Aaron Blake

Senior political reporter at @CNN. Ex-@washingtonpost.

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[Aaron Blake @AaronBlake]

Every time I see a player/celebrity who has already made tens of millions also feel the need to take the gambling-ad bag, I do think less of them.

[Jared Weiss @JaredWeissNBA]

Victor Wembanyama was asked if he would ever sign a deal with a sports betting company: “Absolutely not. Honestly, I think it’s very sad to see some players promote it.”

[Jeff Stein @jstein_sun]

The Washington Sun now coming to a DC metro stop near you 🌞🌞🌞

[Alex Seitz-Wald @aseitzwald]

Paul LePage in ME-2 debate getting himself a bit cornered on Canadian tariffs: "I can help the president because I can speak French to the Prime Minister."

[Aaron Blake @AaronBlake]

@MNBrianHall This is no way to talk about @stensaas_brian

[Dasha Burns @DashaBurns]

🚨 Programming note: Senator Schmitt was scheduled to appear on CSPAN’s Ceasefire this week— but pulled out after the Jack Smith hearing.

[Aaron Blake @AaronBlake]

These guides are always SUPER helpful.

[Taniel @Taniel]

NEW: My annual guide to November's elections is out!

I guide you thru over *650* interesting elections, & why they matter.

Judges, AGs, govs, DAs, mayors, lawmakers, school boards—& (many) ballot measures. Oh, & Congress.

Explore & bookmark! https://t.co/1isjomoqOJ

[Aaron Blake @AaronBlake]

Texas GOP state Rep. Charlie Geren is making some interesting decisions with his reposts about Ken Paxton.

[Kristen Soltis Anderson @KSoltisAnderson]

I was curious whether calling data centers by a different term might change people felt toward them.

Behold, the split sample!

[Jeff Stein @jstein_sun]

NEWS: Trump to host "most EXCLUSIVE DINNER IN THE WORLD" for top 185 purchasers of his meme crypto

Buying $1M (or less!) worth of $TRUMP coin should get you in Nov 22

Trump has pocketed $635 million

Investors down +$4 billion on Trump crypto

Invite ⬇️

https://t.co/u8ck5DDR8v

[Brahm Resnik @brahmresnik]

Before/After

[Aaron Blake @AaronBlake]

New polling shows 80%+ of Americans disapprove of Trump on inflation.

That's more than ever disapproved of:

-Biden on the Afghanistan withdrawal
-Bush on the economy amid the financial crisis
-Bush on the Iraq war
-Bush on Katrina
-Reagan on Iran-Contra
-Carter on the economy amid stagflation
-Carter on the Iran hostage crisis
-Ford on his pardon of Nixon
-LBJ on Vietnam

https://t.co/dMdmslFRkY

[Patrick Svitek @PatrickSvitek]

Paxton getting the Lawler treatment

[Aaron Blake @AaronBlake]

Fox News poll has Talarico +2 among likely voters and +7 among registered voters -- and over 50% with both.

Perhaps more notably, his image is still good in good shape despite GOP ad influx -- 52%-44%.

https://t.co/esM0EYrKHA

[Daniel Dale @ddale8]

Average consumer prices are up 4.8% since the month Biden left office, federal figures show (https://t.co/wGV6AX1B8S), and more items are getting more expensive than getting cheaper. CNN's @stiles made a handy tool for searching price increases since Jan. 2025, by product: https://t.co/96updrxZzS https://t.co/dC0ib7xHHE

[Aaron Blake @AaronBlake]

We've now seen:

-3 polls showing Trump's disapproval on inflation at 80%+
-4 polls showing at least half of *Republicans* disapprove of him on that issue
-1 poll showing even 29% of MAGA disapproves.

This is extremely rare historical territory.

https://t.co/L5IiJbBeBz

[CNN Communications @CNNPR]

Congratulations to our very own @WolfBlitzer on his induction into the Broadcasting+Cable Hall of Fame @BCHOFNYC. A well-deserved honor for an incredible journalist and colleague ⭐

[Aaron Blake @AaronBlake]

Trump in Sept. 2024 on mortgage rates:

"We're going to get them back down to, we think, 3% -- maybe even lower than that."

[The New York Times @nytimes]

Breaking News: The average 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage made its biggest weekly jump in four years, rising to 7.28%. https://t.co/av4TzoKB68

[Aaron Blake @AaronBlake]

This is crazy.

[Michael Scherer @michaelscherer]

Plagiarism Watch: What is @Substack going to do about apparently AI-written slop that steals stories almost word for word without any attribution? Whatever "Small Bites" is, it is not journalism. In journalism, we credit each other, and link back. If anyone knows who runs this thing, please tell me in comments. https://t.co/Zj1UKPMYm4

[Aaron Blake @AaronBlake]

After Trump put his name on the Kennedy Center, "gifts to the arts institution plunged 42% and donation pledges dropped more than 100%."

How is that second number bigger than 100%? Apparently because earlier pledges were withdrawn.

https://t.co/P8IKYFzoha

[Nate Silver @NateSilver538]

The direction of polling error in recent years:
* 2008: Unbiased
* 2010: Unbiased
* 2012: R bias
* 2014: D bias
* 2016: D bias
* 2018: Unbiased
* 2020: Even bigger D bias
* 2022: Unbiased
* 2024: D bias, less than 2016/2020
* 2025 (e.g. NJ/VA): Big R bias