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Expecting same, Net-to-net, FIIs appear to be rotating capital rather than exiting the market. Recent shareholding trends suggest increased allocation towards IT while exposure to financials has been reduced. With AI-driven growth improving the long-term outlook for Indian IT and retail sentiment turning bearish, this could be a classic case of smart money accumulating while the broader market remains cautious.
Tomorrow NIFTY IT can make mid to long term base +-2%
🇮🇳 THE INCONVENIENT TRUTH ABOUT INDIA'S STOCK MARKET 🇮🇳
Before telling someone to "just stay invested," look at what has actually happened.
Years of zero returns in some of India's biggest and most trusted companies:
🔴 ONGC — 12 Years
🔴 Indian Oil — 9.25 Years
🔴 ITC — 9 Years
🔴 TCS — 7.75 Years
🔴 HUL — 6.5 Years
🔴 HCL Tech — 5.75 Years
🔴 Asian Paints, Infosys, Wipro, Kotak Bank — 5.5 Years
🔴 HDFC Bank, Adani Energy — 5 Years
🔴 Bajaj Finserv, D-Mart, Tech Mahindra — 4.75 Years
🔴 Reliance — 4 Years
🔴 Jio Financial, Tata Motors — 2.75 Years
🔴 Maruti, NTPC, HAL, IndiGo — 2 Years
🔴 M&M, Bajaj Auto, Axis Bank — 1.5–1.75 Years
These are not penny stocks.
These are the companies every financial advisor, mutual fund manager, and TV expert tells investors to trust for the long term.
The macro picture isn't helping either:
📉 Rupee: ₹71 → ₹97.3 (ATL) in 5 years
📉 GDP Growth: 9.2% → 6.5% in just 2 years
📉 Q2 FY25 GDP: 5.4% (7-quarter low)
📉 FIIs pulled out $27.6 Billion in 2026 alone
📉 MSCI India vs Asia: Worst gap since 1998
📉 MSCI India vs Emerging Markets: Worst gap since 1993
Meanwhile, other markets moved ahead:
🇰🇷 KOSPI: +72%
🇹🇼 Taiwan TWSE 50: +60%
🇯🇵 Nikkei: +28%
🇨🇳 CSI 300: +17%
🇺🇸 S&P 500: +17%
🇮🇳 NIFTY 50: +10%
Just 18 months ago, India's stock market was worth 3.5x South Korea's market.
Today, both South Korea and Taiwan have overtaken India.
India has slipped from the world's 5th largest equity market to 7th.
And who paid the price?
The retail investor.
🔴 91% of F&O traders lose money (SEBI Data)
🔴 Retail F&O losses jumped 41% to ₹1.06 Lakh Crore
🔴 More than ₹3 Lakh Crore lost between FY22–FY25
🔴 New Demat account openings down 40%
🔴 SIP accounts witnessed a net decline for the first time ever
Yet despite all this...
💰 ₹29,500 Crore still flows into SIPs every month.
Because retail India still believes.
The father saving for his child's education.
The salaried employee investing a part of every paycheck.
The retiree trying to protect lifelong savings.
The small trader hoping to build a better future.
Markets are not just charts and candles.
They are people's dreams, sacrifices, and futures.
A humble appeal to Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, and policymakers:
Please treat this with urgency.
Focus on investor confidence.
Focus on market depth.
Focus on long-term wealth creation.
Focus on protecting retail participation.
India's investors have shown extraordinary faith in the system.
Now it's time for the system to prove that faith was justified.
🇮🇳
#NIFTY50 #RetailInvestors #IndianEconomy #StockMarketIndia #GDP #FnO #SIP
📊 NIFTY IT is at its cheapest valuation in 5 years.
PE Ratio: 20.7x (5-year low)
All-Time Average PE: 22.2x
Discount: 24% below 3-year avg of 27.4x
Everyone is scared of IT right now. That's exactly when you should be paying attention.
