Post-market recap:
Bulls defended the morning lows and squeezed this tape right into the close.
QQQ reclaimed 665 and pushed near the highs, while SPY had the cleaner structure, closing strong near 719–720. ES felt stronger than NQ most of the day, which tells me this wasn’t just a pure tech chase — there was broader buying underneath.
Main reason for the move: earnings were good enough, AI infrastructure names still have momentum, and oil cooling off helped remove some fear from the tape. Month-end flows probably added fuel too.
Key levels I’m watching next:
QQQ: 668.5–670 resistance | 665 pivot | 657.6 support
SPY: 719.7–720 resistance | 715 pivot | 710.5 support
Bias stays constructive as long as these reclaimed levels hold. If they gap it up tomorrow, I’m not chasing — I’d rather wait for a clean pullback or a failed breakdown setup.
#SPY #QQQ #ES #NQ
Morning Market Weather
The market opens with a tech-led bias, but the tone is still cautious. Fed policy is on hold, yields remain a key pressure point, and oil is keeping risk appetite from getting too comfortable. That creates a setup where NQ/QQQ have the best relative strength, while ES/SPY may need broader participation to extend.
Key Levels
•NQ: 27,400 pivot. Above it = 27,460 / 27,540 / 27,620. Below it = 27,130 / 27,091 / 27,000.
•ES: 7,200 is the key psychological zone.
•QQQ: Watch the VWAP + prior day high/low for direction.
•SPY: Same idea — VWAP and prior day levels matter most.
What matters today
This looks less like a clean trend day and more like a session where traders need confirmation before committing. If price accepts above VWAP and holds the pivot, bulls have room. If it loses that area and cannot reclaim it, sellers may take control quickly.
Trading approach
The best setup is patience at VWAP and the pivot. Until then, the middle of the range is likely just noise.
Bias
Slightly bullish in NQ/QQQ, more cautious in ES/SPY, and still headline-sensitive.
#NQ #ES #QQQ #SPY #FuturesTrading #DayTrading #Vwap #MarketUpdate #TradingPlan #Nasdaq #SPYOptions #QQQOptions #Premarket #TechStocks #RiskOn
$CL_F CRUDE OIL OPENS IN 30 MIN - Here’s the play:
Expected: Gap to $59-60 on Venezuela news
Trade Plan:
1️⃣ Let it spike
2️⃣ Watch $58.40 (YDH) - key resistance
3️⃣ If holds & builds → continuation
4️⃣ If rejects → fade the gap back to $57-57.50
Current: $57.33
Levels: PMH $57.93 | YDH $58.40 | PBL $56.63
News-driven gaps often retrace 50-80%. Don’t chase the open.
Sunday 6pm ET / 5pm CT 🔔
#CrudeOil #FuturesTrading #WTI #CL_F
$SLV Yesterday’s silver crash wasn’t random.
Here’s what happened:
CME Advisory 25-393 (Dec 26): Margin requirements raised to $25k/contract
That’s the 2nd hike in 14 days. Cost to hold futures positions TRIPLED since early 2025.
Thin holiday liquidity + forced liquidations = -11% flush from $84 → $73.72
Classic “Silver Thursday” vibes - exchange stepping in to cool parabolic move.
But here’s the thing: Physical fundamentals (China export curbs, structural deficits) haven’t changed.
This was leverage getting flushed, not demand destruction.
$73-75 might be the entry legacy bulls were waiting for.
#Silver #Commodities #FuturesTrading #silvershortage
$SLV Yesterday’s silver crash wasn’t random.
Here’s what happened:
CME Advisory 25-393 (Dec 26): Margin requirements raised to $25k/contract
That’s the 2nd hike in 14 days. Cost to hold futures positions TRIPLED since early 2025.
Thin holiday liquidity + forced liquidations = -11% flush from $84 → $73.72
Classic “Silver Thursday” vibes - exchange stepping in to cool parabolic move.
But here’s the thing: Physical fundamentals (China export curbs, structural deficits) haven’t changed.
This was leverage getting flushed, not demand destruction.
$73-75 might be the entry legacy bulls were waiting for.
#Silver #Commodities #FuturesTrading #silvershortage
$SLV Yesterday’s silver crash wasn’t random.
Here’s what happened:
CME Advisory 25-393 (Dec 26): Margin requirements raised to $25k/contract
That’s the 2nd hike in 14 days. Cost to hold futures positions TRIPLED since early 2025.
Thin holiday liquidity + forced liquidations = -11% flush from $84 → $73.72
Classic “Silver Thursday” vibes - exchange stepping in to cool parabolic move.
But here’s the thing: Physical fundamentals (China export curbs, structural deficits) haven’t changed.
This was leverage getting flushed, not demand destruction.
$73-75 might be the entry legacy bulls were waiting for.
#Silver #Commodities #FuturesTrading #silvershortage
$SLV Yesterday’s silver crash wasn’t random.
Here’s what happened:
CME Advisory 25-393 (Dec 26): Margin requirements raised to $25k/contract
That’s the 2nd hike in 14 days. Cost to hold futures positions TRIPLED since early 2025.
