Amēēt Ræi.

Swing trader and investor • Co-Founder @TraderLion & @Deepvue
• Co-Author of The Trader’s Handbook

[Ameet Rai @AmeetRai]

The story is only as good as the price the stocks trades at.

Many fall in love with the story and its potential only to sit through periods of little or no return. I know many traders with 5-10 years of experience that do the same trying to time reversals/bottoms yet time and again it doesn't work out.

Relative Strength Phase fixes that - if a stock is outperforming the markets = its a good one to look at. If it isn't like $TSLA - wait for it to do so first before getting involved.

[Ameet Rai @AmeetRai]

With AI cannibalizing Software/Tech area that has worked so well the past decade in the markets, flight to safety is seen in names that cannot be replaced by it. The heatmap on the S&P paints a picture - but the bigger question not many are discussing is that is the market regime changing for the long term?

Many traders only know how to trade tech/software and are not even open to anything else...

[Ameet Rai @AmeetRai]

Not many places to hide in the markets right now, a few HV names are working well and those momentum names have resulted in a good March so far. Overall you have to pick and choose where to operate.

[Ameet Rai @AmeetRai]

$FSLY has been a great "setup" in a bad "environment"

1. Highest Volume Ever
2. Gap up into the $15 WN (Whole Number)
3. $15 - $20 play...size that well and it works for you

It's now holding the 10 day MA (green line) which is a good sign.

[Ameet Rai @AmeetRai]

What a move! Folks saying no crying at the casino have been complaining the most about the market but march has been great for the HV Edge.

[Ameet Rai @AmeetRai]

The Industry on HBO looks like a good watch for us trading nerds

[Ameet Rai @AmeetRai]

NEW: Winning Characteristics - $CRCL

- HV Edge
- Entry Tactics
- How I managed risk

https://t.co/Trwm1hx0TO

[Ameet Rai @AmeetRai]

GM ☀️

Here are a few breakdowns of the trades I placed last week

$FSLY https://t.co/EEB30ReXTr
$CRCL https://t.co/Qwr8AkDiDo
$FIGS https://t.co/xDQzgxgbjB
Market Analysis https://t.co/SER3M0ucKH

✅

[Ameet Rai @AmeetRai]

Added $IOT to the HV Edge Watchlist - Highest Volume Ever

[Ameet Rai @AmeetRai]

NEW: How I traded $FIGS this week and why its' a standout among the market back drop.

- Edge
- Entry Tactic / How to Manage Risk

In this video I get into the specifics of entry tactics and how to strategize while managing risk tightly.

https://t.co/1UnNyGStpm

[Ameet Rai @AmeetRai]

GM ☀️

Love seeing great comments on the Traders Handbook nearly 10 months after its launch.

Link: https://t.co/shR9GIAUS0

[Ameet Rai @AmeetRai]

$CRCL $FIGS $FSLY all have something in common.

The basic analysis is they gapped up on big volume

$CRCL - Highest Volume since IPO
$FSLY - Highest Volume Ever
$FIGS - Highest Volume in 1 Year

but what makes them special is each gapped up on the charts into key Whole Numbers which increases probabilities exponentially.

$CRCL - $80
$FSLY - $15
$FIGS - $15

once you study this nuance of your edge you then know what to position size big on and what to ignore even when you think an edge maybe present.

[Ameet Rai @AmeetRai]

$FIGS added to the HV Watchlist

[Ameet Rai @AmeetRai]

$CRCL held $80 Whole Number spot this morning post Highest Volume since IPO Week.

1. Edge: HVIPO
2. Entry Tactic: Whole Number ($80)
3. Less than 23 cents of risk

[Ameet Rai @AmeetRai]

At the end of the day it really doesn’t matter what style you trade. Swing, day trade, technical, whatever it is.

Risk is it. That’s the whole thing.

All the predicting, trying to sound smart, trying to look like you’ve got the market figured out…that doesn’t pay you. It just feeds the ego.

You can sit there and have the best take on what should happen and still lose money if you’re not managing risk.

A lot of this “expert” energy is just people wanting to feel in control. Wanting to feel like they know something. But none of us know what’s going to happen next.

