#BTC
3 Phases of The Bitcoin Halving
1. Final Pre-Halving Retrace
The Pre-Halving Retrace has already occurred and is in the books
However in this cycle Bitcoin produced two Pre-Halving Retraces: -18% in March and another -18% pullback this April
In previous cycles, this Pre-Halving Retrace was -38% in 2016 and in 2020 it was -19% deep
This Pre-Halving Retrace represents the final bargain-buying opportunity in the Pre-Halving period
The Bitcoin Halving occurred 5 days ago
So that final Pre-Halving bargain-buying opportunity is now over
The Pre-Halving Retrace is over
However, the Pre-Halving Retrace tends to occur with the sole focus to develop a Re-Accumulation Range which will be the next phase in the Bitcoin Halving cycle
2. Re-Accumulation
Now that the Pre-Halving Retrace has occurred, it has set up the very foundations of the Re-Accumulation Range
This Re-Accumulation Range tends to develop a few weeks before the Halving but the majority of this Re-Accumulation Range forms after the Halving
This Range concludes with a breakout from it several weeks after the Halving
The goal now is for Bitcoin to move sideways to catch a breather, for the market to cool-off after fantastic Pre-Halving price performance
The Re-Accumulation phase can last multiple weeks and even up to 150 days (i.e 5 months)
Many investors get shaken-out in this stage due to boredom, impatience, and disappointment with lack of major results in their BTC investment in the immediate aftermath of the Halving
3. Parabolic Uptrend
Once Bitcoin breaks out from the re-accumulation area breakout into the parabolic uptrend (green)
It is during this phase Bitcoin experiences accelerated growth into a parabolic uptrend
Historically, this phase has lasted just over a year (~385 days) however with a potential Accelerated Cycle occurring right now, this figure may get cut in half in this market cycle
$BTC #BitcoinHalving #Bitcoin
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#BTC
The Pre-Halving period is officially over
Post-Halving Re-Accumulation begins today
This phase represents the very last bargain-buying period before Bitcoin enters the Parabolic phase of the cycle
$BTC #BitcoinHalving#Bitcoin
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#BTC
This is now an -18% deep pullback that has lasted 10 days thus far
Depth-wise, this is very close to bargain-buying territory based on pullbacks in this cycle (up to -23% deep at most)
Time-wise however, this is still one of the shortest retracements in this cycle (currently only 10 days long)
Previous pullbacks have lasted 2-3 weeks and at most up to two months
$BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin
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#BTC
3 Phases of The Bitcoin Halving
1. Final Pre-Halving Retrace
A Pre-Halving retrace tends to occur a 28 to 14 days before the Halving event itself (dark blue circle)
In 2016, this Pre-Halving retrace was -38% deep and lasted 3-4 days
In 2020, this Pre-Halving retrace was -20% deep and lasted 56 days (8 weeks)
Currently, $BTC is just over 14 days away from the Halving, pulled back -18% in total over the past couple of weeks
If the Pre-Halving Retrace bottom is in...
BTC therefore would've repeated a lot of qualities from the Pre-Halving Retrace of 2020
After all, the most recent retrace was -18% deep and lasted 7 days or so
However, Bitcoin in 2024 also repeated some 2016-like qualities as well
Because Bitcoin began its Pre-Halving Retrace ~30 days before the Halving whereas in 2016 Bitcoin began its retrace 28 days before the Halving
As a result, it looks like Bitcoin may be repeating pieces of both 2016 and 2020 Pre-Halving price tendencies
But the goal of a Pre-Halving Retrace is three-fold:
a) To offer one final bargain-buying opportunity in the Pre-Halving period
b) To form the Range Low of the future Re-Accumulation Range
c) To set up the next phase in the Bitcoin Halving Cycle: "Re-Accumulation" (red box)
With the latest rejection at ~$70,000...
It's possible that we may now know where the Range High of the Re-Accumulation Range may be
As a result, it's possible that this Pre-Halving Retrace period has already established the very beginnings of the Re-Accumulation phase
2. Re-Accumulation
The beginning of the "Re-Accumulation" phase occurs once the Pre-Halving Retrace has bottomed
In other words, the bottom of the Pre-Halving Retrace historically becomes the bottom of the Re-Accumulation Range (red)
It's still uncertain if the Pre-Halving Retrace bottom is in
However, because a Pre-Halving Retrace has occurred already...
It is possible that Bitcoin is slowly transitioning away from its Pre-Halving Retrace phase into its "Re-Accumulation" phase (red)
The goal now is for Bitcoin to move sideways going into the Halving and beyond
The Re-Accumulation phase can last multiple weeks and even up to 150 days (i.e 5 months)
Many investors get shaken-out in this stage due to boredom, impatience, and disappointment with lack of major results in their BTC investment in the immediate aftermath of the Halving
However, in this cycle it is the very first time that this Re-Accumulation Range is developing around the New All Time High area
As a result, this Re-Accumulation Range may simply take the shape of a regular sideways range like we've seen throughout the cycle thus far and may not last very long before additional uptrend continuation
3. Parabolic Uptrend
Once Bitcoin breaks out from the re-accumulation area breakout into the parabolic uptrend (green)
It is during this phase Bitcoin experiences accelerated growth into a parabolic uptrend
Historically, this phase has lasted just over a year (~385 days) however with a potential Accelerated Cycle occurring right now, this figure may get cut in half in this market cycle
$BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin