Leywaster Kujupiston

[Wyckoff Insider @Wyckoff_Insider]

$BTC MTF accumulation.
$USDT.D MTF distribution.
$DOGE MTF accumulation.
$LUNA MTF accumulation.

👁️

Connect the dots you only need 1 setup a week.

When I take a trade I go heavy.

[polaris_xbt @polaris_xbt]

Alts vs $BTC

We are starting to poke the range low on alt/btc.

What is coming is either the buying opportunity of a lifetime for #Altcoins or... the end of an era

[🐣 @winnicrypto]

👀

[Trader Dune @TraderDune]

Was going through old bookmarks and decided to put together some @Moneytaur_ posts that are either under-viewed in my opinion or I still find extremely valuable and worthwhile reading again🔖

🔹Whales build beliefs/narratives... to pull a 180°
https://t.co/eYSiEhO6Ii
🔹Liquidity in wicks
https://t.co/7SKbgmDa4i
🔹HTF Liquidity 🗝️
https://t.co/OKFOOAilTR
🔹SEVERAL top-calling charts to study
https://t.co/wJfImwnVLQ
🔹FET Analysis deep multi-post masterplan in depth (Helped me sell for 1,000% gain)
https://t.co/JG6HY7mTKA
🔹Don't chase PA @ CMP
https://t.co/YL4NwLqSpi
🔹Books 📚
https://t.co/XTBio9aEA3
🔹No significant FVGs/OBs = ⚡️
https://t.co/vpCFuflg5S
🔹Market activity is staged
https://t.co/1siJyWUJun
🔹Price Action vs indicators
https://t.co/5O93iQLr0t
🔹Trade Management (Trailing + planning)
https://t.co/NAd7kOOzPb
🔹"Certainty is the enemy of growth"
https://t.co/z6PMIRWbo0
🔹Spend profits on valuable learning
https://t.co/DOe7mHKOv7
🔹Bank Oligopoly
https://t.co/BngcfC3M3J
🔹Bull-Run Blueprint
https://t.co/BJIdx4huDV
🔹Whale TA > Retail TA
https://t.co/wOlazDSANP
🔹Bigger Picture: Life Advice
https://t.co/xFzDDyh4vx
🔹Truth about Life Goals
https://t.co/7m9EpDE6Qi
🔹How the cabal manipulates small caps (One of my favorites of his because this is when I started monk mode. I held PYR and watched this all unfold live, eyeing the PA that incurred when these "influencers" bull-posted on their timeline all together *aka pump n dumped*. All left behind large & fast printed lower-TF wicks.)
https://t.co/cD8UWiZc8d

[🎯 Master @Moneytaur_]

📖 25 "Cheat-codes" to achieve Success in Life

1) If you want to flourish, you take care of the soil rather than the seed. Upgrade your environment, because your environment upgrades you.

2) A flower doesn't go after the bee. The flower flourishes, and then the bee will come. Stop chasing butterflies. Plant a garden (build) so they will come to you (results)

3) Stop hanging out with losers unless you want to be one yourself. Hanging out online included - The sources you choose to receive content from, are one very big reason for your future decisions and outcomes. Choose carefully what you fill your mind it, and what you spend your most valuable asset (time) on. Don't worry about following too many sources or having too many friends. Quality over Quantity.

4) Try to never be the smartest person in all rooms you're in. Be somewhere where you can consistently learn, and be somewhere where you can consistently teach - Teaching is learning twice and can build trustworthy networks.

5) Define one Big goal for your life. Make it explicit. It will serve as your north star. Write it down in detail on a piece of paper and look at it every once in a while to remind yourself why you're doing all of this. People who write down goals are much more likely to achieve them Vs who doesn't.

6) Once you know where you're going, stay in your lane and let the nay-sayers be. They'll try to distract you and discourage you, because deep inside they actually fear you achieve more than they ever did. Remember that you're not competing with them. You're competing with poverty and who you were yesterday. Seek progress rather than perfection.

7) The worst position to find yourself in: No money + No time. Barely anyone on the planet is victim of both combined. The person who has time can always choose to trade it for money. Once you have money, you can begin choosing to trade it for time. Learn this arbitrage and you're sorted for life.

8) There are no shortcuts to any place worth going. Focus on doing what you do, and do it consistently better. It takes thousands of hours to master anything life-changing.

9) For as long as you live remember that the only free cheese is in the mousetrap.

