One of the nice features of PolyTraderPro is fat-finger protection. Anyone who has traded in prediction markets for an extended period of time has fat-fingered. We have at least one control on it, and more controls are on the way.
In our settings, one can set a limit above which an additional "are you sure!?!" dialogue box pops up. In this case, for any trade over $30k, or 18% of my balance, I want additional confirmation. This feature can be toggled off.
So, PolyTraderPro has now been updated to include taker fees and maker subsidy information! Note that this information, somewhat annoyingly, is still missing from Polymarket's UI itself.
“Backtesting suggests prediction markets have demonstrated a strong track record in forecasting electoral outcomes.”
VoteHub’s forecast includes Kalshi b/c Kalshi makes it better
Their methodology shows that PredictIt & Kalshi were more accurate than poll-based forecasts
If you want to bet on this Clavicular market you need to:
1. Understand how to interpret vague rules
2. Know how similar Polymarkets have resolved in the past
3. Understand the complex resolution process
4. Argue in favor of your side in the UMA discord server
5. Understand how certain large UMA users such as UMArocks influence voting and market price
6. Understand that Polymarket might issue a clarification, and that this clarification might lead to a different outcome compared to UMA vote in the absence of a clarification
7. Know how the top UMA holders tend to vote
8. Track the votes
9. Understand the vote rolling process
10. Finally, you need to determine the fair value of the market based on everything listed above
I think the system might be broken!
Good news and bad news for PolyTrader Pro fans. The good news is that we've improved the product substantially. The bad news is that we've improved the product so much so quickly, that we are forced to raise the price.
There will still be a free version without all the bells and whistles.
Here at PolyTraderPro we have a wide range of new amazing features, including:
(1) adding in counterparty information on all trades,
(2) allowing you to buy shares by clicking on the orderbook
(3) a new proprietary feature for fast-clickers.
These are all included for the paid version only.
We'e recently made a lot of updates to https://t.co/ljhc5HURdR. Now you can see market top holder information, comments, and activity. Counterparty information is up next!
After being asked to be more transparent about app updates, @Polymarket has shipped/announced:
- public PolyUS APIs
- 5-minute crypto up/down markets
- permissionless liquidity reward sponsorship
- DomeAPI acquisition
- updated matching engine
Ivan explains how more this has been a longtime request of the community, and (at least for now) it seems like they are listening!