Been holding $TSLA since early 2020 & this is pretty funny to look at in 2026. We sold off many shares over the years, but when you look at total cost basis post sales, we see less than $500 principle invested. Total value $6,250.05! How far can we take this $500?! 🤔
$SOFI five years ago:
• $15/share
• 2.5M members with ~$300M gross profit run-rate
$SOFI today:
• $15/share
• 15.8M members with ~$2.5B gross profit run-rate
Same price. Very different business.
$TSLA Q2 2026 Key Takeaways:
-Achieved Record Q2 Deliveries
-Model Y is Best Selling Car of any kind in World
-People Buying Tesla Full Self-Driving w. Car Attached vs. Car w. FSD
-Confident All Investing Will Yield Incredible Returns
-Production Soon to Start: Optimus/Megapack3/Silicone Refinery
-Production Started: Semi/Lithium Refinery/Cathode Refinery
-Achieved Record Q2 Deliveries Globally:
-Sequential Growth across Americas/APAC/EMEA (60%/27%/12%)
-Model Y Set Records in Several Key Markets:
-Netherland/Australia/New Zealand
-Exited Q2 w. Largest Order Backlog Since 2023
-FSD Attach Rates Continue to Improve
-Reaching 1.5 Million Paid Customers Globally:
-55% Upfront Purchases/45% subscriptions
-Q2 Deployed 13.5 GWh of Energy Storage (53% QoQ):
-Second Largest Quarter for Energy Business
-Gross Margins Declined from 39.5% to 20.4%:
-Warranty True-Up in Quarter of $240 Million from Vendor Cell Issues
-Tariff Benefits Recognized in Q1 of $200 Million (Did Not Repeat)
-Previously Guided ASPs for Industrial Storage Down
-This is Amidst Growing Competition
-Operating Expenses Increased Sequentially:
-R&D-Related Activity Pre-Production Ramp Costs for New Products:
-Tesla Semi/Optimus/Cybercab/AI initiatives/Additional Compute
-Free Cash Flow Ended Negative for Quarter:
-CapEx More Than Doubled Sequentially
-Expect it to Increase Further in the 2H '26
-CapEx for Year Will Be More than $25 Billion
-More than 380,000 Miles of Unsupervised Robotaxi
-Current Operating Robotaxi Fleet Already Running Early Versions of V15
-Roughly Seven Major Improvement Tracks All Happening in Parallel
-Same V15 Models that Power Model Y Will Work on Cybercabs
The internet has convinced people that success looks like:
• Supercars
• Private jets
• Luxury vacations
The real success looks more like:
• No debt
• Investments growing quietly
• A healthy family
• Peace of mind
Elon Musk says @Tesla is undergoing “probably the fastest industrial scale-up since World War II in America.”
• Optimus Production lines:
- 1M/yr in Fremont
- 10M/yr in Texas (under construction)
• Autonomous Cybercab Production at Giga Texas: the second largest building in the world by volume.
• Terafab Semiconductor chip production in Texas (with memory) totaling 100M sqft!
• Ramping towards 400MW of total capacity at their Cortex 1 and 2 datacenters.
• Battery materials & cells:
- Lithium refining & cathode materials in Texas
- LFP cell production in Nevada
- 4680 cell production in multiple sites in Texas, and Nevada
• Solar Production:
- New solar factory building in Houston area
- Existing solar production factory in New York
Just wait.