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Houthi forces captured Perim island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait after Yemeni government forces withdrew, gaining more control over the chokepoint handling ~12% of global seaborne oil flows and ranked the world’s 4th.
BREAKING: Russia and India central banks are developing a digital currency mechanism for bilateral trade payments to expand trade to $100 billion by 2030.
$BTC swing supports: $78,706, then $76,298. Resistance: $81,423, then $82,108.
$77,000 is the immediate test. Structure holds above $76,298.
A daily close above $81,423 flips the view bullish. Below $76,298 opens $66,892.
$BTC: $76,995. Fear & Greed: 56. 7-day change: 0.0%.
Flat weekly price with neutral sentiment is compression, not recovery. The 30D high is $82,108. Distance to that level is narrowing.
The support that matters: $78,706.
S&P 500: -0.6%. VIX: 17.2. 10Y yield: 4.94%.
Equities soft, rates elevated. Not a risk-on environment.
CPI m/m prints this morning. Forecast: 0.4%. Core CPI y/y forecast: 2.4%. That number moves the tape.
The UK House of Lords passed an amendment requiring the Treasury to publish a national digital asset strategy within 12 months covering crypto, stablecoins and tokenized securities to catch up with MiCA and the U.S. CLARITY Act.
BREAKING: The U.S. and Mexico push for an interim trade deal before the November midterms after Canada talks collapse, with Mexico seeking relief from 50% steel tariffs and 25% auto tariffs.
BREAKING: Houthis seized control of Mocha in Yemen and advanced along the Red Sea coast to strategic islands, raising concerns about their leverage over the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, a key oil shipping route.