Micheal McDonough_

🔮Digital Assets & Market Innovation @TheTerminal | Views
my own

[Micheal McDonough_ @_McDonugh]

🆕Use WSL HYPE <GO> to monitor 24/7 streaming prices for select perpetuals on Hyperliquid and track market signals around the clock:

[Micheal McDonough_ @_McDonugh]

🛢️Just added Bab el-Mandeb to my real-time @TheTerminal chart — now tracking tanker crossings at both chokepoints (Hormuz + Bab el-Mandeb) against Brent:

[Micheal McDonough_ @_McDonugh]

🚢 Watch this in real time: tanker crossings at Bab el-Mandeb following the Houthi strikes on Saudi ships.

Our chokepoint trackers update every 30 min (24h rolling), so you'll see any pullback as it develops.

Chart it, set alerts, or run any other analysis — all on

[Micheal McDonough_ @_McDonugh]

Diving into the 'Fuels and Related Products and Power' PPI sub-category: #Gas

[Micheal McDonough_ @_McDonugh]

🛫Public transportation CPI YoY%, with sub-components:

[Micheal McDonough_ @_McDonugh]

CPI Select Food-at-Home Items (3M Annualized Percent Change)

[Micheal McDonough_ @_McDonugh]

UMich 1Y Inflation Expectations by Political Party

[Micheal McDonough_ @_McDonugh]

👽As the U.S. begins releasing its UFO files today, one of the most active prediction markets we're tracking — "Will the U.S. confirm aliens exist before 2027?" — has fallen from 28% to 20%.

What's not in the files speaks louder than what is.

LPS 10786 <GO>

[Micheal McDonough_ @_McDonugh]

NFP +115K vs +65K est. Unemployment 4.3% (unch). Wages +0.2%.

First back-to-back gain in nearly a year. 3M MA at 48K.

[Micheal McDonough_ @_McDonugh]

Hyperliquid turned on HIP-4:

🟢The first outcome market is a daily BTC binary — "BTC above 78,213 on May 3 at 2am," settled in USDH. Curated launch for now, with more markets and broader categories expected over time.

Started digging into the API on my personal site.

[Micheal McDonough_ @_McDonugh]

US PCE Price Index M/M: (Headline & Nondurable Goods Breakdowns)

[Micheal McDonough_ @_McDonugh]

As a nod to Powell's last presser, here is a very quick Fed Chair game me and AI put together: https://t.co/avTKY9CttH

[Micheal McDonough_ @_McDonugh]

Powell says he’ll remain at the Fed as a governor and keep a low profile during today's presser. Here’s a live look at the @Kalshi market on whether he’ll leave the Fed Board before Aug. 1, 2026, which is now plunging from close to 70%:

[Micheal McDonough_ @_McDonugh]

🏦FOMC Dissents Charted

Fed shows a clear split: Gov. Stephen Miran backed a 25bp rate cut, while regional presidents Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan opposed even signaling future easing. Most held rates steady with an easing bias—highlighting growing disagreement on the policy pat

[Micheal McDonough_ @_McDonugh]

Brent Crude

[Micheal McDonough_ @_McDonugh]

🤖OpenAI's share of U.S. business subscriptions has flatlined around 35% since mid-2025. Anthropic, sitting near zero a year ago, just hit 30.6% — and the curve is still going vertical. The overall adoption rate is about 50%.

Source: RAMP

[Micheal McDonough_ @_McDonugh]

Fun one — a photo I took of the Great Wall back in 2012 ran in the NYT’s T Magazine this weekend, in a feature on the most important architectural materials in history. Photography’s a hobby, so cool to see it in print.

Web version: https://t.co/ufBdPN8Rh0…

[Micheal McDonough_ @_McDonugh]

Started experimenting with perps data from Hyperliquid for 24/7 signal in various sections of the site:

https://t.co/ZKTJseE6oq