This is a great way to visualize the effect of divorce on children's success as adults🧵
Children whose parents went through a divorce while they were aged 0-5 ranked about 2.4 percentile points lower in the income distribution when they were 25 years old.
Prompt:
Assume humanoid robots begin mass production in 2026 at 100,000 units annually, doubling output each year until reaching a run rate of 1 billion units. The unit price drops to $10,000 once production exceeds 1 million units, and by 2032, the labour-equivalent cost falls to $0.20/hour.
Task:
Analyze how this exponential increase in ultra-cheap robotic labor affects global economies year by year, from 2026 until the 1-billion unit threshold is passed.
For each year, provide:
•Robot production, average unit price, and labour-equivalent cost/hour
•Year-over-year inflation or deflation rate
•Central bank interest rates and 10-year government bond yields
•M2 money supply growth and credit growth
•A concise explanation of macroeconomic dynamics at play (e.g. deflation, debt burden shifts, monetary responses, changes to GDP structure)
Output:
•A clean, tabular year-by-year summary of key data
•A narrative highlighting major inflection points and cause-effect chains
•A discussion of long-run outcomes, including GDP impact, debt sustainability, and potential policy shifts
Goal:
Model the economic impact of hyper-abundant, ultra-low-cost labor and how it challenges traditional GDP growth assumptions, inflation targeting, and fiscal sustainability. Be precise, step-by-step, and grounded in real-world analogues where applicable.
One of the greatest mysteries in my life is why dysfunctional people treat strangers infinitely better than family.
My mother would be cruel to me, but super-nice to a waiter.
She would be yelling at me, but then answer a phone call sooo nicely.
Why do people do that?
Eu catre Chatgpt: Bazat pe interacțiunile noastre anterioare spune-mi un lucru despre mine pe care nu il stiu!
Chatgpt: Bla, bla, bla esti cel mai tare, vrei ceva mai neașteptat?
Eu: Bagă ceva neașteptat