What we can control is how much we lose when we’re wrong. That’s it.

Everything else is just ego disguised as analysis.

[Ameet Rai @AmeetRai]

With all this weekend headline stuff everyone’s already trying to guess what Monday’s gonna look like.

Gap up, gap down, crash, squeeze… everyone’s got a take but honestly it’s anyone’s guess and it doesn’t really matter.

Our job isn’t to predict what happens at the open. It’s to manage risk.

If a stock hits your level you sell. If it holds you stay. If it confirms strength you let it work.

There’s no edge in trying to outthink news over the weekend. That’s just wasted energy. Let price do the talking.

[Ameet Rai @AmeetRai]

Strong on the S&P 500

Defense/Aerospace (GD, GE, HII, HWM, LHX, LMT, NOC, RTX, TXT)

Consumer Staples (KO, MNST, PEP, COST, DG, SYY)

Healthcare/Pharma (ABBV, AMGN, BIIB, GILD, MRNA, REGN, VRTX)

Utilities (AEP, DUK, EIX, ES, ETR, EVRG, EXC, FE, LNT, NEE, PNW)

Industrials/Logistics (FDX, UPS, CSX, JBHT, NSC, ODFL, UNP)

Others like beverages (HSY), waste (WM), telecom (VZ)

Full list: GD, GE, HII, HWM, LHX, LMT, NOC, RTX, TXT, FDX, UPS, KO, MNST, PEP, ABBV, AMGN, BIIB, GILD, MRNA, REGN, VRTX, JCI, CBOE, CTVA, ECL, IFF, LIN, WM, CIEN, MSI, FIX, COST, DG, SYY, BALL, PLD, VTR, VZ, AEP, DUK, EIX, ES, ETR, EVRG, EXC, FE, LNT, NEE, PNW, AME, GNRC, GLW, KEYS, TDY, BKR, HAL, SLB, ADM, BG, HSY, TSN, ATO, CSX, JBHT, NSC, ODFL, UNP, DVA, MCK, MCD, CHD, CL, CLX, PG, HON, HAS, CAT, NDSN, PCAR, PH, WAB, COP, CVX, DVN, KMI, OXY, TPL, TRGP, VLO, WMB, XOM, BMY, JNJ, MRK, KIM, O, REG, SPG, ADI, AMAT, LRCX, MU, TER, EQIX, ROST, DELL, SNDK, STX, WDC, TPR, MO, PM

[Ameet Rai @AmeetRai]

New video up after many, many months.

Go give it a watch and let me know what you think.

Looking forward to getting back into the rhythm of doing these consistently again.

For the last few years I’ve mostly been behind the scenes building, trading, focusing on other priorities…but I honestly miss the education side and connecting with the community.

Feels like the right time to bring that back.

More coming weekly.

Winning Characteristics: The High Volume Edge | FSLY Trade Breakdown

https://t.co/x2mFP4Wqin

[Ameet Rai @AmeetRai]

I actually like this kind of action after a big up day and then we get a backfill.

It’s healthy. It forces the dip early and tells us pretty quickly where demand really is.

Now it’s not about predicting anything — it’s about tracking strength objectively as the indexes try to work up the right side.

More importantly, watch the strong names.

They’ll tell you everything.

If leaders are holding, tightening up, respecting key areas — that’s information.

If they start breaking down while the indexes look fine — that’s information too.

The leaders will usually tip their hand first.

[Ameet Rai @AmeetRai]

$SPY It has been quite choppy as you could see at the bottom.

The market cycles are no more than 5 to 7 days or maybe 3 to 4 days in some moments, mostly because the market has gone with a flat 21-day simple moving average.

Today we popped above that. Does it start a new trend?

Does it allow Nvidia and some of the tech stuff, you know, relief rally to happen and then we stall at highs or do we get a significant uptrend after a period of very choppy behavior on the S&P and the Qs? That's what we should be watching for in the next couple of days.

I would still focus on stocks that show your edge in the markets, be it the high volume, high tight flag, IPOs, thematic runs, and that's really all that matters while the market figures out direction because there hasn't been a direction even though the sentiment has been very, very poor over the past 6 to 8 weeks.