Ball Atreides(9-3)

THE LISAN BALL GAIB

[Ian Rapoport @RapSheet]

From The Insiders on @NFLNetwork: The #Seahawks seem to feel like the world doesn't respect them. They may be right.

[Adam Schefter @AdamSchefter]

The Seahawks officially unveiled their Super Bowl LX championship rings:

[DylPicks @DylPicksGreens]

What the FUCK did I just wake up to

[Mont @betonjmont]

🚨 NEW EDGE UNLOCKED: ABS CHALLENGE DATA 🚨

While most bettors are focused on ERA, xERA, weather, and line movement, we’ve started building an ABS (Automated Ball-Strike Challenge) layer into our MLB model.

And the results are already showing patterns.

📊 LEAGUE-WIDE

Batters win only 47% of challenges
Fielding teams win 58%
Overall overturn rate is 53%

The strike zone currently favors pitchers and defenses.

🥷 ELITE CATCHERS (K PROP BOOSTERS)

Carson Kelly (CHC) — 86%
Salvador Perez (KC) — 76%
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) — 74%
Dillon Dingler (DET) — 73%
Pedro Pagés (STL) — 68%
Will Smith (LAD) — 65%
J.T. Realmuto (PHI) — 64%

These guys are literally stealing strikes back through challenges.

📈 BEST HITTING TEAMS AT WINNING CHALLENGES

Astros — 59%
Athletics — 59%
Royals — 59%
Rangers — 56%
Marlins — 54%
Mets — 51%
Blue Jays — 51%

These lineups are protecting themselves from bad strike calls better than the rest of baseball.

🚨 WORST HITTING TEAMS

Brewers — 31%
Red Sox — 35%
Braves — 36%
Guardians — 38%
Mariners — 41%
Rockies — 41%
Pirates — 41%

📈 BEST INDIVIDUAL BATTERS

CJ Abrams — 7/7 (100%)
Aaron Judge — 6/8 (75%)
Xander Bogaerts — 8/11 (73%)
Jose Altuve — 9/13 (69%)
Kyle Schwarber — 9/14 (64%)
Pete Alonso — 5/8 (63%)

🚩 BIG NAMES LOSING THE ZONE BATTLE

Gunnar Henderson — 14%
Matt Olson — 17%
James Wood — 21%
Jazz Chisholm — 20%
Oneil Cruz — 20%
Bryce Harper — 27%
Shohei Ohtani — 33%

📊 BEST DEFENSIVE TEAMS

Tigers — 73%
Reds — 72%
Cubs — 71%
Cardinals — 67%
Rangers — 67%
Diamondbacks — 65%
Padres — 63%
Dodgers — 62%

HOW WE’RE USING IT:

✅ K Props → Upgrade when elite catchers + strong ABS teams are involved

✅ Walk Props → Downgrade when poor ABS hitters face elite challenge teams

✅ NRFI → Slight boost when command pitchers pair with elite defensive challenge teams

This won’t replace Statcast.

It won’t replace pitch mix analysis.

But if two bets are close, ABS may be the difference between a pass and a play.

The market is still pricing ERA.

We’re starting to price the strike zone.

#GamblingX #MLB

[Seatalksports @LETSSEATALK]

Only 15 Sundays away we getting there!

#Gohawks #nfl

[Shadow @FeelLikeMafe]

Guys…

It’s finally here

[Mich Patron @macabi3059]

Seahawks repeating isn't crazy. ~90% of the roster is back, Darnold's only getting more comfortable, JSN is a legit WR1, Kupp adds veteran savvy, and the defense is elite. The OC change is a fair concern - Fleury is a first-time play caller - but he inherits a system that works and doesn't need to reinvent it. If Seattle wins the West and locks up home-field, Lumen in January is a nightmare for anyone. Why can't they hoist it again? In Macdonald I trust...

[Seattle Seahawks @Seahawks]

The most primetime games in franchise history. 😮‍💨

Get your tickets now » https://t.co/yxNNnRledd

[Vulture trades 🦅 @vulturetrades]

$STM 200% is 1.00 from 0.35 🔥

We’re paid.

[Ball Atreides(9-3) @Adolphfitz_]

@OnyxOdds Kingdolph1994

[Onyx @OnyxOdds]

LET'S HAVE A TUESDAY!

We're giving away 1,000 ONYX CASH per home run during today's MLB slate - here's how to enter:

- RT and LIKE this post
- REPLY with your Onyx Username

Winners will be credited in real time throughout the night - good luck! ⚾️

[MLB Home Run Tracker @MLB_HRTracker]

Nolan Arenado (Diamondbacks) — Solo HR

405 ft | 101.8 mph | 30.0°
Season HR: 6

Mets 1–1 Diamondbacks (Bot 2)

Pre-Game Odds: +725

[MLB Home Run Tracker @MLB_HRTracker]

Josh Naylor (Mariners) — 3-Run HR

403 ft | 105.2 mph | 26.0°
Season HR: 5

Mariners 12–5 White Sox (Top 8)

Pre-Game Odds: +500