Thin holiday liquidity + forced liquidations = -11% flush from $84 → $73.72
Classic “Silver Thursday” vibes - exchange stepping in to cool parabolic move.
But here’s the thing: Physical fundamentals (China export curbs, structural deficits) haven’t changed.
This was leverage getting flushed, not demand destruction.
$73-75 might be the entry legacy bulls were waiting for.
#Silver #Commodities #FuturesTrading #silvershortage
MARKET UPDATE: $SPY & $QQQ pull back after record highs 🧵
1/ SPX hit fresh ATH Friday at 6,945.77, now trading ~6,920 (-0.4%)
QQQ down -0.5% to ~$620 as tech megacaps (TSLA, NVDA) decline
Classic profit-taking after 3 consecutive years of double-digit gains
2/ THE BIGGER PICTURE:
∙SPY up 17.7% YTD (best since 2021)
∙Q3 GDP revised to 4.3% (strong)
∙Fed minutes Wednesday
∙10Y Treasury ~4.13%
∙Market cap-weighted indices testing resilience
3/ TECHNICAL VIEW:
RSI showing bearish divergence (lower highs while price hit new peaks)
BUT: SPY still above key moving
averages, 5-day inflows $3B, retail sentiment positive
Support at 6,900. If it holds, this is healthy consolidation before 2026.
#SPY #QQQ #StockMarket #FinTwit #TradingView $SPY $QQQ
@abcampbell Classic supply shock setup. China export licensing + 5-year consecutive supply deficits + surging industrial demand = structural bull case. Not just a spike, this is a regime change for silver. Physical markets are already showing premiums.
@ThiccTeddy Solid pattern recognition. Key is whether it breaks $36 with conviction or fakes out. I’d wait for the break + retest before entry. Stop below the right shoulder (~$33) keeps risk defined. The 52-week range shows $50+ is realistic if momentum follows through.
NY session update — ES & NQ futures 📉📈
Both ES and NQ opened into key intraday levels after this morning’s economic data finished hitting the wires.
ES is holding above the 6,854–6,860 support band, while sellers continue to defend the PMH/YDH zone overhead.
NQ is showing similar behavior — consolidating below the YDH/PMH cluster with buyers repeatedly stepping in above PML (25,603).
What I’m watching now:
• Acceptance above intraday VWAP → intraday shift in momentum
• Rejection from PMH/YDH zones → continuation of range-type behavior
• Break below PML → deeper pullback opens up toward lower daily levels
With the data behind us, price action should lead the rest of the session. Stay nimble.
#ES #ES_F #NQ #NasdaqFutures #FuturesTrading #DayTrading #Scalping #PriceAction #Trader #NQ_F
Follow-up on this morning’s NQ plan 👇
We talked about NQ being caught between pressure (PMH/YDH) and support (PML).
After hours:
• Clean rejection from the PMH/YDH zone (25,685–25,732)
• Pulled back into TD VWAP around 25,626
• Now hovering just above PML at 25,603
No major structure break yet — still a battle between 25,732 and 25,603.
Tomorrow:
• Hold above VWAP → buyers can take another shot
• Lose PML → opens path toward 25,488 (TDL)
Patience pays. Let price show its hand.
#NQ #NQ_F #NasdaqFutures #Futures #DayTrading #Scalping #PriceAction #Trader
QQQ is stuck just below the PMH/YDH zone (624.22–624.44) with sellers defending the top of the range.
Price is still respecting PML at 622.56.
What I’m watching:
• Break above 624.44 → continuation
• Rejection → rotation back toward 622.56
• Lose 622.56 → opens path to 618.05 (YDL)
Neutral-to-bullish tone unless 622.56 breaks.
#QQQ #NASDAQ #OptionsTrading #Premarket #Trading
SPY is trading right under the YDH/PMH cluster (684.8–684.9) as we head into the open.
Sellers defended this area overnight, but price is still holding above PML (683.29).
What I’m watching:
• Break above 684.9 → upside unlocks
• Rejection → move back toward 683.29
• Breakdown → 679.68 (YDL) becomes the downside magnet
Bullish-to-neutral bias as long as SPY holds above PML.
#SPY #OptionsTrading #Stocks #Premarket #SPX
#ES_F is sitting just under the YDH/PMH zone (6871–6873) after a clean push overnight.
Buyers are still defending above PML (6854), keeping structure intact.
What I’m watching:
• Break above 6873 → momentum opens toward 6890
• Rejection → rotation back to 6854
• Bigger breakdown → 6820 (YDL)
Trend remains bullish as long as ES holds above 6854.
#ES_F #ES #SP500 #Futures #DayTrading
Good morning traders 👋
NQ is stuck right between pressure and support this morning —
rejecting the PMH/YDH zone (25,685–25,692) but still holding above PML (25,603).
What I’m watching:
• Break above 25,693 → momentum shift
• Rejection → rotation back to 25,603
• Bigger breakdown → 25,430 (YDL)
Stay patient. First move of the day often fakes out.
#NQ #NASDAQ #Futures #DayTrading #PriceAction