A thread on why NIFTY IT is setting up for a generational entry. 🧵👇
#NIFTYIT #StockMarket #IndianStockMarket #NiftyIT
🇮🇳 THE INCONVENIENT TRUTH ABOUT INDIA'S STOCK MARKET 🇮🇳
Before telling someone to "just stay invested," look at what has actually happened.
Years of zero returns in some of India's biggest and most trusted companies:
🔴 ONGC — 12 Years
🔴 Indian Oil — 9.25 Years
🔴 ITC — 9 Years
🔴 TCS — 7.75 Years
🔴 HUL — 6.5 Years
🔴 HCL Tech — 5.75 Years
🔴 Asian Paints, Infosys, Wipro, Kotak Bank — 5.5 Years
🔴 HDFC Bank, Adani Energy — 5 Years
🔴 Bajaj Finserv, D-Mart, Tech Mahindra — 4.75 Years
🔴 Reliance — 4 Years
🔴 Jio Financial, Tata Motors — 2.75 Years
🔴 Maruti, NTPC, HAL, IndiGo — 2 Years
🔴 M&M, Bajaj Auto, Axis Bank — 1.5–1.75 Years
These are not penny stocks.
These are the companies every financial advisor, mutual fund manager, and TV expert tells investors to trust for the long term.
The macro picture isn't helping either:
📉 Rupee: ₹71 → ₹97.3 (ATL) in 5 years
📉 GDP Growth: 9.2% → 6.5% in just 2 years
📉 Q2 FY25 GDP: 5.4% (7-quarter low)
📉 FIIs pulled out $27.6 Billion in 2026 alone
📉 MSCI India vs Asia: Worst gap since 1998
📉 MSCI India vs Emerging Markets: Worst gap since 1993
Meanwhile, other markets moved ahead:
🇰🇷 KOSPI: +72%
🇹🇼 Taiwan TWSE 50: +60%
🇯🇵 Nikkei: +28%
🇨🇳 CSI 300: +17%
🇺🇸 S&P 500: +17%
🇮🇳 NIFTY 50: +10%
Just 18 months ago, India's stock market was worth 3.5x South Korea's market.
Today, both South Korea and Taiwan have overtaken India.
India has slipped from the world's 5th largest equity market to 7th.
And who paid the price?
The retail investor.
🔴 91% of F&O traders lose money (SEBI Data)
🔴 Retail F&O losses jumped 41% to ₹1.06 Lakh Crore
🔴 More than ₹3 Lakh Crore lost between FY22–FY25
🔴 New Demat account openings down 40%
🔴 SIP accounts witnessed a net decline for the first time ever
Yet despite all this...
💰 ₹29,500 Crore still flows into SIPs every month.
Because retail India still believes.
The father saving for his child's education.
The salaried employee investing a part of every paycheck.
The retiree trying to protect lifelong savings.
The small trader hoping to build a better future.
Markets are not just charts and candles.
They are people's dreams, sacrifices, and futures.
A humble appeal to Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, and policymakers:
Please treat this with urgency.
Focus on investor confidence.
Focus on market depth.
Focus on long-term wealth creation.
Focus on protecting retail participation.
India's investors have shown extraordinary faith in the system.
Now it's time for the system to prove that faith was justified.
🇮🇳
#NIFTY50 #RetailInvestors #IndianEconomy #StockMarketIndia #GDP #FnO #SIP
🎬 Super 30 | Anand Kumar:
"Yai Ameer Log Apne Liye Khub Chikna Sadak Banaye…
Humare Rah Mein Aisa Bada Bada Gaddah Khod Diye…
Lekin Yahi Wo Sabse Badi Galti Kar Diye…
Humko Chalaang Lagana Sikha Diye…
Jab Samay Aayega… Sabse Bada aur Sabse Lamba Chalaang Hum Hi Marenge."
Exactly the same is happening in markets right now. 📉➡️📈
Donald Trump is trying every possible move to strengthen U.S. market sentiment while putting pressure on emerging markets like India.
