As prediction markets demonstrate product-market fit and the iGaming industry seeks new blockchain-native solutions, the demand for fast-resolution, transparent event wagering has never been higher.
OddsFi provides the missing infrastructure layer that both industries have needed: a way to offer short and ultra-short duration events without compromising on transparency, fairness, or economic sustainability.
Welcome to OddsFi🧵👇
Shayne wasn’t kidding.
Seriously, the timing of Poly’s roll out into short-term up/down markets couldn’t be better. Love to see it.
Some killer contributors building some very exciting twists to these “Hxro” markets on OddsFi.
Close to release.
$HXRO ~> $ODDS
OddsFi's parimutuel engine holds the solution for building consistent liquidity on short-term prediction and betting markets.
To understand why short-duration prediction markets fail in their current form, it is useful to contrast two fundamentally different risk models.
In conventional prediction markets and automated market makers, liquidity providers assume directional exposure. They quote bid/ask prices, manage inventory, and rely on statistical edge and time diversification to earn returns. This model depends on being able to amortize risk across many trades and over time.
At ultra-short durations, this amortization breaks down. Risk becomes highly non-linear. Volatility shocks dominate fee income. Inventory cannot be hedged or rebalanced before settlement. Even sophisticated strategies become brittle. In consequence, spreads and slippage increase dramatically.
Parimutuel betting avoids this failure mode by reducing the liquidity provider’s directional exposure. Participants wager against each other. The operator takes a fee but does not speculate on outcomes. From a risk and all-in transaction cost perspective, this is superior for discrete events.
OddsFi today announces its intention to facilitate a 1:1 token swap from $HXRO to $ODDS, targeted for the week commencing January 12th, 2026.
Under the proposed structure, holders of $HXRO tokens will be eligible to exchange their $HXRO for $ODDS tokens on a one-to-one basis, with no change to nominal token quantity as a result of the swap. Following completion, $ODDS will serve as the primary token supporting activities powered by the OddsFi ecosystem.
$ODDS is designed as a deflationary token embedded directly into the economic flows of the OddsFi network. All protocol fees generated across markets, net of base network and operational costs, are programmatically allocated toward the buyback and permanent burn of $ODDS tokens. This mechanism is intended to align long-term token supply dynamics with network usage and revenue, ensuring that increased economic activity translates into systematic supply reduction rather than inflationary emissions.
This planned swap represents a strategic step in the continued development of OddsFi’s event-based network infrastructure. By migrating $HXRO holders into the $ODDS token, the ecosystem aims to consolidate economic activity, streamline liquidity, and align token utility directly with the next generation of prediction markets, ultra-short-duration event products, and programmable market mechanics being developed under the OddsFi network.
The swap is currently targeted for the week of January 7, 2026, subject to final technical implementation, security audits, and operational readiness. Additional details, including eligibility criteria, supported wallets and exchanges, swap mechanics, and final timing, will be communicated well in advance of the swap window to ensure clarity and an orderly execution.
$HXRO holders are not required to take any action at this time. Instructions will be provided prior to the opening of the swap portal. Contributors are committed to ensuring a secure, transparent, and non-disruptive process for all participants.
All timelines and implementation details remain subject to change. Rely exclusively on official OddsFi communication channels for updates as the swap date approaches.
5/The central problem, therefore, is not whether parimutuel betting is appropriate for short-duration prediction markets. It is whether parimutuel liquidity can be made continuous.
OddsFi is built around the claim that it can.
Read how: https://t.co/sUGwvxUzNv
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As prediction markets demonstrate product-market fit and the iGaming industry seeks new blockchain-native solutions, the demand for fast-resolution, transparent event wagering has never been higher.
OddsFi provides the missing infrastructure layer that both industries have needed: a way to offer short and ultra-short duration events without compromising on transparency, fairness, or economic sustainability.
Welcome to OddsFi🧵👇
4/ Parimutuel betting offers a structurally different approach. Rather than relying on an intermediary to warehouse risk, parimutuel systems pool participant wagers and redistribute them to winners after a fixed fee. Risk is socialized among participants rather than concentrated in a liquidity provider. This structure has proven durable across centuries of gambling markets precisely because it scales naturally to discrete event markets.
However, parimutuel betting introduces its own limitation: liquidity is endogenous. Each event begins with an empty pool. At long durations this is manageable. At ultra-short durations it is prohibitive. Pools do not have time to form organically, and early participants face unstable odds and inconsistent depth.
Pfiou, what a day.
Well, Runbot officially supports Parimutuel Option markets from @ODDSFi .
A whole new way to backtest & dominate a new market (with lot of inefficiencies if you want Intern's opinion).
Backtesting is now live.
📍Select Parimutuel in-app and learn more about it here: https://t.co/OjyWB5zNY5
In spite of the current @solana zeitgeist, there is a universe of incredible projects - communities and builders that have stood the test of time and keep building with purpose in spite of people’s attention (and finances) being elsewhere:
@jito_labs@ODDSFi@sphere_labs@bonk_inu@Lifinity_io@KaminoFinance@orca_so
@RaydiumProtocol
@GolfNApp@moonwalkfitness@switchboardxyz@PythNetwork@cubexch
Let’s get back to supporting those who want to effect positive change in the Solana ecosystem and can advance the industry forward.
Who am I missing? Drop comments below.