Theory Trading

Frequent and disappointed attendee of El Farol bar

[Theory Trading @TheoryTrading]

Closing up shop for August. Second best month of the year. I had lower expectations heading into August, but I ended up outperforming my outlier green July despite choppier/trappy conditions. I would attribute that to discretionary cycle adaptions and very few outlier losses, which enabled me to maintain momentum throughout the month. Let's see what September brings. $CWD $SOGP

[Theory Trading @TheoryTrading]

Going to do an extended social media detox, perhaps until 2026 to focus and grow in more useful areas - my own trading, health, self-development, and family. Best of luck to all.

[Theory Trading @TheoryTrading]

It doesn't matter how many smaller shorts have thrown in the towel. The big shorts are controlling this game and are extremely skilled and unlikely to ever stop. Your avg short moving to the long side after this month is a false top signal/cycle shift indicator. El Farol bar is permanently packed with a line wrapped around the corner $CMBM $PPBT

[Theory Trading @TheoryTrading]

Very bad loss on $VSEE. Perfect day to trade from mobile since wifi was down (took extra slippage on the EE candle). Likely will be a red month for me now. The only short seller on Twitter of course.

[Theory Trading @TheoryTrading]

Remember to just to short high volume and after 8am in pm. You will be safe $VSEE

[Theory Trading @TheoryTrading]

Great day for pm shorts, but it doesn’t matter because the math isn’t mathing in the long term: +22% +16% +11% +6% -1100% $KITT $GVTA $BYKI $CLIK $CODX

[Theory Trading @TheoryTrading]

One final post on this in response to the "it was low volume, bro". Look at these moves on liquid pm runners $BTOG and $BON (divide price by 30) from March of this year. So PM is cooked too much risk, RTH gappers don't fade, and RTH paras don't really show up anymore. So low EV in all strats, but yet we all continue to pay exorbitant locates to short? $GNTA

[Theory Trading @TheoryTrading]

The new edge is just to hold through down -1000% for the eventual fade. I’m told many “big traders” do it on these. It’s just a game of chicken and eventually one whale will cover triggering a cover liquidation cascade to push the stock 10k%+ possibly wiping out some brokers. $GNTA

[Theory Trading @TheoryTrading]

Putting together a list of insta 300%+ premarket "skippers" from this year to study. Please comment with any I missed, these are just off the top of my head: $GNTA $DSY $GLEE $BTOG $VAPE $SBET $GRYP $XXII $BON $TNON

[Theory Trading @TheoryTrading]

$JBDI

[Theory Trading @TheoryTrading]

$GNTA this is all organic buyers in pm. Nothing to do with short crowding and algo stops being targeted. Imagine moving to pm today after RTH gappers have been horrendous and you get slipped for 800%. 12M float, not Chinese. No place is safe now.

[Theory Trading @TheoryTrading]

Every variation of OPB crashing through historical drawdown projections and then some $SCNX

[Theory Trading @TheoryTrading]

Life outside of the spare bedroom and numbers on the screen.

[Theory Trading @TheoryTrading]

$BYND heavy size MDR short + washout long 3.9-4.6 for my biggest trade of the year. Always great to trade vs true dumb money instead of PvP shorts. Too bad these meme plays/MDRs are so infrequent these days.

[Theory Trading @TheoryTrading]

High of day is the ideal spot to long small caps $GSIT

[Theory Trading @TheoryTrading]

Listen son, believe it or not before flash research, Niv, and the edge eroders there was a time you could wake up at 9:28am and short the opening pop on a gapper, pyramid, and cover at EOD for 40%+ gain. Now you need to wake up at 3:55am, spam for locates that never show up, if you get lucky and get locates they rip 1000% in 2m or just fade at rando levels leaving no range for open. Best case you OPB for 3% gain by EOD. Welcome to short selling small caps in 2025

[Theory Trading @TheoryTrading]

Imagine getting slipped for 200% on a nano, then ripped on 500% the next day pm, followed by another nano that slips you 150%. The following Monday you get ripped on 200%+ on three stocks. All this time you are paying an exorbitant amount on locates to spend 12hrs in front of a screen losing money. If this is not delusion and self harm/mental illness then I don’t know what is. RIP HTB short selling 2020-2025. $ELBM $STI $GWH

[Theory Trading @TheoryTrading]

$QNRX another $SPRB? Good thing I'm a terrible piker.

[Theory Trading @TheoryTrading]

Did you revenge size and make back your $SPRB loss from yesterday? $GLTO $CISS $ZNB

[Theory Trading @TheoryTrading]

In the short infested world of small caps, the higher the percentage that a stock is up, the better the long, and the more you buy. $SPRB

Thank you for attending my day trading class.