But history says one thing clearly 👇
The more pressure India faces, the faster Indian companies learn to adapt, survive, and eventually outperform. 🇮🇳🔥
Bharat ki chalaang abhi baaki hai. 💪
#Investinindia #sensex #nifty50
🎬 Super 30 | Anand Kumar:
"Yai Ameer Log Apne Liye Khub Chikna Sadak Banaye…
Humare Rah Mein Aisa Bada Bada Gaddah Khod Diye…
Lekin Yahi Wo Sabse Badi Galti Kar Diye…
Humko Chalaang Lagana Sikha Diye…
Jab Samay Aayega… Sabse Bada aur Sabse Lamba Chalaang Hum Hi Marenge."
Exactly the same is happening in markets right now. 📉➡️📈
Donald Trump is trying every possible move to strengthen U.S. market sentiment while putting pressure on emerging markets like India.
But history says one thing clearly 👇
The more pressure India faces, the faster Indian companies learn to adapt, survive, and eventually outperform. 🇮🇳🔥
Bharat ki chalaang abhi baaki hai. 💪
#Investinindia #sensex #nifty50
Hitler was once a dictator.
Today, it has become a slang for someone overly rigid or aggressive.
In the same way, for people who constantly change statements, break promises, or betray trust…
A new slang is evolving:
👇👇👇
“Don’t act like Trump.”
#Nifty50#usdinr
NIFTY 50🍀
Last NIFTY view was on April 8.
And till today, NIFTY is still stuck near the same zone.
Almost 2 months of sideways action for longs. 📉
On May 8, I clearly mentioned one negation level:
A weekly close above 24,600 and I would turn very short term bullish.
Fresh view today ✅
Now, a weekly close above 24,000 has become extremely important for bulls.
Otherwise, NIFTY still doesn’t look good. 🙂
#stockmaket #giftnifty
NIFTY 50🍀
Last NIFTY view was on April 8.
And till today, NIFTY is still stuck near the same zone.
Almost 2 months of sideways action for longs. 📉
On May 8, I clearly mentioned one negation level:
A weekly close above 24,600 and I would turn very short term bullish.
Fresh view today ✅
Now, a weekly close above 24,000 has become extremely important for bulls.
Otherwise, NIFTY still doesn’t look good. 🙂
#stockmaket #giftnifty
NIFTY50 🔥
NIFTY has already bounced nearly 8% from the Early Buyer Zone 📈
So from here, I am becoming extremely cautious ⚠️
If weakness starts building again:
• 4.5% down = 22,930
• 10% down = 21,500
After such a strong bounce, this is not the zone to get carried away.
This is the zone to stay selective , protect gains , and avoid emotional chasing.
Stocks can still outperform.
But index-wise, caution is now justified.
#StockGains #stockmarketindia #nifty50
🚨 INDIA’S SILENT BEAR MARKET 🚨
Millions lost money. Almost nobody talked about it.
Honestly, the real damage in this market doesn’t show up on the index.
You understand the reality only when you open your portfolio 📉
Personally, my equity portfolio is also down around 17 to 19% from the peak.
Not hiding it.
But one good thing is that I had already mentioned earlier that I was raising cash.
I booked a large part of my portfolio into cash before this phase intensified.
Even now, I’m still sitting on nearly 40% cash 🏦
And honestly, right now cash itself feels like a strong position.
Because yes, the market has corrected hard, but despite that, I still don’t see many high conviction opportunities where I feel like deploying aggressive capital.
That itself says a lot about this market phase.
Almost 70% of my invested portfolio is tilted toward large cap IT 💻
And that turned out to be one of the hardest hit sectors of 2026.
📉 Infosys down more than 30% from highs
📉 TCS corrected nearly 25%
📉 HCL Tech heavily damaged
📉 Reliance stayed under pressure for months
📉 Even HDFC Bank and Kotak failed to deliver meaningful returns despite being considered “safe” stocks
And it’s not just large caps getting hit.
The biggest illusion right now is that people think small cap and mid cap indices are still doing fine.
Reality is very different.
A handful of heavyweight stocks are holding the indices together.
Otherwise, the average small cap and mid cap stock is still nearly 25 to 35% below its highs 📊
That’s why so many portfolios feel completely destroyed even when the index itself doesn’t look that scary.