10) Every day, do one thing that gets you closer to your big goal. Venture out into the unknown. Get out of your comfort zone. Remember, boats are safe in the harbor, but that's not what boats are for.

11) Do not quit. Everyone who won at life, simply did not give up. It might take a while, it might be hard, it might be scary at times, but as long as you keep putting one foot in front of the other, you will eventually get to a life most can only dream of. Hardships are life's way of seeing if you're ready to level up.

12) Never assume the answer is No before you ask. Let them be the ones to tell you No. More often than not you'll be surprised by how wrong you were to assume the worst. A "No" doesn't change your reality much. A "Yes" might do. Even if you get a "No", then you can ask what would've made them say "Yes". Their feedback will help you grow. You need the right mindset to understand the value on this.

13) Let them hate. Nobody throws stones at a tree that doesn't have ripe fruit on it. If you begin having haters, you're growing.

14) Stop expecting them to see what you see. Stop expecting them to act the way you would act. Stop expecting YOU from other people. They won't be able to see the world the way you see it. When you talk growth and achievements with people who don't want to grow, to them it sounds like bragging. They'll resent you from trying to move up from where they are, because your progress makes them realize that they are less in comparison. A man with no aspirations sees dreams as arrogance.

15) Others will only see the outcome, not the effort. "Overnight success" usually takes years to accomplish.

16) Stop chasing people. Yes, sex is fun, but making your dreams come true is the ultimate climax. You can't even imagine what it's like to wake up without the stress of having to survive/follow boss's rules.

17) The only real test of intelligence is if you actually get what you want out of life. Ask yourself: "If i'm so smart why am i not rich? Why have i been so many years selling my time for cheap money to make other people rich?"

Smart people are able to figure these things out. Maybe you're just smarter than your inner circle and that makes you feel smart enough, but are you?...Self-reflect and you might find the answers to change your life moving forward.

18) Learn to use leverage (and this is not about futures...) Those who use the tools at their disposal outperform the rest. Most people's lives are cheap because they think investing in themselves is expensive.

19) Rise up early. The world is lazy and unmotivated. It's easy to compete with them if you're up before them. An extra hour awake is worth more when you're 30 than when you're 80. It pays off to cut on sleep when you're younger.

20) In life you have to choose one of two pains: The pain of Discipline, or the pain of Regret.

21) You feel bad because deep down you know you could be doing better. The gap between reality and expectations creates stress. Either bring your reality to the level of your expectations, or bring your expectations to the level of your reality. Make a choice.

22) People want you to do well in life, but not better than them. Pay attention to those who don't cheer when you win. They're always ready to give you "advice" or even laugh if you fail, because they never win.

23) You can get rich by taking large amounts of risk with low amounts of money. You stay rich by taking low amounts of risk with large amounts of money.

24) Cost of public failure is the ticket to the life you dream about. Most people live with the fear of public embarassment, so they settle for whatever society tells them to settle for. You don't need others to believe in you if you believe in yourself. You get to decide whether to be your greatest obstacle, or your biggest fan.

25) The world where you were born, no longer exists, so open up your mind and get ready for the future.

Lastly, it's not the recipe that you're missing. You're smart enough to know what needs to be done, but you have to do it rather than thinking of doing it later. What you need is 6 months of focus, productive routine. In 3 years from now your life can be so much better if for the next 6 months you put in the work on your mindset and skills.

[🎯 Master @Moneytaur_]

I sell when:

🔹 Everyone on CX is calling for the moon, after Giga-moonshots.

🔹 It goes on mainstream media.

🔹 It's on billboards.

🔹 Politicians are very pro-Bitcoin all of a sudden.

🔹 The herd starts claiming the biggest altseason of all time is imminent, after explosive moves throughout several weeks...

🔹 Memecoins pump hundreds of % in days.

🔹 $'s raining over fools heads non-stop for months.

🔹 It feels too easy.

🔹 CAPO capitulates.

🔹 Elon gives potential hints for a change of trend.

🔹 XRP pumps out of nowhere.

🔹 All herd-like bullish metrics are bullish.

🔹 There's only FOMO-vibes around, and no FOMO.

