@paulg education and research are important but college as an institution is falling behind - I'm not sure it's the most effective option for either anymore
I think that if you’re going to write a piece in the Times urging the government to use and boost more AI, the fact that you are paid by a major AI company should be in the first sentence, or at least first paragraph.
I also think that the best scenario for AI is that it destroys millions of jobs with the prosperity, dignity and community that goes with them.
The worst scenario is the destruction of the human race - a fear openly expressed by an increasing number of senior and experienced AI engineers who are leaving the industry.
And somewhere in between a myriad of horrors such as yet more screen learning and screen addiction for our children.
But I do see that it will make rich men even richer. And that’s the most important thing of course.
@elonmusk@robustus more likely that new abstractions/languages are created to represent the functional programs that are AI but not human readable - binaries are a necessity given the hardware but can be compressed into something more efficient with no downside
No it's not just you
I think we're 100% in some kind of hyperinflationary state
But the hyperinflation is hidden from prices and instead shows up in the extreme decrease in quality of almost every product and service
We're in an asset boom where stock prices look like they're growing but they just show the underlying value or currencies is rapidly dropping
That's why the same product or service you bought 2 years ago is now twice the price but more than half the quality, so essentially became 4x more expensive
You can't measure this inflation easily because quality is subjectively perceived and not included in inflation data (how would you?) but it's happening for sure
I have countless examples
@BillAckman surely instead of taxing the loan you find a fix for taxation on a step up basis?
in other words remove the original distortion and legal complexity rather than add to it
worst part of doing arc - you get binary scores regardless of how close your solution was to a success and even the best get more negatives than positives
it really helped to create our own evals for how our approach performed - at some point those evals even became part of the solution
@bswud but I do think it's important that we accurately understand where and when things went wrong if we are to turn things around
I would look further back than the crash and dip to the bubble and inflated increase in the trend
if only - I'm not sure exactly how that trend line is modelled but if it's based on the range shown it would not only include the 'accounting error' of the bubble and crisis but also a much steeper trend than including earlier decades
the good news is that is it doesn't matter - you grow an economy the same way regardless and there's no reason we can't exceed that trend