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Andrew Painter “U” 4.5 Ks
#RingTheBell
• Painter has struggled this season and now faces off against a team that is very solid versus right-handed pitching
• Painter posts just a 17.9% K rate which is good for the 21st percentile among all starting pitchers. This matchup looks even better when you take a look at the rest of his stats. Painter sits 2nd to last in K/9 and at the bottom of the league with a 6.57 ERA
• St. Louis has been very good against RHP with just a 19% K rate over their L30 which sits around the middle of the league
• The real driver of this matchup is the AVG. The Cardinals have a .259 average against righties and keeping runners off the bases has been Painter’s issues
• St. Louis has been solid against the righties as of late:
B. Singer - 3 Ks
C. Burns - 8 Ks
R. Lowder - 5 Ks
E. Cabrera - 2 Ks
C. Holmes - 3 Ks
• If we see what we’ve seen from Painter all season long this line is a no brainer
Lean UNDER.📉
Yoshinobu Yamamoto “O” 7.5 Ks
#Dodgers
Collab w/ @KashyLocks 🤝
• We’re backing Yamamoto here to get it done versus one of the worst lineups in the league when it comes to K% versus RHP
• The Pirates rank 25th among all teams in strikeout percentage with a team average of 23.5% and now have to face a top 70th percentile pitcher in Yamamoto
• A 25.8% whiff rate for Yamamoto is the real driver of this matchup once you see the 27.8% whiff rate from the Pirates.
•Despite the low hit rate from Yamamoto this season, the Pittsburgh offense has shown their struggles when a righty is on the mound:
B. Lowe - 24.9%
B. Reynolds - 24.8%
E. Valdez - 40%
O. Cruz - 32%
H. Davis - 20.4%
• If Yamamoto can limit the damage and do it early 7.5 Ks is easily attainable
Lean OVER.📈
Sean Burke “O” 5.5 Ks
#WhiteSox
• A lot of good matchups tonight but this may be the best spot of them all
• Burke has been elite this season and the numbers back this for being a great spot. Burke posts a 26.7% K rate this season which is good for the 84th percentile among starting pitchers
• The Mets have terrible numbers versus righties this season which sets up perfectly for Burke’s Ks. A 24.6% K rate which is the 5th worst among all teams and a bottom 5 average as well, at .235 as a team
• The Mets lineup has also struggled in the month of August:
J. Irvin - 6 Ks
T. Bibee - 10 Ks
E. Perez - 6 Ks
• Burke has carried himself into the 6th inning in the majority of his last few starts and with this matchup 6 Ks feels like the floor
Lean OVER.📈
MLB Play Of The Day🚨☢️⚾️
Yoshinobu Yomamato “O” 7.5 Strikeouts
#Dodgers
Collab W/@waltpicks 🤝📲
• We’re backing Yamamoto here to get it done versus one of the worst lineups in the league when it comes to K% versus RHP
• The Pirates rank 25th among all teams in strikeout percentage with a team average of 23.5% and now have to face a top 70th percentile pitcher in Yamamoto
• A 25.8% whiff rate for Yamamoto is the real driver of this matchup once you see the 27.8% whiff rate from the Pirates.
•Despite the low hit rate from Yamamoto this season, the Pittsburgh offense has shown their struggles when a righty is on the mound:
B. Lowe - 24.9%
B. Reynolds - 24.8%
E. Valdez - 40%
O. Cruz - 32%
H. Davis - 20.4%
• If Yamamoto can limit the damage and do it early 7.5 Ks is easily attainable
📊 -@propsbotai
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Yoshinobu Yamamoto “O” 7.5 Ks
#Dodgers
Collab w/ @KashyLocks 🤝
• We’re backing Yamamoto here to get it done versus one of the worst lineups in the league when it comes to K% versus RHP
• The Pirates rank 25th among all teams in strikeout percentage with a team average of 23.5% and now have to face a top 70th percentile pitcher in Yamamoto
• A 25.8% whiff rate for Yamamoto is the real driver of this matchup once you see the 27.8% whiff rate from the Pirates.
•Despite the low hit rate from Yamamoto this season, the Pittsburgh offense has shown their struggles when a righty is on the mound:
B. Lowe - 24.9%
B. Reynolds - 24.8%
E. Valdez - 40%
O. Cruz - 32%
H. Davis - 20.4%
• If Yamamoto can limit the damage and do it early 7.5 Ks is easily attainable
Lean OVER.📈
Sean Burke “O” 5.5 Ks
#WhiteSox
• A lot of good matchups tonight but this may be the best spot of them all
• Burke has been elite this season and the numbers back this for being a great spot. Burke posts a 26.7% K rate this season which is good for the 84th percentile among starting pitchers
• The Mets have terrible numbers versus righties this season which sets up perfectly for Burke’s Ks. A 24.6% K rate which is the 5th worst among all teams and a bottom 5 average as well, at .235 as a team
• The Mets lineup has also struggled in the month of August:
J. Irvin - 6 Ks
T. Bibee - 10 Ks
E. Perez - 6 Ks
• Burke has carried himself into the 6th inning in the majority of his last few starts and with this matchup 6 Ks feels like the floor
Lean OVER.📈
Ian Seymour “U” 5.5 Ks
#RaysUp
• Seymour has been great this season since earning a starting role, but has possibly the worst matchup for lefties tonight
• The Blue Jays have a 20.8% K rate versus lefties which is the 6th best in the league this season, and as of late they post a 18.6% K rate
• This spot looks even better once you see the recent matchups for the Blue Jays:
R. Weathers - 4 Ks
P. Tolle - 4 Ks
R. Suarez - 2 Ks
P. Sandoval - 4 Ks
• Seymour has been great, but the struggles have shown at home this season. With the Blue Jays solid stats against lefties, this spot is the perfect place to be
Lean UNDER.📉
Ian Seymour “U” 5.5 Ks
#RaysUp
• Seymour has been great this season since earning a starting role, but has possibly the worst matchup for lefties tonight
• The Blue Jays have a 20.8% K rate versus lefties which is the 6th best in the league this season, and as of late they post a 18.6% K rate
• This spot looks even better once you see the recent matchups for the Blue Jays:
R. Weathers - 4 Ks
P. Tolle - 4 Ks
R. Suarez - 2 Ks
P. Sandoval - 4 Ks
• Seymour has been great, but the struggles have shown at home this season. With the Blue Jays solid stats against lefties, this spot is the perfect place to be
Lean UNDER.📉
Hunter Brown “O” 5.5 Ks
#ChaseTheFight
• Brown has been having a down year compared to last season but has a great matchup here against the Mariners
• The numbers for Brown haven’t looked the best this season, but the strikeout percentage has not fallen off
• Coming into this game, Brown posts a strikeout rate just under 25% which is good for the 74th percentile among starting pitchers
• He’s cleared this line in 6 of his last 10 starts and home, and now faces the ice cold Mariners offense with a team average of a 22.5% K rate
• The Mariners have allowed some high K performances as of late:
P. Lambert - 6 Ks
D. Rasmussen - 8 Ks
D. Matthews - 10 Ks
R. Sasaki - 7 Ks
K. Rocker - 7 Ks
• The worry for Brown has been limiting runners on base, but in their L30 the Mariners have an average of .219 against righties so if there’s any game for Brown to get back on track it’s this one
Lean OVER.📈