After this week's bond market drama, we at @SchwabResearch, @CharlesSchwab thought it was a good time to explain what Treasury buybacks are and why they matter now.
You can't make this up:
At 8:15 AM ET yesterday, the 10Y Note Yield was trading at 4.68% when the US Treasury announced it would be increasing bond buybacks to $4 billion.
The yield fell to a low of 4.63% as the US Treasury pledged to provide "liquidity support."
Exactly 24 hours later, the 10Y Note Yield is ABOVE levels seen prior to the announcement, at 4.71%.
It's going to take a lot more intervention to tame this beast.
Situational Awareness "purchased 'flex options,' a customized derivative, to amplify its AI trade."
Flex options aren't what you might use as a pickup move at Surf Club Montauk.
FLEX option terms are tailored to a specific buyer and seller. There's virtually no secondary market. Ooops
https://t.co/uRL4UssNBL
A sharp rise in long-term bond yields across major economies is bringing renewed attention to fiscal and inflationary pressures, as well as America's growing debt burden.
This excellent piece from our economists at SCFR offers a timely look at the changing fiscal picture in the US.
https://t.co/PAaQ6xZdgb
I think a lot of people still don't understand the scale of debt issuance by the hyperscalers. They're on pace to be as sizeable in the IG bond market as the big banks within a few years
Value Aligned Research Advisors, a hedge fund with a philosophy similar to Situational Awareness, fell 44% last month. At March-end VARA shared 15 stocks with SA. These common stocks make up about 93% of the value of the disclosed stock portfolio for SA
https://t.co/q13cpHD0WM
The US hyperscalers have now signed up for about $1 trillion of lease commitments that don't appear in their financial data (and are on the hook for another $1 trillion of future purchase commitments). https://t.co/hLnjMGUHzJ
Millennium is partnering with Anthropic to build a risk analyst powered by artificial intelligence, as well as expand the use of the AI developer’s models across the hedge fund firm https://t.co/NLEU3W3mqJ
One-quarter of men aged 18-29 said they trade stocks daily, and almost two-thirds of them (64%) report feeling like failures.
Of the 23% of young men who said they gambled daily, including on sports and events, 66% reported similar angst.
(via @SimoneFoxman, @business)
https://t.co/kprhiU6S3A
Citadel’s flagship fund surged 5.9% in July, after the firm bought a discounted portfolio of artificial-intelligence stocks from troubled hedge fund Situational Awareness https://t.co/ePl7LJg82R