Aaron Lorch

Grain/Livestock Farmer, NW IA | ISU Alum | AgVocate

[Jeff French @aghedger]

Cattle futures know they can trade higher.....right?

Lower for 12 out of last 13 sessions

[Jerod McDaniel @JerodMcDaniel]

Funny how the grain market bounces back after being pushed artificially lower by manipulation.

That’s or it’s because they shut CERN down and now everyone’s brain isn’t being scrambled.

Reality sets in either way.

[Aaron Lorch @AaronLorch]

@cer_hedge This parallels us farmers railing on the USDA and their crooked reports, touting market manipulation when we get bearish ones... But they must've just had a moral code moment when they report a big bullish surprise for us...

[Aaron Lorch @AaronLorch]

Test. Test. Anybody else able to post themselves but not reply to anyone?

[Aaron Lorch @AaronLorch]

@laurenpayne2012 @BDScattlecorn Nice reversal (so far) off the lows in both fats and feeders. TBD though...

[Market Minute LLC @MarketMinuteLLC]

Best day for corn in 3 years 🌽

First time front month corn has closed up over 20 cents in a day since July 2023

[Just Cash Cattle @justcashcattle]

Fed #cattle cash trade moving at high enough volumes to say that all major feeding regions are trading $260 live and $400-404 dressed. Reports of major bidding as high as $263 on a Wednesday...

[Aaron Lorch @AaronLorch]

@laurenpayne2012

[Just Cash Cattle @justcashcattle]

We have seen confirmed fed #cattle trade at $258.50-$259 with $260 bids being reported.

[Jeff French @aghedger]

December corn $5.04

Highest since December 2023

[Aaron Lorch @AaronLorch]

Yee yee... Let's keep it rolling. Could easily be the 5th of 5th of 5th final wave of this whole bull cycle, but eh, that's been said numerous times for multiple yrs by now.

[Jeff French @aghedger]

$250-252 cash sales reported by USDA

New all-time high cash cattle

[Jeff French @aghedger]

Fats down $10 in last 6 days

Feeders down $20

[The Factor Report @PeterLBrandt]

BBQ'd
If you plan to do much grilling this year it might be time to stock up the freezer

[Aaron Lorch @AaronLorch]

@amandaa_fuller @aghedger Yeah I think it's like a 80% bearish indicator of a notable correction, but a new high in May or June, failing the triple, is a pretty good likelihood IMHO.

[247AG @247dotAg]

If you think the wind has been increasing recently, you are right! We have written since 2020 that extremes will be increasing during the 1st half of this decade. We should be on a bit of a downhill slide the 2nd half.

[Jeff French @aghedger]

New all-time highs fat and feeder cattle!

[Aaron Lorch @AaronLorch]

@TradesByDave It might be worth reposting your past reference to Drovers and their prediction for the bull to last until likely mid 2026. They've been the most consistently correct on their timing predictions, I believe you mentioned.

[Jeff French @aghedger]

$250 cash cattle

🔥🔥🔥

[Aaron Lorch @AaronLorch]

Wow, it's nice to see #cattle decoupled from stocks and energy a bit today. I'll take sideways with slightly higher closes, when we have oil sharply higher and stocks down...

[Aaron Lorch @AaronLorch]

@TradesByDave Whether they're right or not, to be fair, the multiple places I've read this new cycle analysis is that the cycles are notably shorter than that. The last one peaked in 2011/12 for some and by end of 2014 for other commodities.