Nikolai Kunitsõn

Analyst @e_riik. Junior researcher @TallinnUni Ph.D. in political science in progress.

[Nikolai Kunitsõn @NKunitson]

Me interviewing possible students: Why do you want to study at Tallinn University?
Student: Well, I'm in Kyiv and the rockets are scary.

Ouch.

[Fotballandslaget @nff_landslag]

Norway is coming🇳🇴

[𝘽𝙡𝙖𝙠𝙚 @Arealmfngl]

If true this would be a huge win for feminism. Women are grossly underrepresented in the dictatorship and authoritarianism fields

[ℏεsam @Hesamation]

Mythos, regulate something.

make no mistakes.

[Finbarr Bermingham @fbermingham]

Report Rob cites

"Industrial firms based in China receive more subsidies than competitors based everywhere else. Between 2005 and 2024, Chinese firms received on average 3-8 times more gov support than firms based in the OECD, a conservative estimate"

https://t.co/h5swRK6dQ3

[Jason Levin @iamjasonlevin]

Jobs after AGI:

- podcasters
- plumbers
- memelords
- AI agent slavemasters
- masturbation consultants

[Ryanair @Ryanair]

does he not have teammates?

[780th Military Intelligence Brigade (Cyber) @780thC]

How China-linked threat actors obtain zero-day vulnerabilities
Barracuda
https://t.co/rwUYsw4UmC
@barracuda

[Nikolai Kunitsõn @NKunitson]

@fbermingham Not sure if this counts as public, still no official pressrelease or anything. Right?

[“paula” @paularambles]

they call them crisps there

[Donald Tusk @donaldtusk]

European Council meeting. For the first time in years there are no Russians in the room. Huge relief.

[Brandon Beylo @marketplunger1]

lol who did this.

[Michael Ron Bowling @mrbcyber]

China is supplying drones, money and propaganda to support Russia. There should be no surprise that Beijing is assisting Iran as well.

Any authoritarian state or terrorist organization opposed to the west is likely to receive some support from the CCP.

[Ryan Naraine @ryanaraine]

7 years ago

[Nikolai Kunitsõn @NKunitson]

💀 💀 💀

[The Halfway Post @HalfwayPost]

BREAKING: A new poll in Hungary found that JD Vance's visit to Budapest made Viktor Orbán's party lose 3% of its support.

[Kaitsepolitseiamet @kaitsepolitsei]

Kaitsepolitseiamet panustas koostöös partnerteenistustega GRU küberüksuse APT 28 globaalsesse tõkestamisse Eestis olevate ruuterite haavatavuse paikamisega, sulges neile ligipääsu ning seeläbi tõkestas GRU küberluure tegevust.

https://t.co/CWPeI1rKrl

[Rapid7 @rapid7]

🚨 Rapid7 Labs has uncovered stealth “sleeper cell” access embedded in telecommunications networks by a China-nexus threat actor.

Telecom networks are the central nervous system of the digital world. This type of compromise impacts everyone. IoCs & more: https://t.co/KYiNGbxCEs

[Nikolai Kunitsõn @NKunitson]

Odavam kui Rail Baltic.

[Kalshi @Kalshi]

JUST IN: NASA announces $20 billion plan to build permanent moon base

[Ingrid Peek @PeekIngrid]

#Life 😅🤣

[Edward Luce @EdwardGLuce]

Strange situation where we await a statement from Iran to check whether there's any truth to what US president is saying.

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

We firmly believe there are ongoing US-Iran "peace deal" talks right now:

Why? Because we have seen this EXACT sequence of events MULTIPLE times in previous deals negotiated by President Trump.

In fact, the May 2025 China trade deal followed the exact same timeline.

On April 24th, 2025, just 15 days after the "90-day tariff pause," which also came as the 10Y Note Yield soared above 4.45%, President Trump made similar claims about China, and China responded like Iran just did.

Trump said China was interested in a "trade deal" with the US, and China responded stating that "there are absolutely no negotiations between the US and China."

Just 3 weeks later, on May 12th, 2025, the US and China announced their first trade deal, reducing tariffs to a 30% baseline.

We believe a similar situation is happening right now with Iran, behind closed doors.

As Iran's war strategy has become to play the “long game” and pressure the US/Israel through capital and energy markets, Iran does not want to lose leverage and allow markets to normalize until a definitive deal has been solidified.

This is the same exact form of leverage that China had in April 2025 negotiations, which they initially denied, as the 10Y Note Yield broke above 4.50% and US equity markets collapsed.

We believe Trump is following the same playbook now.

That said, volatility will persist until there is a clear agreement in place, and broader market normalization after this historic shock will take months.

Pattern-based trading has become incredibly profitable over the last 12 months, and we continue to update our models as a result. Bookmark this post.

Keep following the patterns.