[🐣 @winnicrypto]

🚨🚨🚨
OLD ALGO = 2021'S PA PLAYING OUT
A MAJOR CHANGE TO THIS FRACTAL WILL COME IN 2 TO 4 WEEKS

[Trader Dune @TraderDune]

Market Update (Operation Hardhome ❄️) V.5
(Previous Updates: 🎯🎯🎯🎯)

$BTC

The most important takeaway is that we have now hit my 104k ♨️ supply level, which was my "reverse titanic" BCS target. Bitcoin has been basically up only because there was no resistance anywhere outside of 96k that would give it any pressure, until now. We also have majors confluence with this ♨️ as well which I will get into.

Let's break this down into important technical bullish indications and bearish indications:

Bullish 💥:

- Structure is extremely bullish on all timeframes
^ 99k SH was reclaimed (SOS)
- Majors are now breaking HTF MS alongside BTC
- No signs of weakness (so far) besides the HTF rejection at supply

Bearish ♨️:

- 104k key supply has been taken and so far rejected
- We have taken NO HTF liquidity on the way up from 74k to 104k, (meaning as gas runs out of the tank, none was refueled).
- Other majors are now hitting supply alongside BTC
- Funding is turning positive

Those are the key points to understand, up to you on how you will consider them.

Now for what is next ?

I have been calling for the NEED of a pullback into liquidity for a healthy bullish continuation this whole ride up, but depending on the reaction at 104k this could be the first time it needs liquidity from both a structure and liquidity standpoint. Closing ABOVE the 104k liquidity level and that indicates massive SOS and 114k is in play.

This is just a fact on liquidity principles and many won't like to hear this. This is NOT my opinion I am about to express, it's a fact. The higher an asset goes that runs on liquidity without refuel, the larger and harder the fall will be. This is why my personal analysis is the July 24' playbook. Bitcoin is running low and possibly empty on fuel, if MMs did this on purpose than the weekly FVG range is the main eye. It sits right below the key PSL. That is where whales like to target FUD news, to send price rapidly ⚡️ down into key liquidity. So to keep this rally going, that key PSL has to hold 12H+. Right above is a partial large HTF Demand OB which is the conservative pullback area. Not a ton of juice, but it's something to keep it going if MMs have not turned price inelastic. 84k and 80k has now become too far fetched for proper pullback into liquidity while maintaining HTF MS. I won't be going all in there, but depending on future PA I might still have 1/3 LOs sit at key levels. I'll update on that scenario.

Summary: Structure is extremely bullish, but 104k ♨️ supply just gave Bitcoin strong sell liquidity when it has near empty buy liquidity left. This is where a pullback into liquidity needs to happen. Monitor the key PSL at 93.5k and HTF reaction above 104k liquidity level (if given).

$USDT.D

Tether Dominance has now caused HTF BOS, but now needs HTF BOS confirmation or SOS. There is another key SL at 4.38%.

5.10% is the liquidity to aim for pullback confluence to enter new positions for bullish continuation. Right above is the key SH, reclaiming that and that's your first major SOW.

$TOTAL

This is nearly identical to BTC, taking monthly supply here to confluence with Bitcoin's ♨️ level. 2.8T is probably the most ideal pullback target for the market, it should confluence with the rest of majors. The importance factor is the rest that sits around and within in it. Right above is the key PSL & it's within a weekly+ FVG. No 12H+ closes allowed below the key PSL and that FVG being filled in and closed below, is the main indicator this rally is over.

#TOTAL2

Finally broke HTF MS, now needs confirmation or a SOS which would occur at 1.24T SH right at equilibrium of the macro range.

I also labeled the pullback confluences above the key PSL.

Conclusion: Look to enter spot longs at a pullback into HTF liquidity marked on the charts, monitor key PSLs as all majors now have bullish HTF MS, majors are hitting ♨️ liquidity not only for the first time this whole rally, but all together at once. This is a GREAT time to TP your spot bags.

PS: There is other important confluences outside of these charts to look at

💠BVOL💠
"Something will eventually brew once BVOL hits within that trend again, the direction depends on the PA that unfolds before it."
https://t.co/JBRCSlJVK3

The trend is about to become hit right as majors take ♨️ liquidity. From a TA perspective, this would indeed indicate Hardhome is next.

💠SPX💠
https://t.co/PwgdqNyMKL

The 1M ♨️ Hidden Liquidity level has now been hit simultaneously with Bitcoin.

💠"Sell in May and go away"💠
https://t.co/SSzVCJfGwh

Whales hinting bearish Post-May with dates lined up in the 20s of May🔄🧠

[Astronomer @astronomer_zero]

"Astro, help, I'm frozen out, not positioned, just found out about you and missed the bottom, the breakout, and now potentially the rotation to altcoins, what do I do now?"

