DerbyMaz

Avid thoroughbred racing fan. I make my own 'capping figures, which is like eating fresh homemade cookies when everyone else is eating stale, store bought stuff

[DerbyMaz @DerbyMaz]

How did Mshawish'Girl go off at 5-1

Field of 6, and half the field ran against each other last time out.

A gimme if you were paying attention
(2/1 M/L too, so was expected to be backed)

[DerbyMaz @DerbyMaz]

Ask your niece/nephew/son/daughter or any friend for that matter, when the next big race is.

[DerbyMaz @DerbyMaz]

What you should be excited for is Ohio Derby day in two weeks. Last two late P4s paid:

$1,381
$1,669

Degree of difficulty, much lower than you would anticipate

[DerbyMaz @DerbyMaz]

Triple Crown ended up w/ some reversion to the mean

On marquee Sat's, the late P4:

2026
Avg $1,254
Mdn $350

2025
Avg $1,135
Mdn $382

2024
Avg $1,545
Mdn $665

Pegasus day was the big pay day this year ($12k) w/ a lot more chalky payouts since early May

[DerbyMaz @DerbyMaz]

Jackpots are similar to this upcoming Space-X IPO.
They hype is monster, but often the results are lackluster

Typically better off finding an Intel or a Tango Zulu that you believe in and often pay off

[DerbyMaz @DerbyMaz]

Some old-school interesting debates post the Belmont stakes, but

the real question is, did we set up the casual sports fan so they are psyched and informed about upcoming GI races?

such as
Stephen Foster,
Haskell,
Travers.
& Pacific Classic

Or was it a Fumble!

[DerbyMaz @DerbyMaz]

I love the NOON start today

Find a longshot
and then watch the fabulous Zulu Kingdom at 1.45pm

[DerbyMaz @DerbyMaz]

The Derby winner won The Belmont Stakes
Golden Tempo
at 6-1

and your going to the bank tomorrow, but
not to make a deposit!!!!!!!!!!

[DerbyMaz @DerbyMaz]

Definition of a horse that doesn't like the rail

Millard's Legacy

today in the #2 post, but how do you back a horse w/ only 2 works since April 1st and coming off a 7 month layoff

[DerbyMaz @DerbyMaz]

People also forget about the middle P4s & P5s

Last year, middle P5 pool of $707k
Last year, late P5 pool of $1.1mm

This year, middle P5 pool of $510k
This year, late P5 pool of $1.1mm

& yes, the middle P5 paid $144,647.20 before taxes yesterday. play smaller pools, they pay

[DerbyMaz @DerbyMaz]

$35mm vs. $40mm handle last year
Reasons likely due to the limitations on late vol

Interesting though
Early P5 last year paid $1,488 w/ $1mm pool
Early P5 this year paid $12k w/ $774k pool

People played less likely due to Ways and Means, yet it paid more!!!!

[DerbyMaz @DerbyMaz]

While you wait to see how much rain will be coming

Yesterday's early P4 of $600, w/ Ways & Means included, that's an Overlay

The early P5 yest at Santa Anita, w/ 4 logicals and one NTL type, paying $900. Overlay

You don't always need $100 tix to win handsomely
Benjamins baby

[DerbyMaz @DerbyMaz]

Are there any horses that ran on Derby day, Preakness and Belmont day?

Or how about, they ran on Preakness day and Belmont day?

Traditionalists, please take note.

[DerbyMaz @DerbyMaz]

You should have been ready. You missed out on a 9-1 winner who was lone speed, out of Curlin, so distance not an issue.

Big prices come on lesser known jockeys and trainers

[DerbyMaz @DerbyMaz]

10 minutes to post
Not even lunch time yet
Now I can appreciate how the West Coast feels

[DerbyMaz @DerbyMaz]

@BloodHorse @Gainesway @spendthriftfarm @BelmontStakes @Saratoga1863 @FasigTiptonCo @McMahonSaratoga @CreekStud @TBaftercare Always a great read, but today's publication was a 'must read'

[DerbyMaz @DerbyMaz]

Even money on West End Kid, hmm

going up against stakes winners

Either an awfully good horse, or a 'captain-obvious' play against

[DerbyMaz @DerbyMaz]

Fully agree.

Traditionalists need to understand that the Breeder's Cup changed everything. $7mm Classic, $2mm Dirt Mile. Follow the money!!!!!!!

Before the Breeder's Cup, short spacing worked.
Not anymore

https://t.co/B4EtdlODkP

[DerbyMaz @DerbyMaz]

SAR, yes
also, Indy

and fair to say the Super Derby was not a key race

still want to see how Instant Replay runs, although highly vulnerable today

[DerbyMaz @DerbyMaz]

@westlakeracing I would normally say bring in Gordon Gekko to break up the 'Club. They have lots of services that would be better served if another firm with fresh eyes and ideas were in charge.

but, we don't need another alphabet soup type in the industry.

You are correct, we need leadership