Nick Tagas

Freedom is the freedom to say that two plus two makes four. If that is granted, all else follows.

- George Orwell, 1984

[Nick Tagas @Nick_Tagas]

So based (in reality).

So utterly based!

[James Lindsay, anti-Communist @ConceptualJames]

But where's the lie?

[Nick Tagas @Nick_Tagas]

@Hotshot_Movie No one expected him to lose but most were interested in him as a second place candidate.

The main surprise is the unprecedented meteoric rise of a 3rd place candidate who, in post-election ballots, has become the #1 candidate.

That seems weird.

[Nick Tagas @Nick_Tagas]

Your post wreaks of ignorance or implicit bias.

Both Bass and Raman are devoted Marxists. Either one is a win win.

Pratt represents Classical Liberalism. He is the real threat to, "overthrowing the system to rebuild it in the name of ("communism")" [a.k.a. "Heaven on Earth"].

[Latinos Por Pratt @LatinosPorPratt]

Every legitimate vote in LA deserves to count, but a broken system dilutes our community's voice. Latinos Por Pratt is launching a data-driven election audit of the June 2 mayoral primary. We aren't waiting for certification—we are building the legal case now. 🧵👇

🗓️ THE TIMELINE:
🔹 Now – June 30: Mapping raw voter data, flagging commercial/vacant addresses, & tracking daily mail ballot returns.
🔹 July 2: Official Certification.
🔹 July 3 – July 7: 5-day window to file a formal state legal contest based on the data.

WE NEED YOU.
How to get involved:
1️⃣ Data Analysts/Coders: Help us parse LA County voter files & flag anomalies.
2️⃣ Eyes on the Ground: Verify suspicious addresses in your neighborhoods.Protect the integrity of our vote. DM us or click the link to join the team: https://t.co/vS8rwGirSO

¡SPENCER, SACA LA BASSURA! @spencerpratt

[Nick Tagas @Nick_Tagas]

LA residents simply voted for self-immolation?

They saw addicts shitting on the streets, torturing dogs to death? Graffiti & garbage everywhere? Businesses fleeing? The city dying? And they said "yeah I want more of that".

This isn't fraud. This is the machine using existing state laws to overpower the rule of the people.

[Steve Hilton @SteveHiltonx]

Nearly a week into California's election shambles. The world is laughing at our inability to count votes in a timely manner. Where is Gavin Newsom?

No comment except to reject my plan to speed things up. We deserve better than a do-nothing, checked-out governor. Time for change!

[Nick Tagas @Nick_Tagas]

Hard truths.

[Peter Boghossian @peterboghossian]

If you do not like the vote in LA, don't complain, just don't visit. If you live there and don't like it, move. And if you have a business there and you're upset, move your business. Starve them of tax revenue. Stop whining. Start starving.

[Nick Tagas @Nick_Tagas]

A Californian ballot only needs a hand written date written in it.

It does not need to be postmarked.

Let that sink in.

[Susan Shelley @Susan_Shelley]

@IDoDeclare83 Here is the regulation, on the Secretary of State's website. Mail ballots with no postmark and no delivery service marking must be accepted as valid if the voter has handwritten the date on the envelope and the written date is on or before Election Day. https://t.co/kvirTSAqS5

[Nick Tagas @Nick_Tagas]

@MarkHalperin You forgot:

- Skid Row ballot harvesting
- No voter ID laws
- 10 days of vote counting after election night.

Raman had a 1 in 100 chance of overtaking Pratt after election night in distant 3rd after 48% of all votes were reported.

1 in 100. Let that sink in......

[Nick Tagas @Nick_Tagas]

@KenGardner11 Thanks Ken.

Reading St. John's book list curriculum for undergraduates has been a great adventure I have undertaken.

[Nick Tagas @Nick_Tagas]

@KenGardner11 can you steelman an argument against Aristotle's argument as posed in Book VIII of Physics regarding the existence of Gods/God?