Now look at the actual market breadth:
📌 Feb 2025 → 81% of Nifty 500 stocks below 200 DMA
📌 Jan 2026 → 70% below
📌 Mar 2026 → 67% below
Right now:
🔴 84 stocks at 52 week lows
🟢 Only 15 stocks at 52 week highs
Out of 500.
During the peak of the COVID crash, nearly 83% of stocks were below their 200 DMA.
We almost reached the same level again.
The only difference?
This time there was no panic on TV.
No breaking news.
No “market crash” headlines.
Just portfolios bleeding silently in the background.
And honestly, the system itself isn’t helping either.
💸 STCG
💸 LTCG
💸 STT
💸 GST
💸 Brokerage
💸 Stamp duty
At some point, the Finance Ministry and the Indian government need to seriously understand this:
Markets cannot keep attracting global and retail capital while continuously increasing friction through taxes and costs.
Retail investors are already sitting through brutal drawdowns, and FIIs have dozens of alternative markets globally.
Capital does not stay emotional.
It flows where participation is rewarded, confidence is protected, and investing feels attractive.
India has one of the strongest growth stories in the world 🌏
But the market ecosystem also needs to reflect that strength.
Because eventually, overtaxing and weakening investor sentiment starts damaging participation itself.
And if your portfolio is down badly right now, trust me, you are not alone 🤝
Large mutual funds are down.
Veteran investors are down.
Institutional portfolios are down.
This phase is just that brutal.
Some market phases test your analysis.
Some phases test your patience.
And some phases are designed to mentally break even strong investors.
But one thing I know for sure 📚
The more painful the phase, the more powerful the eventual recovery tends to be 🚀
You just have to survive long enough to see it 💯
#IndianStockMarket #BearMarket #DalalStreet #RetailInvestors #NirmalaSitharaman #FMMinister
"Empty vessels make the most noise and the loudest in the room is usually the most in debt."
$36 Trillion in debt, still pointing fingers. 😂
🇺🇸 America The "World's Richest Country" Reality Check:
💸 Debt
US National Debt = $36 TRILLION+
Every American citizen carries $100,000+ in debt
India's entire GDP is ~$3.9T America's debt is 9x that
🏥 Healthcare
25-30 million Americans have zero health insurance
Insulin that costs ₹200 in India costs $300+ in the US
Sounds like someone else needs the "poor country" waiver 🙂
🏠 Homelessness
650,000+ Americans homeless on any given night
Tent cities visible in LA, San Francisco in front of the whole world
📉 Inequality
Top 1% Americans hold more wealth than the bottom 50% combined
US is among the most unequal developed nations by Gini coefficient
🛢️ Russia Oil (Pure Hypocrisy)
US itself continued importing Russian oil post-ban routed through third countries
Lectures India publicly, does backdoor deals privately
✅
India is "poor" yet sits on $680B+ in forex reserves.
America is "rich" yet begs Congress every year to raise its own debt ceiling.
#trumpsgascrisis #Usdebt #proudindian #India
"Empty vessels make the most noise and the loudest in the room is usually the most in debt."
$36 Trillion in debt, still pointing fingers. 😂
🇺🇸 America The "World's Richest Country" Reality Check:
💸 Debt
US National Debt = $36 TRILLION+
Every American citizen carries $100,000+ in debt
India's entire GDP is ~$3.9T America's debt is 9x that
🏥 Healthcare
25-30 million Americans have zero health insurance
Insulin that costs ₹200 in India costs $300+ in the US
Sounds like someone else needs the "poor country" waiver 🙂
🏠 Homelessness
650,000+ Americans homeless on any given night
Tent cities visible in LA, San Francisco in front of the whole world
📉 Inequality
Top 1% Americans hold more wealth than the bottom 50% combined
US is among the most unequal developed nations by Gini coefficient
🛢️ Russia Oil (Pure Hypocrisy)
US itself continued importing Russian oil post-ban routed through third countries
Lectures India publicly, does backdoor deals privately
✅
India is "poor" yet sits on $680B+ in forex reserves.
