@randgroup Reminds me of the $LINK staking setup. Everyone watching the token price go sideways while the underlying network activity quietly broke out. Equities front running spot is the same trade, different asset.
The RWA market is on a trajectory from ~$25B today to $30T+ by 2034.
McKinsey: $1.9β4T (2030)
Citi: $2.7β8.2T (2030, base $5.5T)
ARK: $11T (2026)
BCG Γ Ripple: $9.4T (2030) β $18.9T (2033)
Standard Chartered: $30.1T (2034)
That's 100x growth in a decade.
What this means:
β Institutional capital inflow accelerating
β Infrastructure is becoming the bottleneck
β Early builders have a massive advantage
The institutional evidence is already here:
- BlackRock's BUIDL fund nears $2B AUM and is being used as DeFi collateral
- JPMorgan's Kinexys has processed $1.5 trillion+ in tokenized transactions
- DTCC, NYSE, and Nasdaq are integrating tokenization into core settlement workflows
Mavryk's $14B+ pipeline is proof. The market's just warming up π
Sources: McKinsey, ARK Invest, BCG, Standard Chartered, Citi GPS, BlackRock.
The demand for intelligence has no natural ceiling, ZERO. Every time the price drops, entirely new use cases appear that didn't exist before. We saw this with bandwidth, storage, and compute... each one created markets x100 bigger than what they disrupted.
So what exactly are AI bears waiting for?
GM legends,
Four forces hit at once and none of them were small. Hawkish Fed. US-Iran strikes. Saylor selling.
Longest $BTC ETF outflow streak ever. The crash didn't happen to us. It was built. π
All eyes are on the SpaceX IPO on Friday
A lot of chatter going on around valuations
History will teach you that investing for the long term quite often will give you unprecedented results
Have you registered for the $135 SpaceX retail bid?
What nobody is actually contextualizing here: Anthropic was at $380B in February and is now at $965B. That is not normal valuation progression, that is a market pricing in an IPO supercycle before the gates open. SpaceX roadshow starts today, OpenAI filing H2. The rotation into pre IPO AI is the actual trade right now, and most people are watching $BTC chop instead. I know where I am focussed!
SpaceX at $2T and OpenAI at $852B are walking into a 60% loss rate
The historical base rate for IPOs three years post listing is brutal regardless of how loud the brand is at debut
@randgroup The three phases always hit in order but people only recognize them in hindsight. Shot across the bow feels like noise, price pain feels catastrophic, time pain feels infinite. Then it ends and everyone says they knew.