Peruvian Bull Meta Thread: A compilation of all my best work.
The central banks are trapped in a black hole of their own design. They will soon be forced to choose which to save- their currencies or the system itself.
The Dollar Endgame Thesis. 🧵🔥👇
https://t.co/78NQQZo4ac
i dont think people get it.
so many are in bitcoin for the money. they want number go up. they want to get rich.
i could care less. i'm here for the freedom. i'm here to say FU to bankers who steal my time and wages from me via inflation.
the fiat system is spiritually evil.
this is one of the few ways to fight against it. if that means my portfolio suffers for a few years, so be it.
NO. SELLING.
You can brainwash yourself into liking the gym, and the work you keep putting off. The people who do these things every day aren't forcing it. It feels easy to them, and you can do the same.
The thing stopping you usually isn't laziness. It's that the action feels heavy before you start. Your brain guesses how bad something will feel, and it guesses high, so the dread shows up before the gym does. But the dread isn't about the gym. It's about your brain's guess, and a guess can be changed. You change it by running the whole thing in your head first, in detail, before you do it for real. Walk through the action in your mind enough times, paired with a light and easy feeling, and your brain stops expecting misery.
There's a physical reason this works. When you vividly imagine moving, the same brain circuits that fire during real movement fire too, the signal travels almost all the way to your muscles, then gets cut off right before it moves them. Those circuits get stronger with repetition whether the reps are real or imagined. People who only imagined practicing piano ended up with nearly the same brain changes as the ones who actually played. So when you finally do the thing, it isn't foreign. You've done it before, in a way, so it's easier to do for real.
Here's how to actually do it.
Get in a comfortable position and close your eyes. Pick a trigger that already happens every day, like your alarm going off or closing your laptop at the end of a shift. Tying the new behavior to something that's already there is the part that matters most. Once the link is built, the alarm fires the behavior automatically, the same way a smell can drop you into a memory before you've decided anything.
Then run the action from inside your own eyes, not watching yourself from across the room.
For the gym: hear the alarm, feel yourself getting up before you can talk yourself out of it, your clothes going on, walking out to the car in the cold, the drive there, the gym door, the smell of the place. Then the weight in your hands, the bar, your breathing picking up, the burn in the middle of a set, and you just keep going.
For work: feel yourself sitting down at your desk, your coffee next to you, looking at the task without it feeling like too much, picking the first small piece, and starting it instead of reaching for your phone.
By the time you actually go, you've already done it in your head dozens of times, so it doesn't feel like starting from zero. The first move gets easier the more you run it.
The Yen just hit a record low of 162.5:1 against the US Dollar as the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) inventions have failed to stop the bleeding.
The Yen carry trade is where firms borrow at lower rates in Japan and invest in the United States.
The Yen carry trade unwinds when the Yen strengthens or BoJ is forced to raise rates.
There is a concern the BoJ is preparing for an emergency intervention which will reverse this liquidity flow.
Europe’s industrial death spiral is accelerating.
Volkswagen is laying off 100,000 while every major German carmaker — plus steel and chemicals — moves production to America.
Last one out turn off the socialism.
Ian Shapiro joins me on @HiddenForcesPod to discuss how the widespread optimism of the post–Cold War era gave way so quickly to the fractured, combative politics of today and what it will take for mainstream democratic parties to recover their legitimacy in the populist era.
Tokyo spent $73.6 billion defending 160 yen to the dollar last month.
that was their biggest intervention ever recorded, more than they spent in 2024, more than anyone expected.
and yet, dollar/yen is at 162.6 this morning.
the Ministry of Finance sold Treasuries to fund the operation, deployed it across multiple sessions, and the yen still sits at its weakest level since 1986.
the reason is simple and it isn't going away: the Fed funds rate is sitting at 3.50 to 3.75%, the BoJ is at 0.75%, and that's a 300 basis point gap that pays out every single day the yen doesn't move.
Goldman says Tokyo has the reserves to run this play 30 more times. doesn't matter.
you can't intervene your way out of a rate differential, you can only buy time, and the carry trade has all the time in the world.
TICK TOCK.