3OT) With Gonzaga moving to the PAC 12 (still getting used to saying that) and St Mary’s with a coaching change, can the WCC still be a multiple bid league. A tough one. Somewhat Likely?
2OT) Will NCAAT expansion hurt the product? Will there be a drop in interest or ratings? Definitely Doubtful. Seems like a thing George Carlin would say.
4) Lot’s of great storylines from last year, including not only the regular season but the NCAAT run by Nebraska. Can the Huskers make it back to back for the first time since the early 90s? Likely.
1) I am not legally versed in the court battles for eligibility, but I ask this question. Will the roster uncertainty continue into the start of the season? Seems Likely.
@hoopjunkies This week on the Wednesday 5, let’s play a game of Likely or Doubtful from around college basketball for the 2026-27 season. Follow along.
Might be early on the calendar, but never too early to start my exhibition tour for the upcoming season. Outdoor hoops from Charleston! Vandy vs Virginia.
3OT) Finally, I wanted to pass along the gut punch I got when reading about Chris Spatola passing yesterday. I did not know Chris that well, but others I respect in this business, had the highest respect for him.
2OT) Some others I think you might interesting…. Arizona 1.1. Tennessee 1.05. So making the Elite 8 again should not be the expectation, it should be noted for how special it is. Houston and their run of success, .5! Think that K Sampson dude can coach?
OT) My favorite is Kentucky. I am native Kentuckian so if there is a broadcaster who gets it, it’s me. The Cat’s number is 1.7. So if your expectation is hanging that 9th banner, that is just not realistic.
5) Would it surprise you to find UConn at 1.65 while winning 4 titles? It makes the D Hurley run look even more incredible. Florida 1.65 while winning 3 titles. Michigan St 1.8. Purdue 1.25 which makes the Painter run sensational.
4) The numbers drop off dramatically after the Blue Devils. I am not giving all the teams. You can do the math for your team. Kansas 2.25. North Carolina 2.05 while winning 2 titles. Gonzaga 2.0. So yes, get to the second weekend is the expectation.
3) What program do you think is at the top? Duke at 2.95. I argue that Duke fans have the right to expect their team in that regional final every season. Winning a title cannot be the expectation….that is just the hope.
2) Win a game it’s +1, win 2 games, +2, and so on. Win it all and it is +6. Add it all up and then divide by 20. Since most power teams are judged by their NCAAT success, this will give you the avg number of wins over 20 years. Some numbers will shock you.
1) Why 20 years? It takes into account, different coaches, different players, injury riddled seasons, minimizes just bad luck, among other things. Here goes. If you miss the tourney it’s a -1. Make the tourney but lose in the first round, a zero.