[Christopher F. Rufo ⚔️ @christopherrufo]

The feeling in the LA mayor's race at the moment

[Spencer Pratt @spencerpratt]

"A net swing of more than 43,000 votes since Tuesday.."

43,000, huh? Where have I seen that number before...?

Probably nothing. 🤷

[Nick Tagas @Nick_Tagas]

@JoStewart22 @MeghanMcCain Ma'am, I'm gonna need you to calm down.

Our state elections are intentionally rigged to keep our state a 1-party state ruled by Democrats.

Now unless you are reading Aristotle by your pool, I am better than you.

So please go do something else.

[Nick Tagas @Nick_Tagas]

Ma'am, I'm gonna need you to calm down.

It's okay. We have in our state,

- Universal mail-in ballots sent out to everyone over the age of 18 as verified by the DMV, no proof of citizenship needed.

- Voter ID Laws are illegal

- Ballot harvesting is Legal

- 10 days after election to count ballots

- Signature verifications are meh

- State laws banning federal audits.

It's okay. Our 1-party Democrat run state is doing just fine. The good work of a free Republic.

[Nick Tagas @Nick_Tagas]

"Raman’s late mail in ballot surge was fueled in large part by ballots from Skid Row.

Tens of thousands of homeless whose ballots are sent to central addresses (not the sidewalk) & can be filled out/returned by someone else."

Totally no skullduggery. Nothing to see here.

[Houman David Hemmati, MD, PhD @houmanhemmati]

As @BoredElonMusk & the data show, Raman’s late mail in ballot surge was fueled in large part by ballots from Skid Row.

Tens of thousands of homeless whose ballots are sent to central addresses (not the sidewalk) & can be filled out/returned by someone else.

Suspicious…

[Nick Tagas @Nick_Tagas]

Really guys? Relax.

This is totally normal for California elections to last 10 days after election day or until a Democrat wins.

[Andrew Follett @AndrewCFollett]

@robbystarbuck As @robbystarbuck knows, I win elections for a living.

Ive NEVER seen one more obviously stolen than this one.

These results CANNOT naturally occur.

Note how returns for Raman soar on June 4-5th and even surpass Bass and Pratt returns.

Thats impossible.

[Nick Tagas @Nick_Tagas]

@AandGShow What do you guys always say?

"Ideology trumps logic."

[Nick Tagas @Nick_Tagas]

What is the statistical likelihood that 40% of votes from a “new batch” of ballots go to a candidate who received 24% of votes from all other batches that represented 95% of counted electorate.

Assuming the candidate’s “true” share is 24%, the odds that a random new batch lands at 40% or higher depends on batch size:
50 ballots
0.88%
100 ballots
0.028%
200 ballots
0.00004%
500 ballots
~0.00000000000018%
1,000 ballots
~0.0000000000000000000000000035%”

Assume 40,000 ballots.

If the 40,000-ballot batch were drawn from the same population that produced 24% support in the other 95% of votes, then seeing 40% support in that batch would be far beyond one in a billion or one in a trillion.

75 standard deviations is in an entirely different universe.

The probability is approximately:

~10⁻¹²²⁰

or about

1 chance in 10¹²²⁰

That’s a number with roughly 1,220 zeros after the 1.

[Nick Tagas @Nick_Tagas]

If the 40,000-ballot batch were drawn from the same population that produced 24% support in the other 95% of votes, then seeing 40% support in that batch would be far beyond “one in a billion” or “one in a trillion.”

75 standard deviations is in an entirely different universe.

The probability is approximately:

~10⁻¹²²⁰

or about

1 chance in 10¹²²⁰

That’s a number with roughly 1,220 zeros after the 1.

[Nick Tagas @Nick_Tagas]

@ConceptualJames @TimothySandefur @peterboghossian

All 3 of you are my most respected Aethists/Agnostic thinkers on many levels.

I am reading Aristotle's Book VIII "Physics" and I would very much enjoy each of your thoughts/opinions on his argument as I understand him to be arguing in favor of the existence of God/Gods.