics?
Been catching up on @theo and @davis7 nerd-sniped podcast: in episode 2, Theo says that reasoning effort leads the model astray from what is in the codebase/context (I read: too much revolving on itself).

[David Wilde @DavidChrisGer]

Example: starting with little context and I desire lots of “model creativity” -> high; I want a precise code change in an existing project -> low/medium. Likely doesn’t work universally.

[David Wilde @DavidChrisGer]

@ChatGPTapp Or, you could use FafyCat: open source, local-first transaction categorization and personal finance analytics.
No account linking, and designed to be accessible to coding agents for local analysis.

https://t.co/KmORHskwei

[David Wilde @DavidChrisGer]

Claude Code weekly limit reached (personal), but so much week left.

[David Wilde @DavidChrisGer]

Biggest surprise: tabular DL architecture lost to a plain 3-layer FF net with GELU.

Post: https://t.co/Pwcbsp1MXq

[David Wilde @DavidChrisGer]

Wrote a blog post about it: 358 experiments, payout improved from -0.01 to 0.028. Era-purged CV, multi-seed validation gates, synthesized learnings, and a DO NOT RETRY table to prevent re-exploring exhausted search regions

[David Wilde @DavidChrisGer]

Tried @karpathy 's autoresearch on @numerai tournament. It's fun! Finally a workflow that transparently performs automated ML-experimentation--something that I longed for since AutoML days ~10 years ago.

[David Wilde @DavidChrisGer]

Tried @karpathy 's autoresearch on @numerai tournament. It's fun! Finally a workflow that transparently performs automated ML-experimentation--something that I longed for since AutoML days ~10 years ago.

[David Wilde @DavidChrisGer]

Who else is visited by “annoying goblin” phrases in GPT-5.4 responses?

[Dirk Ehnts @DEhnts]

He does not seem to understand that with every extra hour worked, productivity falls. Also, he seems not to grasp that an increase in productivity means that we can afford to work less. His ideas are pure microeconomics with not a hint of macro. They will fail in reality.

[Dirk Ehnts @DEhnts]

Germany stagnates because consumption expenditure is flat. Wages and government spending are not rising enough, so that household spending flatlines and the firms sell a lot less than they can produce. No supply side reform can fix this. #macro

[Dirk Ehnts @DEhnts]

Wenn es um die Wirtschaft von 🇩🇪 und 🇪🇺 geht, sollte die Nachfrageseite in den Mittelpunkt gerückt werden. Nur so kriegt man die Kapazitätsauslastung nach oben. ("Wettbewerbsfähigkeit" fällt unter Handelspolitik.)

[Dirk Ehnts @DEhnts]

Capacity utilization in the Eurozone is currently very low. This means that manufacturing companies could produce a lot more, but don't because of a lack of demand. It is simple #macroeconomics. Increase government spending and wages and firms will produce more. 💶🌍🇪🇺

[Dmitrii Kovanikov @ChShersh]

AI clearly demonstrated everyone that it doesn’t matter how fast you build if you don’t know what to build

[David Wilde @DavidChrisGer]

@kepano I've let Claude Code create a skill to write a work summary to the vault from anywhere on my machine. i.e. when fixing a bug in some project, I can now tell CC to document the fix in my notes and it will create a new note according to a note template. Very handy to keep docs.

[David Wilde @DavidChrisGer]

I love how Claude Code judges its own output 😁

[David Wilde @DavidChrisGer]

@pontus_rendahl For that matter: Mainstream economics (neoclassical) is a victim of scrutiny, too.