These two graphs explain the situation on the frontline in Ukraine.
The top graph shows that russian advances have basically come to a complete stop over the past few months.
At the same time, the bottom graph shows that russian losses have increased dramatically over the past few months.
Basically, russia is making no advances while suffering some of the highest casualties of the entire war.
This may also help explain the increased number of attacks on Ukrainian cities and civilians. Russia cannot achieve meaningful progress on the frontline, so it is trying to compensate with terror against civilians.
Source: Textyua
🔥 CONFIRMED: A Russian Tu-95MS strategic bomber has been hit at Engels-2 Air Base.
The aircraft is one of Russia’s key platforms for launching Kh-101 cruise missiles against Ukraine.
Another Russian strategic bomber won’t be launching missiles at Ukrainian cities. 🇺🇦🔥
Something very strange is happening across Europe.
In the span of a single week, NATO countries have seen a remarkable series of incidents involving ammunition production, energy infrastructure, military facilities, and russian intelligence operations.
Let me start with what we know.
🇵🇱 POLAND
On 7 August, Polish security services detained a russian citizen, recruited by russian intelligence, whose task was to execute a man holding both American and Ukrainian citizenship – in Warsaw.
Prime Minister Donald Tusk announced it yesterday. According to him, this is the first time someone acting on russian orders has tried to kill an American citizen on the territory of another NATO country.
🇩🇪 GERMANY
On 6 August, a drone carrying explosives was found near a runway at Leipzig/Halle airport – next to a Ukrainian Antonov Airlines cargo aircraft. Two days later, two drones were spotted over the Bundeswehr base at Mechernich.
Also not a rumor.
🇮🇹 ITALY
A fire in the powder compression department at the KNDS Ammo Italy plant in Colleferro, southeast of Rome, was followed by a massive explosion. No one was killed. The plant produces 155 mm artillery ammunition supplied to Ukraine through European partners.
🇳🇱 NETHERLANDS
Within a few hours at Europe’s largest port: a transformer fire, a major power failure, an emergency shutdown at the ExxonMobil refinery in Botlek, and then an explosion at the Gunvor Energy refinery and terminal that killed one worker and injured six.
I wouldn’t be surprised if russia is responsible for all these “accidents”.
I wrote about this problem two years ago. Back then, Europe was already experiencing an extraordinary wave of suspicious incidents:
🇱🇹 IKEA set on fire in Vilnius.
🇬🇧 An arson attack on a Ukraine-linked warehouse in London.
🇩🇪 Sabotage plots against military and industrial targets in Germany.
🇨🇿 Attempts to attack infrastructure in the Czech Republic.
🇪🇪 An attack on the car of Estonia’s interior minister.
🚆 Attempts to disrupt European railway systems.
📦 And later, incendiary devices sent through European logistics networks – including devices that detonated or ignited in Germany, Poland and Britain.
At the time, people could argue these were isolated incidents.
Today, we know much more. European investigators and courts have connected multiple sabotage operations directly to networks organized or coordinated by russian intelligence.
The pattern was real. It was simply diagnosed late.
That is the design. Hybrid war works by staying below the threshold at which any single incident forces a response. Every event, taken alone, is deniable. Only the sequence gives it away.
So when another extraordinary cluster of explosions, fires, drones, power failures, and intelligence operations appears across Europe in one week, perhaps we should stop treating every incident as if it exists in a vacuum.
Europe no longer has the luxury of automatically assuming accidents and coincidence.
Russia is waging a hybrid war against Europe. Sabotage. Arson. Cyberattacks. Assassination plots. GPS interference. Attacks on logistics and critical infrastructure.
These are not theoretical threats. They have already happened.
🇺🇦🇷🇺 #UPDATE | New footage has emerged from the scene. Reports indicate the main target of the Moscow blast was Colonel General Aleksandr Chaiko, Commander of Russia's Aerospace Forces. The explosion at his birthday party proves even top military brass are no longer safe in central Moscow. #Moscow #AleksandrChaiko #BreakingNews
💥 ��� A bomb joined a Kremlin regime VIP party at the high-end Balzi Rossi restaurant, just 2,000 meters from the Kremlin in Moscow.
At least 3 Russian fascists dead, dozens more injured. The military had established a perimeter around the venue for VIP safety.
Didn't help.
‼️‼️🇷🇺 #BREAKING A powerful explosion has occurred at the BALZI ROSSI restaurant in central Moscow, where the Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Aerospace Forces, Alexander Chaiko, was celebrating his 55th birthday.
📍General Chaiko commanded Russia's Eastern Group of Forces in 2022. Units under his command have been accused of carrying out mass killings, torture, and widespread destruction against civilians in Bucha.
The gathering was attended by much of Russia's military elite, including numerous generals and other high-ranking officers.
According to the latest information, 17 Russians are in critical condition following the explosion and have been transported to hospitals.
Special operations forces have been deployed to the scene, and journalists have been barred from accessing the area.
See the latest updates with us: @visionergeo
🔥BREAKING: In a Moscow restaurant where an explosion occurred, Alexander Chaiko, the commander-in-chief of the Russian Aerospace Forces, was celebrating his 55th birthday (i hope last one)
In 2022, he was the commander of the Eastern Group of Forces. His units are implicated in mass murders, torture of civilian residents, and destruction in Bucha
17 Russians are in critical condition in hospital
Absolute masterpiece from the Ukrainian SBU.
russians in occupied Crimea bought fake fuel QR codes.
The money ended up funding Ukraine's 110th Mechanized Brigade.
Poetic justice.
Russian forces reportedly attempted a large mechanized assault earlier today in Donetsk Oblast.
Per Ukrainian channels, it went disastrously, with over a dozen Russian armored vehicles lost.
This russian creature went to Georgia on vacation, started shouting from her hotel balcony, and ruined someone’s wedding. Then she got water and ruined some of the tech being used at the wedding.
The guests explained to her IN RUSSIAN that she wasn’t at home and couldn’t do that shit at someone else’s wedding, but she didn’t get it.
When one of the guests couldn’t take it anymore, he went upstairs and punched her in the face. She then recorded a story saying she had been attacked because she SPOKE RUSSIAN. Pathetic.
Sadly, the guy was detained and a woman returned to Moscow.
Moscow region, Russia: Wildberries warehouses are on fire.
▪️ Kotovsk, Tambov region: Wildberries logistics hub.
▪️ Noginsk, Moscow region: oil depot.
▪️ Elektrostal, Moscow region: Wildberries warehouse.
In addition, 13 Russian shadow fleet vessels were struck in the Black and Azov seas.
Just a few of the products that were available on Wildberries.
Body armor and fiber-optic spools for drones may soon become much harder to find in Russia.
🔥 A passenger plane passes directly over the burning Wildberries warehouse in Elektrostal, Moscow region, showing the scale of the aftermath after the overnight drone attack.
Ukrainian forces released a satellite picture of the sunk Rubin-class patrol boat "Izumrud". It shows that the ship, which was operated by the Russian FSB, was struck and destroyed in the port of Gelendzhik, Krasnodar region, in Russia.
Overnight, a Ukrainian USV hit the Russian FSB patrol ship Izumrud near Novorossiysk.
Newly released imagery from the Ukrainian navy shows the Russian ship resting against the port's quay wall, partially sunken, with a massive chunk missing amidships.