Let's work our way down priority wise

🥇The first best thing you can do is not lose money.

And the single best way to lose money is revenge shorting (because the natural feeling is being angry for missing out). 'The short towards your entry' or remaining stubbornly bearish.

Yes, the bearish stance could still be right, but this is from the standpoint of thinking the bull run continues and what to do (my standpoint), don't short unless you really know what you're doing and are very selective, because you're going countertrend.

🥈The second best thing to do is to flip the switch into a mindset that we are indeed trending up now and will continue to for a while. 'Trending up'. Doesn't mean there won't be any pullbacks (...), but it means HH, HL, HH, HL's aggressively, accept it. And with that, buying 'anything, at any point' is very likely going to get you out relatively unscathed.

🥉 So let's say you have 1 and 2 dialed, great, you're no longer losing money, and on a path to making money. Now that proves your conviction is high and you just realized it's a buyers market, and then the third thing is indeed to buy "dips" at the right time and try to not buy local tops. FOMO peaks at the local tops, when most people buy locally each time, and a pullback then still hurts even if price makes a higher high later. You capitulate the local low, price makes a higher high and feel burnt in a different way than doing the same thing in a range or down trending environment as the punishment for missing out is not as big if handled incorrectly.

So it's a good idea to get into the mindset of dip buying.

How do I buy dips?

Followers who have been here for a long time know the complexity and depth of research I put in my trades, but the threshold to the complexity of what TA exactly you use here is nearly irrelevant and could be as simple as buying a moving average long enough to catch good dips with some conviction and you will make money, not lose money.

"Effective TA can be very easy, but understanding the conditions of the market is hard yet only the latter makes the former work"

So now that I gave you the conditions, you can to the degree mentioned stick to simple TA such as (short list just projecting the simplicity, there are way more options)

1⃣classic support and resistance,
2⃣finding the right EMA and buying the dip every time it touches
3⃣buying large liquidation flushes

Once you buy a dip, price should rush away the next day(s) (plus or minus some drawdown), your bags are up, and all eyes are on taking profit.

If you're using leverage, I'd say take 70% out by the time you really expect another flush, also to limit funding rate costs because they are significant.

If you're holding spot, I'd say put more focus on selling slowly but surely into overall market top.

So with that said, you haven't lost that much opportunity to make money yet, you're just dealing with different conditions I hope you have accepted by now.

Money making potential in a market never ends, as it should be. A market never dies.

[Sergio Tesla @sergio_tesla_]

$BTC

Still haven't had a retrace of any sort, but if you've been following along you know my rule:

After big impulsive moves to the upside, I become short-term bearish.

And after a move like this, it would be unwise not to become locally bearish.

We left quite some FVGs to the downside, which more often than not get (at least partially) filled sooner rather than later.

Just look at the chart; how many FVGs do you still see unfilled since we put in the top of the range in December of '24?

The only ones still open are the ones we put in during the last 2 weeks. All the previous ones have been filled completely.

This is simply what happens when price is in a range, and so far we are still in the range.

When price finally breaks out of the range to new highs (which I have always said I believe it will), then FVGs will be left behind as price finds a new fair value.

We can see this happen when we broke out of the 2024 range up to new highs:

I already know what you're going to ask next, so let's tackle that while we're at it.

But Sergio, you said we are currently in the impulse stage, doesn't that mean we can leave these FVGS behind?

Ah yes, an excellent question indeed. The thing is, there is a big difference between last year's breakout and the current PA.

Let us revisit a point I made in the quoted post: heading straight into ATH without any retracement would not give us the highest odds for a breakout.

If we keep going straight up into ATH, we have a couple of problems:
1. We build no base (support)
2. FOMO will increase massively at the top
3. 1+2 together make for a great recipe for a quick reversal

You will see the difference in PA clearly if we put them next to each other:

Right now we just have straight up, while previously we had nice structure heading into the high, with clean S/R flips.

This builds a solid base, which acts as support and thus is generally more difficult for price to reverse in a very drastic fashion (not impossible - improbable).

Right now, we haven't had any of that, it's just been straight up. This means we don't have any support building on the way up.

If you combine that with heavy FOMO, then it's much easier to reverse such a move to the downside in very drastic fashion, than the kind of PA we saw during the '24 breakout.

Putting it all together
There is every reason to at least be cautious here at these price levels. Is it impossible for price to keep ripping past ATH? Of course not, but it's less probable.

