"I don’t believe we shall ever have a good money again before we take the thing out of the hands of government, that is, we can’t take it violently out of the hands of government, all we can do is by some sly roundabout way introduce something that they can’t stop." Hayek 1971
Strategy announces a Digital Credit Capital Framework designed to strengthen Digital Credit, enhance liquidity, preserve long-term Bitcoin exposure, and support long-term value creation. $MSTR $STRC https://t.co/AUoUCtem53
The negative gamma is brutal at 60k on the Bitcoin options market. Have not seen this brutal negative column since following this chart.
If 60k fails, the market maker will be forced to hedge via shorting futures - pushing the price further south.
Every big crypto exchange is already providing proxies allowing altcoin "investors" to rotate into SpaceX.
This IPO will be the biggest capital black hole for the altcoin industry of all times.
SpaceX will absorb every last bit of "altseason" fuel. The great fundamentals of altcoin investments will rotate into the IPO priced at 285x EBITDA.
Tesla is priced at 400 P/E so SpaceX is still reasonable 😁
SpaceX will absorb every last bit of "altseason" fuel. The great fundamentals of altcoin investments will rotate into the IPO priced at 285x EBITDA.
Tesla is priced at 400 P/E so SpaceX is still reasonable 😁
SpaceX will absorb every last bit of "altseason" fuel. The great fundamentals of altcoin investments will rotate into the IPO priced at 285x EBITDA.
Tesla is priced at 400 P/E so SpaceX is still reasonable 😁
Option table is pricing seriously elevated implied volatility to the 05/21 and 05/22 $SPX markets. If you like calm market days, you might want to touch grass on these days.
Bitcoin is sliding upwards in heavy positive gamma territory, market makers are forced to hedge against the move via futures shorts.
Futures APR on long expiries is way lower than treasury yield, derivative market is not positioned for a bull market.
APR on the Bitcoin futures market is way below treasury yield levels. The market is currently not interested in BTC.
Demand should initially raise APR above base yield, then carry onboards hedging the extreme.
Bull cycle has not started yet.
For context, I am old enough to rememner that 250k has been his S2F target in 2017. Nine years ago. Like clockwork...
How long does it take to declare a model invalid? 20yrs? 50yrs?
Bitcoin closed March at $68,215 (RSI 44🔵)
As said before, I would not be surprised if BTC dips below 200w moving average ($59k) and realized price ($54k) before next leg up towards S2F $500k levels ($250k-$1m range). Interesting times head.