America is "rich" yet begs Congress every year to raise its own debt ceiling.
#trumpsgascrisis #Usdebt #proudindian #India
👉Silver ( XAGUSD )
Silver is showing a classic Bull Trap setup 📉
A small bounce will make it feel like “back to normal”…
but that’s usually where the real selling starts.
Stay patient. Don’t chase the bounce. ✅
#mcxsilver#xagusd
🚨 INDIA’S SILENT BEAR MARKET 🚨
Millions lost money. Almost nobody talked about it.
Honestly, the real damage in this market doesn’t show up on the index.
You understand the reality only when you open your portfolio 📉
Personally, my equity portfolio is also down around 17 to 19% from the peak.
Not hiding it.
But one good thing is that I had already mentioned earlier that I was raising cash.
I booked a large part of my portfolio into cash before this phase intensified.
Even now, I’m still sitting on nearly 40% cash 🏦
And honestly, right now cash itself feels like a strong position.
Because yes, the market has corrected hard, but despite that, I still don’t see many high conviction opportunities where I feel like deploying aggressive capital.
That itself says a lot about this market phase.
Almost 70% of my invested portfolio is tilted toward large cap IT 💻
And that turned out to be one of the hardest hit sectors of 2026.
📉 Infosys down more than 30% from highs
📉 TCS corrected nearly 25%
📉 HCL Tech heavily damaged
📉 Reliance stayed under pressure for months
📉 Even HDFC Bank and Kotak failed to deliver meaningful returns despite being considered “safe” stocks
And it’s not just large caps getting hit.
The biggest illusion right now is that people think small cap and mid cap indices are still doing fine.
Reality is very different.
A handful of heavyweight stocks are holding the indices together.
Otherwise, the average small cap and mid cap stock is still nearly 25 to 35% below its highs 📊
That’s why so many portfolios feel completely destroyed even when the index itself doesn’t look that scary.
Now look at the actual market breadth:
📌 Feb 2025 → 81% of Nifty 500 stocks below 200 DMA
📌 Jan 2026 → 70% below
📌 Mar 2026 → 67% below
Right now:
🔴 84 stocks at 52 week lows
🟢 Only 15 stocks at 52 week highs
Out of 500.
During the peak of the COVID crash, nearly 83% of stocks were below their 200 DMA.
We almost reached the same level again.
The only difference?
This time there was no panic on TV.
No breaking news.
No “market crash” headlines.
Just portfolios bleeding silently in the background.
And honestly, the system itself isn’t helping either.
💸 STCG
💸 LTCG
💸 STT
💸 GST
💸 Brokerage
💸 Stamp duty
At some point, the Finance Ministry and the Indian government need to seriously understand this:
Markets cannot keep attracting global and retail capital while continuously increasing friction through taxes and costs.
Retail investors are already sitting through brutal drawdowns, and FIIs have dozens of alternative markets globally.
Capital does not stay emotional.
It flows where participation is rewarded, confidence is protected, and investing feels attractive.
India has one of the strongest growth stories in the world 🌏
But the market ecosystem also needs to reflect that strength.
Because eventually, overtaxing and weakening investor sentiment starts damaging participation itself.
And if your portfolio is down badly right now, trust me, you are not alone 🤝
Large mutual funds are down.
Veteran investors are down.
Institutional portfolios are down.
This phase is just that brutal.
Some market phases test your analysis.
Some phases test your patience.
And some phases are designed to mentally break even strong investors.
But one thing I know for sure 📚
The more painful the phase, the more powerful the eventual recovery tends to be 🚀
You just have to survive long enough to see it 💯
#IndianStockMarket #BearMarket #DalalStreet #RetailInvestors #NirmalaSitharaman #FMMinister
@HafsahShaz77050 Interesting. I called the downturn early, raised cash before it intensified, and am still sitting on 40% cash while most portfolios are bleeding silently.
17% is from my equity's all time high. Not from buy price. Read again. 🙂