Devin Downing

All Fiat are melting ice cubes 🧊 | ⚡️#Bitcoin is the escape from perpetual central bank credit expansion 🟠 | Data Viz & Research 📊 | Model Builder | Author

[Devin Downing @Devin_Downing]

#Bitcoin’s current drawdown from ATH is only -36% vs past cycle lows that averaged ~-86%. My RLAE Model points to a “typical” low this cycle near -75% (≈$32K), with a wide 95% band from ~$15K–$70K. Charts shown for context, not financial advice.

[Devin Downing @Devin_Downing]

@RichardMoglen Check out $FROG high tight base, and $ACLS longer base, but both will break higher.

[Devin Downing @Devin_Downing]

@APompliano Accurate!

[Devin Downing @Devin_Downing]

@BitcoinPierre @IIICapital Not yet. Need to flush further and wash out the tourists.

[Devin Downing @Devin_Downing]

@saylor Yes, 32, $32k prediction low. https://t.co/9CGX8AtLlW

[Devin Downing @Devin_Downing]

#Bitcoin’s current drawdown from ATH is only -36% vs past cycle lows that averaged ~-86%. My RLAE Model points to a “typical” low this cycle near -75% (≈$32K), with a wide 95% band from ~$15K–$70K. Charts shown for context, not financial advice.

[Devin Downing @Devin_Downing]

@mikealfred What are you basing this on? Hogwash and not true, scroll through my TL and see where I bought and sold BTC.

[Devin Downing @Devin_Downing]

@moneyordebt It's going lower, much lower than anyone thinks.

[Devin Downing @Devin_Downing]

@TonySeverinoCMT So far, you and I are the only ones on my feed who have been correct since October's high. Just saying... Nothing to do until the second week of October.

[Devin Downing @Devin_Downing]

$MU RS pinned, higher.

[Devin Downing @Devin_Downing]

$SPX and $QQQ current situation, approaching +95PI

[Devin Downing @Devin_Downing]

@TonySeverinoCMT Nice work, Tony. I'm short from $79k and also short $MSTR. First time I've been short since the last bear flag.

[Devin Downing @Devin_Downing]

Volatility is pressing toward the +2 sigma level, with +3 sigma now in sight.
That’s not “just another red day” behavior — that’s the market drifting toward statistically extreme fear. The closer VIX gets to +3σ, the louder the message: stress is building. $VIX $SPX low coming.

[Devin Downing @Devin_Downing]

@CryptoCon_ Good job! I've built gobs of different models and ensured they're uncorrelated with different independent variables, and I can see a sub-$30k print too.

[Devin Downing @Devin_Downing]

@natbrunell @socialwithaayan @grok https://t.co/NL0BmTbSYI

[Devin Downing @Devin_Downing]

#Bitcoin’s current drawdown from ATH is only -36% vs past cycle lows that averaged ~-86%. My RLAE Model points to a “typical” low this cycle near -75% (≈$32K), with a wide 95% band from ~$15K–$70K. Charts shown for context, not financial advice.

[Devin Downing @Devin_Downing]

@BitcoinPowerLaw NO.

[Devin Downing @Devin_Downing]

@I_Am_The_ICT https://t.co/9CGX8Aujbu

[Devin Downing @Devin_Downing]

#Bitcoin’s current drawdown from ATH is only -36% vs past cycle lows that averaged ~-86%. My RLAE Model points to a “typical” low this cycle near -75% (≈$32K), with a wide 95% band from ~$15K–$70K. Charts shown for context, not financial advice.

[Devin Downing @Devin_Downing]

@TonySeverinoCMT @Andre_Dragosch Tony's correct in this statement; I had several family members and friends text yesterday, scared and searching Google for answers.

[Devin Downing @Devin_Downing]

@SheTradesIct Not a chance.

[Devin Downing @Devin_Downing]

@JonStoski @TonySeverinoCMT Jon, yes, we dip below $50k, scare the daylights out of the power-law crowd, create a fat tail in the distribution, bounce into $32k, then reclaim power law with a $230k halving target by March 2028.

[Devin Downing @Devin_Downing]

@nsquaredvalue We bounce, get everyone bullish like at $80k, thinking the lows are in, then flush one last time in Q4.

[Devin Downing @Devin_Downing]

@moneyordebt Much lower than $58k