Doug Kaplan

Most accurate poll 2024. President of Kaplan Strategies, global polling & market research firm. Political analyst, parent, dog lover. 🇺🇸🇮🇱

[Doug Kaplan @dougjkaplan]

Wow, look at this! Back in 2011, FOUR years before Trump even announced, I predicted he could win the presidency. Nailed it 13 years ago! 🚀🔮 #Throwback #PresidentialPrediction #Trump

[Doug @dobied]

Just watched Bill O. I love Donald Trump. We need a real person not a diplomats who can lead our country. Trump has me sold.

[Doug Kaplan @dougjkaplan]

@greta You forgot Claude

[Doug Kaplan @dougjkaplan]

Recently Kaplan Strategies Orange County Florida Poll Kaplan Strategies surveyed 641 residents through a web panel and text messages between August 6 and 7. The poll carries a margin of error of 3.9%.
The debate over the hotel tax comes as some community leaders call for changes to how the 6% levy is spent. Affordable housing remains a pressing concern for many in Central Florida, and public transit systems like Lynx and SunRail face funding and service limitations. At the same time, millions from the hotel tax continue to support marketing for Orlando’s theme parks and expansion of the Orange County Convention Center. The tourism industry, for its part, remains firmly opposed to broadening the tax’s use.

https://t.co/KGFFCv8eei

[Doug Kaplan @dougjkaplan]

@ChrisCillizza It’s a bid deal because the Democrats have
Lost their marbles.

[Doug Kaplan @dougjkaplan]

@benshapiro Congrats.

[Doug Kaplan @dougjkaplan]

Kaplan says two questions in particular separated Letlow from Fleming.

“We asked a couple of questions about loyalty to Trump and if age is an issue. And those two issues helped Letlow and hurt Fleming,” Kaplan said.

Kaplan says with this margin closely
mirroring Letlow’s margin over Fleming in last month’s primary,

Fleming has a very tall task ahead of him if he expects to close the gap between now and June 27th. https://t.co/Flxi2m2iA0

[Clara @subtle_chaos666]

Your story is more mythology than anything.

Massie had a catastrophic polling drop in mid-2025 - independent of the record-breaking campaign spending.

Kaplan Strategies June 2025 poll of likely GOP primary voters in Kentucky’s 4th District showed Massie at 23% favorable / 62% unfavorable and only 19% re-elect support.

In Massie’s May 2024 primary, AIPAC spent ~$300k against him.

Virtually no additional money had been spent against Massie by June of 2025.

He was already underwater 40 points with voters in his district.

[Doug Kaplan @dougjkaplan]

Louisiana Poll

[Doug Kaplan @dougjkaplan]

LETLOW SURGES TO COMMANDING 15-POINT LEAD AS
FLEMING’S CAMPAIGN STALLS HEADING INTO JUNE 27
RUNOFF
New Kaplan Strategies poll shows Julia Letlow consolidating the Republican vote across
every major demographic while John Fleming’s momentum flatlines one month from runoff
day
https://t.co/3nOAOVZyVT

[Doug Kaplan @dougjkaplan]

@BillBrooklyn10 How about western digital

[Doug Kaplan @dougjkaplan]

@TheChrisMoreno @RepThomasMassie Definitely on the swing. I think Paxton has it locked up. Trumps endorsement is worth 15% minimum in a primary. Hope you are well

[Doug Kaplan @dougjkaplan]

I think I was first to put out a poll showing @RepThomasMassie was toast. Look for more polling from Kaplan Strategies. What else would you like us to poll?

https://t.co/LcO21oj2JW

[Mark Naughton @MarkNaughton9]

TRUMP TUESDAY
Tonight 7E

Trump beats Cali…again

Epstein files show Trump alerted police of Epstein

Massie goes rogue

@MichaelCasey_ Reports

@dougjkaplan Returns

Sponsored by @LibertyCigars
Code TT47 for 10% Off your premium cigars 🇺🇸

https://t.co/GI40a48Mtc

[Doug Kaplan @dougjkaplan]

Kaplan Strategies Poll A supermajority of Miami voters supports strong borders, while a near-supermajority things otherwise law-abiding undocumented immigrants shouldn’t fear deportation.
Miami has long been known as the “Gateway to the Americas,” and new polling shows that when it comes to how its citizenry feels about the treatment of undocumented immigrants, that title remains apt.

https://t.co/e7oac5lIV2

[Doug Kaplan @dougjkaplan]

https://t.co/IwHHCFhcKO

[Doug Kaplan @dougjkaplan]

🚨 Victory Alert!

Congratulations to Commissioner Shan Rose on winning re-election in Orlando’s District 5 — focused on affordable housing, homelessness, and public safety.

Proud to have partnered on this data-driven campaign.
Kaplan Strategies clients won in 7 states this cycle! 🇺🇸

#KaplanStrategies #Election2025 #Leadership #DataDrivenResults

[Doug Kaplan @dougjkaplan]

I question this with the young turnout so far.

[Eric Daugherty @EricLDaugh]

🚨 JUST IN: FINAL NYC MAYOR poll, ATLASINTEL

🔵 Zohran Mamdani: 43.9% (+4.5)
🟠 Andrew Cuomo: 39.4%
🔴 Curtis Sliwa: 15.9%

Wow — did NOT expect it to get that close. NYC, SAVE YOURSELF!

[Doug Kaplan @dougjkaplan]

@EricLDaugh @Kag3C I have seen the young people turning out. I question this.

[Doug Kaplan @dougjkaplan]

@CubsKatie First I heard of this. It’s on the list.

[Doug Kaplan @dougjkaplan]

Should we poll New Jersey?

[Politics & Poll Tracker 📡 @PollTracker2024]

Kaplan Strategies poll | 10/16-10/18 LV

Virginia Governor
🟦Abigail Spanberger 51%
🟥Winsome Earle-Sears 41%
—
Virginia Attorney General
🟥Jason Miyares 45%
🟦Jay Jones 44%
—
Virginia Lt. Governor
🟦Ghazala Hashmi 48%
🟥John Reid 41%

https://t.co/RmTNLNo4JT

[World Elects @ElectsWorld]

🇺🇸#USA, 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election poll:

Spanberger (D): 51 %
Earle-Sears (R): 41 %

Governor Youngkin (R) can't run for reelection.

Kaplan Strategies, 18/10/25