Avid thoroughbred racing fan. I make my own 'capping figures, which is like eating fresh homemade cookies when everyone else is eating stale, store bought stuff
How did Mshawish'Girl go off at 5-1
Field of 6, and half the field ran against each other last time out.
A gimme if you were paying attention
(2/1 M/L too, so was expected to be backed)
What you should be excited for is Ohio Derby day in two weeks. Last two late P4s paid:
$1,381
$1,669
Degree of difficulty, much lower than you would anticipate
Triple Crown ended up w/ some reversion to the mean
On marquee Sat's, the late P4:
2026
Avg $1,254
Mdn $350
2025
Avg $1,135
Mdn $382
2024
Avg $1,545
Mdn $665
Pegasus day was the big pay day this year ($12k) w/ a lot more chalky payouts since early May
Jackpots are similar to this upcoming Space-X IPO.
They hype is monster, but often the results are lackluster
Typically better off finding an Intel or a Tango Zulu that you believe in and often pay off
Some old-school interesting debates post the Belmont stakes, but
the real question is, did we set up the casual sports fan so they are psyched and informed about upcoming GI races?
such as
Stephen Foster,
Haskell,
Travers.
& Pacific Classic
Or was it a Fumble!
Definition of a horse that doesn't like the rail
Millard's Legacy
today in the #2 post, but how do you back a horse w/ only 2 works since April 1st and coming off a 7 month layoff
People also forget about the middle P4s & P5s
Last year, middle P5 pool of $707k
Last year, late P5 pool of $1.1mm
This year, middle P5 pool of $510k
This year, late P5 pool of $1.1mm
& yes, the middle P5 paid $144,647.20 before taxes yesterday. play smaller pools, they pay
$35mm vs. $40mm handle last year
Reasons likely due to the limitations on late vol
Interesting though
Early P5 last year paid $1,488 w/ $1mm pool
Early P5 this year paid $12k w/ $774k pool
People played less likely due to Ways and Means, yet it paid more!!!!
While you wait to see how much rain will be coming
Yesterday's early P4 of $600, w/ Ways & Means included, that's an Overlay
The early P5 yest at Santa Anita, w/ 4 logicals and one NTL type, paying $900. Overlay
You don't always need $100 tix to win handsomely
Benjamins baby
Are there any horses that ran on Derby day, Preakness and Belmont day?
Or how about, they ran on Preakness day and Belmont day?
Traditionalists, please take note.
You should have been ready. You missed out on a 9-1 winner who was lone speed, out of Curlin, so distance not an issue.
Big prices come on lesser known jockeys and trainers
Fully agree.
Traditionalists need to understand that the Breeder's Cup changed everything. $7mm Classic, $2mm Dirt Mile. Follow the money!!!!!!!
Before the Breeder's Cup, short spacing worked.
Not anymore
https://t.co/B4EtdlODkP
@westlakeracing I would normally say bring in Gordon Gekko to break up the 'Club. They have lots of services that would be better served if another firm with fresh eyes and ideas were in charge.
but, we don't need another alphabet soup type in the industry.
You are correct, we need leadership