As rough as baseball and football have been, don't think hockey is going to be a breeze folks. Gambling is still involved. Better think outside the box a little bit.
The video of Josh Allen running out of the tunnel has been seen by millions. But the video they played inside the stadium right before intros was WILD. Like the production quality was insane. And any video set to Ante Up is already going to be insane.
Sportsbooks don't actually give you odds.
They give you probabilities disguised as odds.
Here's what +money really means:
+100 = 50% +150 = 40% +200 = 33.3% +300 = 25% +400 = 20%
So when a sportsbook offers you +200...
They're essentially pricing that outcome at a 33.3% chance of happening.
Now imagine your research says the true probability is closer to 40%.
The book is offering +200.
But a 40% probability is equivalent to roughly +150.
THAT gap is what bettors should be looking for
Not:
“Who do I think is going to win?”
But:
“Is the probability of this happening greater than what these odds imply?”
Once you understand that...
You stop looking at betting odds as payouts.
You start looking at them as prices.
That's when you start thinking like a bettor instead of a gambler.
Josh Allen dropped 4 TDs, and beat Houston’s defense — the defense everyone spent all offseason calling the best in football.
Lamar put up numbers against the Indianapolis Colts.
One of those is a statement. The other is Week 1 schedule luck.
Josh Allen is better, it’s not close. The Buffalo Bills put the entire league on notice. Ravens fans can keep coping with regular-season box scores.
#BillsMafia