Pair that with the fact that we have massive FVGs to the downside that indicate big bullish moves, then this is not the area where you get massively bullish.

The time to be a massive bull was at the bottom. Now is the time to get cautious. That does not mean I am flipping bearish, because I am not.

As you know, I've been calling for the continuation of the bull run this entire consolidation. But at least a short-term retracement is becoming increasingly likely here.

Because I know some people will ask, if we do get a retrace, then the green box is an area I would be looking at:

For now local structure is still bullish though, I see no confirmations yet of this retrace playing out, nor would I short it.

But I will not be caught off guard if it happens.

[CrediBULL Crypto @CredibleCrypto]

And just a reminder while I finish recording my new Youtube vid...

If you're feeling fomo with $BTC pushing here, don't.

If $BTC does break out here you aren't missing anything.

The big money will be made on the 10, 20 and 50x's that follow on alts, not on the potential 1.5-2.5x that $BTC may give you from current levels.

You have time to position on alts, yet. A BTC breakout is just the pre-cursor.

[Leywaster Kujupiston @Leywaster]

@t_in_crypto @Nebraskangooner 1960

[JACKIS @i_am_jackis]

And I swear that most people still don't get it

I've been live in the charts every single day through Covid & after

Most "CT gurus" been bearish on #Bitcoin all the way up from Covid lows & didn't flip bullish until 12K & went immediately back to being bearish on the drop to 10K & then coped all the way up to 25K at minimum

Even though they will tell you otherwise. This was the reality. Most missed the upside

It is always different, yet kinda same. You have the cleanest HTF S/R flip you can wish for now, this time even more HTF giving it even more significance & yet I see so many repeating the same mistakes as before

Do you ever wonder in hindsight how so many could've been so bearish back then? Well, just look at nowadays

[EnhancedMarket @EnhancedMarket]

Trading made me a millionaire.

Sadly, very few traders will make it as far as I have.

Most will never see the truth about trading at a high level.

So I’ll give you some insider information…

Here are the 7 habits of millionaire traders:

[ᛋ @Tolimanu]

BTC ☉ next play

Pump to 97-98K.

Dump to 82-85K
(at most 77-79K).

Pump to new ATH
(End of May).

#speculation ®️

[Goshawk Trades @GoshawkTrades]

Stop trying to trade every move.

I spent months doing it,
It trapped me in a losing cycle, throwing away weeks of PNL.

Then I focused on ONE principle & finally made over 6 figures.

Here's how:

[Sykodelic 🔪 @Sykodelic_]

This simple chart tells us exactly where we're headed.

Ask yourself...

Where do you think this goes next?

[ᛋ @Tolimanu]

BTC 97K -> 76-77K ?

#speculation ®️

[ZeroCool @trader_zc_]

I'm adding a bit more to my short here...
Come at me, bulls! 😘
Still got another order waiting for ya at $96,300!

[ZeroCool @trader_zc_]

Ok @Max1milianPrice...

Here’s my approach on why I believe BTC has topped here.

Let’s start with liquidity and key resistances first...

As we can see, $BTC swept a very significant lower high, taking out the liquidity that was positioned above.

There’s still another key resistance: the POC of the distribution range at $96,300, perfectly aligned with the Golden Pocket on the linear scale. (I wouldn’t rule out one more attempt toward this level early next week.)

Was this entire rally from 74k sustainable?

The simple answer is no. It was primarily fueled by leverage, and the current dynamics suggest that the market makers’ game plan is complete. BTC pumped with an insane amount of leverage. Now, as BTC seems to have reached a potential top, market makers have been unloading spot positions, bringing spot back down to the exact same levels where the rally started - at 74k.

But wait a minute - how is it possible that BTC still holds nicely at 94k while spot has been sold off down to 74k levels?

The answer most likely lies with Bybit. According to my order flow software, Bybit once again stepped in with massive market buying (+$200M in market longs) to stabilize price while spot kept unloading. This move helps maintain the bullish narrative and continues to lure retail buyers at these elevated levels.

In addition to that, the circulating stablecoin supply is dropping, with a bearish moving average crossover. Historically, whenever this happened, BTC either moved sideways or faced a heavy correction - but it never pumped after such a bearish crossover.

Taking all of this into account, I believe this entire rally was nothing but a dead cat bounce before a major crash unfolds - potentially targeting levels as deep as 52k. Hope this makes it clear why I'm max bearish right now.